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Sam Bourgi is an analyst, writer and financial market commentator featured in and cited by U.S. Congress, Department of Justice, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Barron's and Forbes. He covers stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, forex, Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, real estate and macroeconomics. He has written over 25,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers and e-books.
Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)
Containment = how often the band held (backtest) — magnitude only, not a directional record.
6 of 7 models in band
± 4.26% expected move
backtest — refresh paused (#568)
Actionable · size by band. The validated edge is magnitude, not direction.
Coherent near-term trend; possible regime shift if 1W turns.
Context, not a trade signal · forward test pending.
Descriptive — does not size the band.
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Suitability · premium context. Whether options are rich or cheap to own here — sizing input, not a price call.
NVDA's calibrated band puts the expected move at ±2.8% over 7 days, widening to ±6.5% over 28. Options are currently pricing in line with the band (VRP ≈ 1.38×) — premium screens fair on this scale.
Premium grade: 2026-10-26 05:06 UTC
Sigmacast expected range · containment-audited.
As of October 26, 2026, NVDA is trading at 211.00. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this stock generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.
Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
NVIDIA Corp CEDEAR (NVDA) is a publicly traded stock covered by the Sigmanomics analytics platform. The NVDA stock closed at 211.00 on October 23, 2026, reflecting a decline of 0.61% from the previous close of 212.28. NVDA is listed on the BCBA in Argentina.
Over the past 30 days, the stock has experienced a sideways movement with a rally of 0.05%, ranging between 208.93 and 243.37. The price currently trades below its 20-day moving average of 225.58. The 14-day RSI stands at 38.0, in the lower part of its range.
Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 1.69%, reflecting typical price variability for this stock. Across the past 52 weeks, the stock has traded between 164.27 and 243.37, with the current price near the midrange of that range.
Daily-return volatility of 1.69% runs elevated for this stock, so price ranges are likely to stay wide — watch how price behaves around its recent range rather than treating any single level as fixed. NVDA is currently trading 6.46% below its 20-day moving average and sitting in the middle of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 38.0, currently in neutral territory.
Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)
8 correlated indicators
Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.
Positively correlated: Total Vehicle Sales (US) (r=+0.83), Crude Oil Production (Monthly) (US) (r=+0.73), BoE Consumer Credit (US) (r=+0.72)
Inversely correlated: Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air (US) (r=-0.85), 5-Year Note Auction (US) (r=-0.82), Richmond Fed Services Revenues Index (US) (r=-0.81), Producer Price Index MoM (US) (r=-0.71), House Price Index MoM (US) (r=-0.68)
Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Oct 2026.
Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.