Loading...
Loading...

Germany’s Ifo Business Climate index for March 2026 registered at 86.4, surpassing the consensus estimate of 86.1. The reading declined from February’s 88.4, marking a 2-point drop month-over-month. This decrease continues a downward trend, with the index now well below the 50-level that signals expansion, reflecting persistent contraction in business sentiment. The decline was primarily driven by weaker assessments in the manufacturing sector, which weighed on overall confidence. Compared to the 12-month average of approximately 88.1, the latest figure underscores ongoing challenges in Europe’s largest economy amid sluggish growth and elevated uncertainty. Markets are currently focused on upcoming ECB communications and further economic data releases for additional signals on the policy outlook. Updated 3/25/26
7 models · 78 instruments · 6 timeframes
Sigmacast ensemble predictions · Updated every pipeline run
Contains price ~71% of the time
Contains price ~85% of the time
Contains price ~95% of the time
Contains price ~71% of the time
NASDAQ 100 (^NDX) fell 2.0% on March 26, pulling below yesterday's close of 24,162.98.
Brown-Forman Corporation (BF.B) rose 13.1% on March 26, beating yesterday's close of $23.49. The 7-day forecast points up, with models projecting a range of $22.47–$23.32.
Axon Enterprise Inc. (AXON) fell 9.9% on March 26, pulling below yesterday's close of $507.07. The 7-day forecast points down, with models projecting a range of $248.18–$665.73.
Orange Juice Futures (JO1) surged 1.8% on March 26, pushing above yesterday's close of 182.28.
NKN/USD surged 193.9% on March 26, pushing above yesterday's close of 0.00742. The 7-day forecast points down, with models projecting a range of 0.00934–0.00968.
LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB) rose 6.3% on March 26, beating yesterday's close of $71.48. The 7-day forecast points down, with models projecting a range of $74.79–$77.12.
South Africa's Interest Rate Decision for January 2026 matched expectations at 6.75%, unchanged from November 2025's 6.75%. This steady rate signals a continued cautious stance amid stable inflation pressures. Market pa…
US Initial Jobless Claims fell to 205,000 in March, beating the estimate of 215,000 and down from February’s 213,000, marking the lowest monthly total since January. The decline of 8,000 claims signals continued labor m…
US Continuing Jobless Claims rose to 1857.000000K in February, slightly above January’s 1850.000000K and missing consensus by a narrow margin. The 0.4% increase from January signals persistent labor market softness, wit…
US Jobless Claims 4-Week Average fell to 210.75K in February, beating the estimate of 213.75K and improving from January’s 212.00K. This marks a modest month-over-month decline, with the reading remaining below the 12-m…
USD/ZMW surged 1.0% on March 26, pushing above yesterday's close of 18.70. The 7-day forecast points down, with models projecting a range of 18.5534–20.2987.
Wheat Futures (W_1) slid 0.6% on March 26, pulling below yesterday's close of 598.21.
CBOE Volatility Index (^VIX) rose 8.6% on March 26, pushing above yesterday's close of 25.33.
DAX (^GDAXI) fell 1.6% on March 26, pulling below yesterday's close of 22,957.08.
Italy’s Business Confidence for February fell to 88.5, missing the estimate of 89.5 and down from January’s 89.2. This marks a second consecutive monthly decline, with sentiment now below the 12-month average of 89.6, p…
Italy’s Consumer Confidence rose to 97.4 in January, beating the consensus estimate of 96.4 and up from December’s 96.8. This marks the highest reading since October 2025 and signals a steady recovery in household senti…
Norway’s Interest Rate Decision for November 2025 held steady at 4.000000%, matching expectations and unchanged from October. This continued pause signals a cautious monetary stance amid easing inflation and moderating …
Norway’s Norges Bank held its interest rate steady at 4.00% in November 2025, matching expectations and maintaining the level set since October. This unchanged rate follows a series of cuts from 4.50% in mid-2025, signa…
JPY/RUB surged 1.3% on March 26, pushing above yesterday's close of 0.51. The 7-day forecast points up, with models projecting a range of 0.4937–0.5516.
Aluminum Futures (LMAHDS03) slid 0.6% on March 26, pulling below yesterday's close of 3,244.85.
Spain’s Gross Domestic Product QoQ for December 2025 came in at 0.800000%, beating the 0.600000% consensus and reversing a two-month plateau. This 0.20 percentage point increase from November’s 0.600000% signals renewed…