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The United States reported a 2 percent quarter-on-quarter increase in gross domestic product for the first quarter of 2026, missing the consensus estimate of 2.2 percent. This marks a significant acceleration from the previous quarter’s 0.5 percent growth. The latest reading continues an upward trend, moving further above the 0 percent contraction threshold that signals economic expansion. Strong consumer spending was the primary driver behind the GDP increase this quarter. Compared to the rolling 12-month forecast of 2.10 percent, the current figure is slightly below recent expectations, reflecting ongoing challenges in sustaining higher growth rates. Market participants now focus on upcoming Federal Reserve communications and next month’s inflation data for further economic direction. Updated 4/30/26
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Sigmacast 7-day ensemble predictions · Updated every pipeline run
KNC/USD surged 22.3% on May 2, pushing above yesterday's close of 0.13840. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BULLISH, projecting a 7-day zone of 0.13462–0.15658.
Cboe Global Markets Inc. (CBOE) rose 8.8% on May 2, beating yesterday's close of $300.53. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BULLISH, projecting a 7-day zone of $324.18–$361.98.
AUD/XAF surged 0.2% on May 2, pushing above yesterday's close of 402.24. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BULLISH, projecting a 7-day zone of 395.6733–412.7269.
AUD/EUR surged 0.2% on May 2, pushing above yesterday's close of 0.61. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BULLISH, projecting a 7-day zone of 0.6050–0.6300.
CBOE VIX came in at 16.89Index, down from previous 18.81Index. High impact.
10Y-3M Treasury Spread came in at 0.71%, down from previous 0.72%. High impact.
High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) came in at 2.83%, up from previous 2.82%. High impact.
KNC/BTC surged 18.1% on May 2, pushing above yesterday's close of 0.00000177. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BEARISH, projecting a 7-day zone of 0.00000170–0.00000197.
GBP/FJD surged 0.2% on May 2, pushing above yesterday's close of 2.99. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BULLISH, projecting a 7-day zone of 2.9127–3.0601.
JPY/RUB slid 0.4% on May 2, pulling below yesterday's close of 0.48. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BEARISH, projecting a 7-day zone of 0.4609–0.4906.
KAVA/USD surged 9.5% on May 2, pushing above yesterday's close of 0.05680. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BEARISH, projecting a 7-day zone of 0.05312–0.06082.
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AUD/USD surged 0.7% on May 1, pushing above yesterday's close of 0.72. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BULLISH, projecting a 7-day zone of 0.7096–0.7449.
TFUEL/BTC slid 12.5% on May 1, pulling below yesterday's close of 0.00000016. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BEARISH, projecting a 7-day zone of 0.00000000–0.00000005.
LKQ Corporation (LKQ) fell 9.8% on May 1, pulling below yesterday's close of $31.59. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BEARISH, projecting a 7-day zone of $31.54–$33.85.
Australia's CFTC AUD speculative net positions for April registered at 64.800000K, slightly below March's 65.100000K. The data shows a modest decline from March to April, indicating a small reduction in speculative net …
Brazil's CFTC BRL speculative net positions rose to 43.5K in April, up from 40.0K in March, marking a rebound after a mid-month dip to 40.0K. The increase signals renewed speculative interest in the Brazilian real follo…
US CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions fell to 192.300 K in April from March’s 206.500 K, marking a decline in speculative bullishness. The drop from March to April signals reduced net long exposure after a peak of…
EU CFTC EUR speculative net positions rose to 41.300000K in the week ending April 24, up from 26.000000K the prior week, signaling increased bullish sentiment. This marks a rebound from the negative and near-zero levels…
UK CFTC GBP speculative net positions for April registered at -52.000000K, improving from March's -54.700000K. The data shows a reduction in net short positions, signaling a slight easing in bearish speculative sentimen…