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Canada recorded annual inflation of 3% in August, matching the consensus estimate of 3% in the September 14 release and leaving the headline rate unchanged rather than delivering an upside or downside surprise against that forecast. The August reading held at July’s 3%, so the comparison between the two months shows no change in the annual inflation rate, without establishing how much consumer prices changed between July and August. The unchanged annual pace marks stability across these two readings, but it does not establish a longer trend of accelerating or easing inflation, and positive inflation still means the overall price level exceeds its year-earlier level. The headline measure captures aggregate consumer price movements rather than identifying a single sector as the driver, so an unchanged annual rate does not by itself establish whether food, energy, shelter or other categories offset one another. Against the year-earlier price level, August’s 3% increase provides a direct measure of continuing consumer price pressure, connecting the release to household purchasing power without establishing whether inflation accelerated relative to its year-ago rate or its twelve-month average. For follow-up, the relevant releases include Canada’s next consumer price report and central bank policy communications, with attention on component detail, underlying inflation measures and the stated policy stance rather than an assumed interest-rate response to this unchanged headline. Updated 9/14/26
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Sigmacast 7-day expected-move ranges, widest first · magnitude & recent character (not a direction call)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
Data as of
Orange Juice Futures slid 0.90% on September 14, pulling below yesterday's close of $146.17 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $…
BADGER/USD surged 30.90% on September 14, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.362800 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.5% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $0.342…
LSK/USD slid 40.30% on September 14, pulling below yesterday's close of $0.789300 — vs an avg daily swing of ±5.5% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $0.715365–$…
GLW fell 11.10% on September 14, pulling below yesterday's close of $166.35 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.5% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $141.55–$158.76; …
Lumber Futures slid 0.60% on September 14, pulling below yesterday's close of $578.40 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.0% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $578.61…
NASDAQ 100 fell 1.20% on September 14, pulling below yesterday's close of $29,368.44. Updated 9/14/26
USD/SOS surged 2.90% on September 14, pushing above yesterday's close of 553.91 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.0% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of 549.84–590.17…
ARK/USDT surged 18.50% on September 14, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.138100 — vs an avg daily swing of ±3.5% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $-0.0055…
CRWD rose 8.00% on September 14, pushing above yesterday's close of $206.67 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.7% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $204.62–$211.06; cur…
TER fell 9.90% on September 14, pulling below yesterday's close of $379.89 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.4% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $335.59–$350.19; c…
Brazil's Business Confidence for August rose to 46.300, beating the estimate of 44.800 and improving from July's 44.400. The index remains below the 50 threshold, indicating continued contraction but showing a clear reb…
Canada's Trimmed CPI YoY for July came in at 1.900000%, matching the previous reading but slightly above the 1.800000% estimate. July's inflation rate held steady compared to June's 1.900000%, indicating persistent pric…
Canada's Common CPI YoY rose to 2.700000% in August, beating the 2.500000% estimate. This marks an increase from July's 2.600000%, indicating a modest acceleration in inflation. Market pricing and central bank policy wi…
Canada's Median CPI YoY rose to 2.000000% in August, beating the 1.900000% estimate and up from July's 1.900000%. This increase signals a pickup in inflation pressures compared to the previous month. Market participants…
Canada's Inflation Rate MoM for August rose to 0.500000%, beating the 0.400000% estimate and reversing July's -0.400000% decline. August's 0.5% increase follows a contraction in July, signaling renewed upward pressure o…
Canada's Inflation Rate YoY for August came in at 3.000000%, beating the 2.900000% estimate. This marks an increase from July's 2.800000%, indicating a rising inflation trend. The Bank of Canada may maintain a cautious …
Canada's Core Inflation Rate YoY rose to 2.30% in August, beating the 2.20% estimate and up from July's 2.10%. This marks a rebound after a slight dip in July, indicating persistent inflationary pressures. Markets will …
Natural Gas slid 0.70% on September 14, pulling below yesterday's close of $2.91 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.3% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $2.87–$2.91; cu…
India's Inflation Rate YoY for August came in at 4.450000%, slightly below the 4.500000% estimate. This marks a modest increase from July's 4.380000%, continuing the upward trend since June's 3.93%. The steady rise in i…
USD/SCR slid 4.80% on September 14, pulling below yesterday's close of 14.7800 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.7% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 13.6058–15.6706; …
Sugar Futures slid 0.30% on September 14, pulling below yesterday's close of $18.10 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $18.09–$1…