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The United States recorded quarter-over-quarter GDP growth of 2.2% in the September 30, 2026 release, beating the supplied consensus estimate of 1.5%, although the available figures do not identify the reporting quarter or establish an annualized basis. Growth slowed from the previous reading of 2.5%, leaving the latest result above the consensus benchmark but below the preceding pace; the available figures also leave the earlier quarter unspecified. The positive reading marks continued economic expansion rather than contraction, while the slowdown describes a decrease in the growth rate, not a decline in the level of economic output between the two periods. The headline figures do not include contributions from household consumption, business investment, government spending, inventories or net exports, preventing a supported attribution of the change to any particular expenditure component or sector. The available readings provide neither a year-earlier comparison nor a twelve-month average, limiting historical context, while GDP’s coverage of spending and production places the result within the broader macroeconomic theme of economic activity. Investors monitor GDP alongside employment, inflation and consumer spending when assessing monetary policy conditions, but the available release details specify no current market pricing, central bank stance or schedule for related economic publications; Updated 9/30/26.
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In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
Data as of
GBP/DOP surged 4.50% on September 30, pushing above yesterday's close of 75.55 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of 73.95–81.13; c…
IOTX/BTC slid 20.00% on September 30, pulling below yesterday's close of $0.000000 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.7% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $0.000000–$0.…
SNPS rose 4.80% on September 30, pushing above yesterday's close of $415.05 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.5% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $420.69–$430.93; cur…
GLMR/USD surged 20.20% on September 30, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.007762 — vs an avg daily swing of ±2.8% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $0.00360…
JBL fell 9.30% on September 30, pulling below yesterday's close of $319.09 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.5% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $296.45–$302.78; c…
HPE rose 5.90% on September 30, pushing above yesterday's close of $61.49 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.6% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $64.42–$88.17; current…
Russia's Unemployment Rate rose to 2.300000% in August, missing the 2.200000% estimate and up from July's 2.200000%. This increase marks a slight deterioration in the labor market after several months of stability aroun…
US Atlanta Fed GDPNow for September registered at 5.000000%, missing the previous 5.100000% estimate and prior reading. This marks a slight decline from September 16 and 17’s 5.1% estimates, indicating a modest slowdown…
US EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change rose to 2.969 million barrels in September, sharply beating the estimate of -0.600 million. This reverses the decline from August's -0.640 million, signaling a notable inventory build afte…
US EIA Gasoline Stocks Change for the week ending September 23 showed a draw of -1.686 million barrels, missing the estimate of 0.100 million and reversing the prior week's build of 0.794 million barrels. This marks a s…
Rice Futures slid 0.80% on September 30, pulling below yesterday's close of $16.41 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $16.38–$18…
NASDAQ Composite rose 1.00% on September 30, pushing above yesterday's close of $26,797.54. Updated 9/30/26
CBOE rose 4.60% on September 30, pushing above yesterday's close of $261.83 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.8% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $249.91–$461.16; cur…
MRNA fell 7.30% on September 30, pulling below yesterday's close of $203.38 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.7% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $198.83–$250.70; …
US Chicago PMI fell sharply to 47.100000 in August from July's 57.600000, missing estimates and signaling contraction in regional manufacturing. The decline from expansion territory to below the 50 threshold marks a sig…
US GDP Growth Rate QoQ for July came in at 1.500000%, matching estimates but down from June’s 2.100000%. The economy showed a slowdown in growth momentum, retreating from the prior month’s stronger expansion. Market foc…
US GDP Price Index QoQ rose to 6.400000% in August, beating the 6.300000% estimate. This marks a sharp increase from July’s 6.300000%, accelerating from June’s 3.600000% and indicating stronger inflationary pressures. M…
US Core PCE price index MoM for August rose 0.20%, matching estimates and up from July’s 0.10%. The increase signals a pickup in underlying inflation after a slower pace in July. Market pricing and Fed policy will close…
US Core PCE Price Index YoY for August came in at 3.3%, matching both the estimate and July's 3.3% reading. The inflation gauge held steady after a slight dip from June's 3.4%, indicating persistent price pressures. Mar…
US Goods Trade Balance for August came in at -118.800 billion USD, missing the estimate of -99.000 billion and worsening from July’s -101.410 billion. The deficit expanded by 17.39 billion USD month-over-month, signalin…
US PCE Price Index MoM rose 0.20% in August, beating the 0.10% estimate and reversing July’s -0.10% decline. August’s increase follows a contraction in July, signaling renewed upward pressure on consumer prices. Market …