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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ItalyItaly Real interest rate (%) climbed to -0.36 Percentage (%) in January 2023
World BankYearlyReleased January 2023
Italy Real interest rate (%) climbed to -0.36 Percentage (%) in January 2023, up 0.93 Percentage (%) from December's -1.29 Percentage (%) reading.
Latest Release
-0.36
Latest (2023)
-1.29
Previous
World Bank
Source
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Real Interest Rate (%) (Italy) was reported at 3.23 Percent in December 2024. The reading rose from the previous value of -1.23 Percent. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.28 Percent, down from the prior three at 1.00 Percent.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Business Confidence (May 28) and Consumer Confidence (May 28).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2024.
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Real interest rate (%) - IT
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About Real interest rate (%) — Italy
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Policy-rate decisions and associated communication are the primary near-term driver of front-end rates, currencies, and equity-discount-rate inputs. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - IT Events
| Wednesday, May 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | IT | Industrial Sales MoM | 0.6 | -0.4 | -0.40 | Low | |
| 08:00 | IT | Industrial Sales YoY | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Low | |
| Thursday, May 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | IT | Business Confidence | 87.9 | 86 | 86.00 | Medium | |
| 08:00 | IT | Consumer Confidence | 90.8 | 88 | 88.00 | Medium | |
| 10:00 | IT | Producer Price Index MoM | 4.4 | 2.5 | 2.50 | Low | |
| 10:00 | IT | Producer Price Index YoY | 4.2 | 9.1 | 9.10 | Low | |