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United States durable goods orders excluding transportation rose 0.5% month over month in September, falling short of the 0.6% consensus estimate despite recording another increase in orders for manufactured products outside the transportation sector. The September gain followed August’s 0.3% increase, marking a faster monthly pace than the preceding reading while leaving the latest result below the pace analysts had anticipated for this measure of demand for durable manufactured goods. Both monthly readings showed rising orders rather than declines, although this indicator measures changes in order values and does not use the expansion and contraction threshold associated with purchasing managers’ surveys of business activity. The transportation exclusion removes aircraft and motor vehicle orders from the measure, keeping the focus on other durable goods categories without establishing which individual industry contributed most to September’s increase or how broadly orders improved. For broader context, the latest monthly increase fell below the 1.3% gain reported in the June release, placing September’s acceleration against a stronger earlier reading while distinguishing demand for manufactured goods from overall economic growth. Subsequent durable goods reports will provide additional readings on orders, shipments and unfilled orders, while industrial production releases will report factory output, a separate measure from the bookings tracked in this series. Updated 10/27/26
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In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
Data as of
South Korea GDP Growth Rate came in at 3.400000Percent, down from previous 3.700000Percent. High impact.
CBOE VIX came in at 18.39Index, down from previous 19.45Index. High impact.
10Y-3M Treasury Spread came in at 0.77%, down from previous 0.78%. High impact.
Fed Funds Daily came in at 3.88%, unchanged from previous 3.88%. High impact.
High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) came in at 3.3%, down from previous 3.38%. High impact.
Rice Futures slid 3.30% on October 28, pulling below yesterday's close of $17.90 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.3% over 30 days. Updated 10/28/26
NZD/MYR slid 1.70% on October 28, pulling below yesterday's close of 2.3328 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. Updated 10/28/26
QUICK/USD slid 15.50% on October 28, pulling below yesterday's close of $0.002780 — vs an avg daily swing of ±3.7% over 30 days. Updated 10/28/26
Germany Consumer Confidence actual -30.8 vs -30.9 expected and -30.6 prior.
Thailand Interest Rate Decision actual 1 vs 1 expected and 1 prior.
Turkey Balance of Trade actual -5.16 vs -5.23 expected and -5.24 prior.
NZD/AUD slid 1.90% on October 28, pulling below yesterday's close of 0.8112 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. Updated 10/28/26
PEPE/USD surged 7.40% on October 28, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.000004600 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.9% over 30 days. Updated 10/28/26
BNB/USD last closed at $739.59 on October 27 (−0.4% on the day).
New Zealand’s RBNZ Interest Rate Decision came in at 2.750000%, matching estimates for September. This marks a 0.25 percentage point increase from July’s 2.500000%, signaling a tightening monetary stance. Markets will n…
Australia's Consumer Price Index came in at 3.900000%, missing the 4.100000% estimate for July 2026. This marks a decline from June's 4.100000%, indicating a moderation in inflation pressures. Markets will watch for the…
Australia’s RBA trimmed mean CPI QoQ came in at 0.800000% for July, matching the previous quarter but missing the 0.900000% estimate. July’s 0.8% held steady from April’s 0.8%, indicating persistent inflation pressures …
Australia's CPI QoQ for Q3 rose 0.300000%, matching estimates and up from Q2's 0.200000%. This acceleration signals a faster inflation pace compared to the previous quarter. Markets will closely watch upcoming central b…
Australia's Inflation Rate YoY for September came in at 4.000000%, missing the 4.1% estimate but rising from August's 3.5%. This marks a rebound after a dip, indicating renewed inflationary pressure in the Australian ec…
Australia’s RBA trimmed mean CPI YoY held steady at 3.600000% in September, matching both consensus and August’s reading. The inflation rate remained unchanged from July’s 3.600000%, indicating persistent price pressure…
Australia’s Inflation Rate MoM for September came in at 0.400000%, missing the 0.500000% estimate. This marks a decline from August’s 1.000000%, indicating a slowdown in monthly inflation momentum. Markets will watch up…