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The United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment reading registered 47.8 for September in the September 11 release, missing the consensus estimate of 51 as households reported weaker confidence than in the preceding monthly survey. The index fell from August’s final reading of 51.7, while August itself declined from July’s final 55.2, leaving September below both preceding monthly readings and extending the downward sequence that began after July. Unlike purchasing managers’ indexes, the sentiment index does not assign an expansion or contraction boundary to 50, so its latest reading measures household attitudes rather than demonstrating a contraction in economic activity. The survey separates assessments of current economic conditions from consumer expectations, but the headline reading alone does not establish which component drove the decline or attribute the deterioration to a particular economic sector. September’s reading also stands below April’s final 49.8, adding another comparison within this year’s uneven confidence readings, although that shorter historical perspective does not establish a year-over-year change or a comparison with the 12-month average. The final September survey release provides the next related update, with its headline index, current-conditions measure, expectations component and inflation expectations offering further information on household assessments without directly measuring consumer spending, employment growth or economic output. Updated 9/13/26
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In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
Data as of
LSK/USD surged 194.80% on September 13, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.331800 — vs an avg daily swing of ±5.9% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $0.715365–$…
KAVA/USD slid 15.70% on September 13, pulling below yesterday's close of $0.072540 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.9% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $0.075164–…
Orange Juice Futures slid 0.10% on September 13, pulling below yesterday's close of $145.32 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.3% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $…
Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.00% on September 13, pushing above yesterday's close of $52,064.10. Updated 9/13/26
Canola Futures surged 0.10% on September 13, pushing above yesterday's close of $817.00 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $816.01–…
GBP/SCR surged 7.40% on September 13, pushing above yesterday's close of 18.6300 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.0% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of 18.4304–21.2…
CBOE Volatility Index fell 11.20% on September 13, pulling below yesterday's close of $17.8400. Updated 9/13/26
Soybeans Futures surged 0.10% on September 13, pushing above yesterday's close of $1,279.96 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $1,3…
Lumber Futures slid 0.10% on September 13, pulling below yesterday's close of $578.67 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $578.27…
Rice Futures surged 0.10% on September 13, pushing above yesterday's close of $15.60 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $15.61–$16.…
USD/BOB slid 2.50% on September 13, pulling below yesterday's close of 12.0500 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of 13.4892–14.807…
Aluminum Futures surged 0.10% on September 13, pushing above yesterday's close of $3,256.05 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $3,2…
Milk Futures slid 0.10% on September 13, pulling below yesterday's close of $16.16 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.0% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $15.99–$16.15…
IOST/USD slid 10.30% on September 13, pulling below yesterday's close of $0.000913 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $0.001550–…
EUR/SCR surged 7.30% on September 13, pushing above yesterday's close of 15.9700 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.2% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 14.9570–17.2696…
USD/AFN slid 1.40% on September 13, pulling below yesterday's close of 65.27 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.0% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of 64.23–68.18; cur…
SC/USD slid 6.60% on September 13, pulling below yesterday's close of $0.000971 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.2% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $0.000671–$0.…
With Bitcoin near $77,743 and weekend options volatility elevated, Wednesday's Fed decision will test whether the gap persists.
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LSK/USD surged 65.50% on September 12, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.142200 — vs an avg daily swing of ±4.8% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $0.226923–$0…
Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.00% on September 12, pushing above yesterday's close of $52,064.10. Updated 9/12/26