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EUR/SCR surged 5.00% on August 16, pushing above yesterday's close of 16.17 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.00% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of 15.33–18.27; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/16/26
USD/PGK slid 1.30% on August 16, pulling below yesterday's close of 4.39 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.00% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 4.30–4.63; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/16/26
Wheat Futures slid 0.10% on August 16, pulling below yesterday's close of $674.94 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.00% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $671.24–$676.87; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/16/26
RVN/BTC surged 33.30% on August 16, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.00 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.10% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $0.00–$0.00; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/16/26
Cocoa Futures surged 0.10% on August 16, pushing above yesterday's close of $5771.71 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.00% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $5743.64–$5828.70; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/16/26
Russell 2000 rose 0.50% on August 16, pushing above yesterday's close of $3052.85. Updated 8/16/26
PYR/USD slid 10.20% on August 16, pulling below yesterday's close of $0.05 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.90% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $0.02–$0.06; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/16/26
USD/SCR surged 5.00% on August 16, pushing above yesterday's close of 13.97 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.10% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 14.60–17.54; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/16/26
Canola Futures surged 0.10% on August 16, pushing above yesterday's close of $818.72 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.00% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $814.33–$820.61; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/16/26
Natural Gas slid 0.10% on August 16, pulling below yesterday's close of $2.73 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.00% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $2.72–$3.53; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/16/26
NOT/USDT slid 4.00% on August 16, pulling below yesterday's close of $0.0004040 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.70% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $0.0003520–$0.0004050; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/16/26
BTT/USD surged 3.80% on August 16, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.00 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.30% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $0.00–$0.00; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/16/26
Brent Futures surged 0.10% on August 16, pushing above yesterday's close of $88.52 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.00% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $87.58–$88.51; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/16/26
Soybeans Futures slid 0.10% on August 16, pulling below yesterday's close of $1178.24 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.00% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $1169.15–$1178.07; current price is above the upper bound, signaling mean reversion risk. Updated 8/16/26
CBOE Volatility Index fell 2.60% on August 16, pulling below yesterday's close of $14.63. Updated 8/16/26
GBP/SCR surged 5.00% on August 16, pushing above yesterday's close of 18.91 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.20% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of 17.88–21.38; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/16/26
EUR/PGK slid 1.20% on August 16, pulling below yesterday's close of 5.08 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.10% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 4.98–5.39; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/16/26
RVN/TRY surged 4.90% on August 16, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.13 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.60% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $0.12–$0.16; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/16/26
STEEM/BTC slid 15.40% on August 16, pulling below yesterday's close of $0.000001000 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.20% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $0.000001000–$0.000001000; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/16/26
Bitcoin mining rigs are being switched off in the capital city of one of the world's largest mining jurisdictions, following a regulatory move published in the country's official legal gazette. Detail
Aluminum Futures slid 0.10% on August 16, pulling below yesterday's close of $3248.98 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.10% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $3247.51–$3273.52; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/16/26
A fresh fight over Bitcoin's 21 million supply cap has pulled Adam Back and Peter Todd onto opposite sides, after Todd's case for a permanent block reward resurfaced this week.
Lumber Futures surged 0.10% on August 15, pushing above yesterday's close of $567.90 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.10% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $549.63–$557.82; current price is above the upper bound, signaling mean reversion risk. Updated 8/16/26
Gasoline Futures slid 0.10% on August 15, pulling below yesterday's close of $3.19 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.10% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $2.96–$3.09; current price is above the upper bound, signaling mean reversion risk. Updated 8/16/26
USD/COP surged 1.10% on August 15, pushing above yesterday's close of 3115.83 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.00% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 3046.42–3264.44; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/16/26
Corn Futures slid 0.10% on August 15, pulling below yesterday's close of $459.19 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.10% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $458.57–$469.08; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/15/26
GBP/PGK slid 2.40% on August 15, pulling below yesterday's close of 6.09 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.10% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of 5.88–6.39; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/15/26
Cotton Futures slid 0.10% on August 15, pulling below yesterday's close of $84.83 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.10% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $84.84–$88.69; current price is below the lower bound, signaling potential continuation. Updated 8/15/26
IOTX/BTC surged 25.00% on August 15, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.00 — vs an avg daily swing of ±2.30% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $0.00–$0.00; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/15/26
AVGO fell 5.90% on August 15, pulling below yesterday's close of $417.85 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.40% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $394.39–$412.35; current price is below the lower bound, signaling potential continuation. Updated 8/15/26
CPRT rose 7.60% on August 15, pushing above yesterday's close of $29.38 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.50% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $31.46–$35.43; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/15/26
EUR/COP surged 1.00% on August 15, pushing above yesterday's close of 3607.74 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.10% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of 3412.77–3649.80; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/15/26
REEF/USD surged 10.50% on August 15, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.00004800 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.00% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $0.00005900–$0.00009600; current price is below the lower bound, signaling potential continuation. Updated 8/15/26
ALICE/USD slid 16.90% on August 15, pulling below yesterday's close of $0.16 — vs an avg daily swing of ±3.40% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $0.11–$0.14; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/15/26
CAD/COP surged 1.10% on August 15, pushing above yesterday's close of 2246.62 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.10% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of 2122.04–2269.35; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/15/26
Rice Futures slid 0.10% on August 15, pulling below yesterday's close of $13.99 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.10% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $13.97–$14.02; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/15/26
CBOE VIX came in at 14.63Index, up from previous 14.55Index. High impact.
10Y-3M Treasury Spread came in at 0.82%, up from previous 0.76%. High impact.
Fed Funds Daily came in at 3.63%, unchanged from previous 3.63%. High impact.
High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) came in at 2.71%, unchanged from previous 2.71%. High impact.
Oat Futures slid 1.20% on August 15, pulling below yesterday's close of $327.49 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.20% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $321.60–$324.72; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/15/26
Ethanol Futures surged 2.00% on August 15, pushing above yesterday's close of $1.98 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.00% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $2.01–$3.70; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/15/26
EUR/SOS slid 3.00% on August 15, pulling below yesterday's close of 660.54 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.10% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 634.57–682.10; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/15/26
President Donald Trump's family is set to own a federally chartered bank. A regulator he appointed conditionally cleared World Liberty Trust Company, issuer of the $4 billion USD1 stablecoin.
CAD/BYN surged 1.90% on August 15, pushing above yesterday's close of 2.15 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.00% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 2.11–2.22; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/15/26
NZD/ARS slid 1.20% on August 15, pulling below yesterday's close of 879.49 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.10% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of 858.97–903.74; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/15/26
The liquidation heatmap offered a route for a potential HBAR price bounce, but low demand will cap the extent of any short-term gains.
Orange Juice Futures slid 0.60% on August 14, pulling below yesterday's close of $138.30 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.30% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $139.82–$166.07; current price is below the lower bound, signaling potential continuation. Updated 8/15/26
UNIs/EUR slid 8.30% on August 14, pulling below yesterday's close of $3.01 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.50% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $2.28–$3.08; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/14/26
CFTC speculative net positions in Australian Dollar futures weakened further in the week ending August 14, 2026, declining to -39.20 thousand contracts from -33.20 thousand in the previous reporting per...
Brazil's CFTC BRL speculative net positions rose to 66.30 thousand in the week ending August 14, 2026, marking a modest increase of 2.30 thousand contracts from the prior week's 64 thousand. The indicat...
Japan's CFTC JPY speculative net positions surged to 42.10 thousand in the week ending August 14, 2026, reversing a prior bearish stance of -45.50 thousand contracts in the previous reporting period. Th...
Speculative net positions in crude oil futures held by traders tracked by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission fell to 99.20 thousand contracts in the week ending August 14, 2026, declining fr...
Gold speculative net positions held by traders tracked by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission rose to 217.90 thousand contracts in the week ending August 14, 2026, climbing 10.30 thousand contracts...
Speculative net positions in the Nasdaq 100 held by CFTC-tracked traders declined to -39.30 thousand in the most recent reporting period, deteriorating from -14.60 thousand in the previous week, marking...
U.S. speculative net positions on the S&P 500 futures, tracked by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, surged to 11.30 thousand contracts in the week ending August 14, 2026, rebounding sharply fro...
CFTC speculative net positions on the euro declined to -60 thousand in the week ending August 14, 2026, compared to -58.10 thousand in the previous period, marking a modest deterioration in the net sho...
British pound speculative net positions, as tracked by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), improved to -56.20 thousand in the most recent reporting period, up from a previous reading of -5...
UNIs/USD slid 7.70% on August 14, pulling below yesterday's close of $3.48 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.50% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $2.97–$3.73; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/14/26
USD/NOK slid 0.80% on August 14, pulling below yesterday's close of 9.52 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.00% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 9.15–9.61; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/14/26
INJ/BTC slid 9.10% on August 14, pulling below yesterday's close of $0.00007300 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.40% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $0.00005700–$0.00006800; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/14/26
The Atlanta Federal Reserve's GDPNow tracker estimated second-quarter economic growth at 4.30%, a substantial decline from the previous estimate of 5.80%, marking a 150-basis-point downward revision. Th...
AMAT fell 3.90% on August 14, pulling below yesterday's close of $535.52 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.50% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $475.98–$509.47; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/14/26
STX rose 5.60% on August 14, pushing above yesterday's close of $921.42 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.90% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $860.95–$1015.20; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/14/26
U.S. Michigan Consumer Sentiment fell to 51.00 in August 2026, declining 4.20 points from the previous month's reading of 55.20 and marking a notable deterioration in consumer confidence...
Michigan 1-year inflation expectations in the United States edged up to 4.30% in August 2026, rising 10 basis points from the previous reading of 4.20%, according to data released on August 14. The upti...
US business inventories expanded at a flat 0% month-over-month rate in August 2026, marking a sharp deceleration from the prior month's 0.40% gain and falling short of the 0.10% increase analysts had an...
US retail sales contracted in August 2026, falling 0.60% month-over-month, a sharp reversal from the prior month's 0.20% gain and a significant miss relative to the forecast of 0.10% growth. The decline...
U.S. retail sales excluding automobiles contracted 0.30% month-over-month in August 2026, marking a deterioration from the prior month's 0.20% decline and substantially missing the consensus forecast of...
USD/ILS slid 0.70% on August 14, pulling below yesterday's close of 2.97 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.00% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 2.85–2.99; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/14/26
UNI/USD slid 7.40% on August 14, pulling below yesterday's close of $3.48 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.50% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $2.97–$3.74; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/14/26
TPR fell 16.40% on August 14, pulling below yesterday's close of $153.57 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.70% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $126.71–$180.35; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/14/26
CHF/ILS slid 0.70% on August 14, pulling below yesterday's close of 3.66 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.00% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 3.49–3.67; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/14/26
NASDAQ 100 rose 1.20% on August 14, pushing above yesterday's close of $29742.60. Updated 8/14/26
COTI/USD surged 5.40% on August 14, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.01 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.80% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $0.01–$0.02; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/14/26
GIGGLE/USDT slid 5.00% on August 14, pulling below yesterday's close of $33.56 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.50% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $22.71–$40.90; current price sits within the forecast band. Updated 8/14/26
China New Loans · Forecast: -50 · Previous: 1610
The European Union's gross domestic product expanded at a quarterly rate of 0.40 percent in the second quarter of 2026, matching consensus forecasts and marking a recovery from the prior period's flat...
The European Union's gross domestic product expanded 1.00 percent year-over-year in the second quarter of 2026, meeting analyst expectations precisely while accelerating growth from the prior quarter's...
China's current account surplus expanded to $195.10 billion, rising from $184.30 billion in the previous period and significantly outperforming the consensus forecast of $150 billion by $45.10 billion or...
The European Union's balance of trade swung dramatically into surplus in August 2026, posting an actual reading of 8.60 billion euros compared to a previous deficit of 9 billion euros, representing a 1...
Employment in the European Union expanded by 0.10% on a quarterly basis in the second quarter of 2026, matching both the forecast and the previous quarter's reading of 0.10%. The flat sequential perform...
European Union employment growth remained flat year-over-year at 0.50% in August 2026, matching the previous month's reading and falling short of economist expectations of 0.60% growth. The miss, though...
China's new yuan loans contracted sharply in August 2026, declining to minus 340 billion yuan from a previous reading of 1,610 billion yuan, marking a dramatic reversal in credit expansion. The data c...
China New Loans · Actual: -340 · Forecast: -50 · Previous: 1610 · (missed expectations)
Switzerland GDP Growth Rate QoQ · Actual: 1.50 · Forecast: 0.50 · Previous: 0.40 · (beat expectations)
France HICP MoM · Actual: 0.60 · Forecast: 0.60 · Previous: -0.30 · (met expectations)
France CPI MoM · Actual: 0.60 · Forecast: 0.60 · Previous: -0.30 · (met expectations)
Germany Wholesale Prices MoM · Actual: 0.20 · Forecast: 0.40 · Previous: -0.70 · (missed expectations)
Germany Wholesale Prices YoY · Actual: 5.30 · Forecast: 5.40 · Previous: 4.90 · (missed expectations)
Malaysia Gross Domestic Product YoY · Actual: 6 · Forecast: 5.80 · Previous: 5.40 · (beat expectations)
Australia Home Loans QoQ · Actual: -1.90 · Forecast: -2.30 · Previous: -3.50 · (beat expectations)
Australia Investment Lending for Homes · Actual: -10.20 · Forecast: -6.40 · Previous: -3.20 · (missed expectations)
New Zealand Business NZ PMI · Actual: 54.30 · Forecast: 58.40 · Previous: 60.10 · (missed expectations)
Brazil Business Confidence · Actual: 46.30 · Forecast: 44.80 · Previous: 44.40 · (beat expectations)
United States Initial Jobless Claims · Actual: 209 · Forecast: 202 · Previous: 200 · (beat expectations)
United States Core PPI MoM · Actual: 0.20 · Forecast: 0.30 · Previous: 0.40 · (missed expectations)
United States Producer Price Index MoM · Actual: 0 · Forecast: 0.20 · Previous: -0.10 · (missed expectations)
Brazil Retail Sales MoM · Actual: 0.50 · Forecast: 0.30 · Previous: 0.30 · (beat expectations)
China New Loans · Forecast: -50 · Previous: 1610
China New Loans · Forecast: -50 · Previous: 1610
India Balance of Trade · Actual: -31.98 · Forecast: -30.20 · Previous: -30.43 · (missed expectations)
European Union Industrial Production MoM · Actual: 0 · Forecast: -0.10 · Previous: 0.30 · (beat expectations)
India Balance of Trade · Actual: -31.98 · Forecast: -30.20 · Previous: -30.43 · (missed expectations)
Norway Interest Rate Decision · Actual: 4.25 · Forecast: 4.25 · Previous: 4.25 · (met expectations)
Poland GDP Growth Rate QoQ · Actual: 0.90 · Forecast: 1 · Previous: 0.60 · (missed expectations)
Poland GDP Growth Rate YoY · Actual: 3.80 · Forecast: 3.80 · Previous: 3.50 · (met expectations)
Spain CPI YoY · Actual: 3.60 · Forecast: 3.50 · Previous: 3.20 · (beat expectations)
Spain HICP YoY · Actual: 3.90 · Forecast: 3.80 · Previous: 3.60 · (beat expectations)
Switzerland Producer Price Index MoM · Actual: -0.10 · Forecast: -0.20 · Previous: -0.30 · (beat expectations)
United Kingdom Goods Trade Balance · Actual: -23.01 · Forecast: -20.50 · Previous: -21.08 · (missed expectations)
United Kingdom GDP 3-Month Avg · Actual: 0.40 · Forecast: 0.40 · Previous: 0.60 · (met expectations)
United Kingdom Goods Trade Balance Non-EU · Actual: -10.45 · Forecast: -9.30 · Previous: -9.58 · (missed expectations)
United Kingdom Industrial Production MoM · Actual: -0.20 · Forecast: 0.10 · Previous: -0.70 · (missed expectations)
United Kingdom Manufacturing Production MoM · Actual: -0.50 · Forecast: -0.20 · Previous: -0.20 · (missed expectations)
United Kingdom Gross Domestic Product MoM · Actual: 0.30 · Forecast: 0 · Previous: 0 · (beat expectations)
United Kingdom GDP Growth Rate YoY · Actual: 1.20 · Forecast: 1.10 · Previous: 0.90 · (beat expectations)
United Kingdom Business Investment QoQ · Actual: 1.70 · Forecast: -0.50 · Previous: 0.90 · (beat expectations)
United Kingdom GDP Growth Rate QoQ · Actual: 0.40 · Forecast: 0.40 · Previous: 0.60 · (met expectations)
United Kingdom NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker · Actual: 0.40 · Forecast: 0.40 · Previous: 0.60 · (met expectations)
United Kingdom Gross Domestic Product QoQ · Actual: 0.40 · Forecast: 0.40 · Previous: 0.60 · (met expectations)