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Canada Ivey PMI Climbs To 64.3, Beating 56.2 Consensus
Canada’s Ivey PMI registered 64.3 in August 2026, beating the 56.2 consensus estimate. The August reading rose from 55.1 in July 2026, marking a 9.2-point increase over the prior month. The index remains well above the 50.0 threshold that separates expansion from contraction, extending a run of generally expansionary readings seen through much of 2026. Recent Ivey PMI reports show broad-based strength across purchasing activity, indicating that Canadian organizations increased orders and overall business volumes. Compared with the 56.2 reading reported in June 2026 and the 57.7 level in May 2026, the current 64.3 figure underscores a notable acceleration in Canadian private-sector activity that feeds into the broader growth backdrop monitored by policymakers. Market participants now track how this upside surprise in Canada’s Ivey PMI influences the Canadian dollar, domestic bond yields, and expectations around upcoming Bank of Canada communications and key activity data releases. Updated 9/4/26
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7 models · 1,456 instruments · 6 timeframes
EXPECTED MOVES
7-Day Range · September 12, 2026LIVE
AAPL Up · 2H319.66–379.56
BTC/USD Up · 2H80228.10–88951.14
EUR/USD Up · 2H1.1537–1.1704
XAU/USD Sideways · 2H4427.98–4437.53
Market Forecasts
1,456+
instruments tracked
1M+
forecasts scored
7
ensemble models
5
asset classes
Economic Data
4,151
economic indicators
127
countries covered
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data sources
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Today's Biggest Expected Moves
Sigmacast 7-day expected-move ranges, widest first · magnitude & recent character (not a direction call)
7-DAY RANGELIVESep 5, 2026 – Sep 12, 2026
Last updated: Sep 5, 2026 02:07 AM UTCView All 1,456 →
AAPL Up · 2H
319.99expected move ±9.4%
Expected Move (7-Day)
319.66379.56
In-range ~60% (backtest)
BTC/USD Up · 2H
79545.75expected move ±5.5%
Expected Move (7-Day)
80228.1088951.14
In-range ~60% (backtest)
EUR/USD Up · 2H
1.1614expected move ±0.7%
Expected Move (7-Day)
1.15371.1704
In-range ~60% (backtest)
XAU/USD Sideways · 2H
4429.00expected move ±0.1%
Expected Move (7-Day)
4427.984437.53
Data as of
