Loading page content
Loading page content

The United States economy expanded at an annualized quarter‑on‑quarter rate of 2.1% in the first quarter of 2026, surpassing the consensus estimate of 1.6%. The reading compared with a 0.5% increase in the previous quarter, marking a 1.6‑percentage‑point acceleration in output growth. This result extended the rebound from late‑2025 softness and confirmed that activity remained in expansion territory. Stronger consumer spending and a pickup in business investment contributed most to the improvement, while government expenditure provided a smaller boost. The latest figure stood above the 12‑month average of roughly 1.3%, reflecting firmer domestic demand amid easing supply constraints. Treasury yields edged higher after the release as investors assessed implications for Federal Reserve policy and awaited upcoming inflation and employment data. Updated 6/25/26
7 models · 1,456 instruments · 6 timeframes
Market Forecasts
Economic Data
Sigmacast 7-day expected-move ranges, widest first · magnitude & recent character (not a direction call)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
CBOE Volatility Index (^VIX) rose 1.3% on June 29, pushing above yesterday's close of 18.41.
Russell 2000 (^RUT) fell 0.8% on June 29, pulling below yesterday's close of 3,010.08.
ORDI/USD surged 12.60% on June 29, pushing above yesterday's close of $3.2200 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.9% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $2.6045–$3.6891…
ADI fell 8.00% on June 29, pulling below yesterday's close of $417.88 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.7% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $379.21–$414.75; curren…
Coffee Futures slid 1.00% on June 29, pulling below yesterday's close of $272.36 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $273.10–$276…
Cocoa Futures surged 1.10% on June 29, pushing above yesterday's close of $4,993.35 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $5,094.59–$5…
Platinum Spot slid 0.50% on June 29, pulling below yesterday's close of $1,601.17 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.3% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $1,591.58–$…
ALICE/USD surged 9.50% on June 29, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.118400 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.2% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $0.078160–$0.…
EU Economic sentiment for May registered at -9.100000, improving from April’s -20.4 but still below March’s -8.5. The index shows a partial rebound in confidence after a sharp decline last month, indicating cautious opt…
Rice Futures (RR1) surged 130,869.1% on June 29, pushing above yesterday's close of 0.01.
NASDAQ 100 fell 1.10% on June 29, pulling below yesterday's close of $29,440.32. Updated 6/29/26
USD/CDF surged 1.60% on June 29, pushing above yesterday's close of 2278.61 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 2237.44–2387.09; cur…
BADGER/USD surged 7.70% on June 29, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.334300 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.9% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $0.300467–$0…
Brent Futures slid 0.50% on June 29, pulling below yesterday's close of $72.17 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.3% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $69.35–$75.34; cu…
EUR/SCR slid 3.10% on June 29, pulling below yesterday's close of 16.9600 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.2% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 14.1231–17.2164; curre…
USD/SCR slid 3.30% on June 29, pulling below yesterday's close of 14.8900 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.2% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 12.9397–15.6303; curre…
Wheat Futures surged 0.10% on June 29, pushing above yesterday's close of $576.77 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $576.41–$593.2…
PYTH/USD surged 6.40% on June 29, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.033680 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.7% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $0.028227–$0.0…
MRNA rose 12.60% on June 29, pushing above yesterday's close of $59.74 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.4% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $63.20–$231.42; current p…
ON fell 23.90% on June 29, pulling below yesterday's close of $118.79 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $86.38–$95.41; current …
GBP/ETB surged 1.80% on June 29, pushing above yesterday's close of 209.44 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.3% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 205.18–225.93; curren…