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Sigmanomics — The Market Forecast Engine

China Exports YoY Rises 14.1 Percent, Beats Consensus Strongly

China’s exports grew 14.1% year-over-year in April 2026, significantly surpassing the consensus estimate of 7.9%. This marks a sharp acceleration from March’s 2.5% increase, resulting in an 11.6 percentage point jump between the two months. The latest reading extends the upward trend, with export growth now well above the 12-month rolling average of 9.25%. Electronics and machinery shipments were key contributors to the robust headline figure. Compared to April 2025, the export surge reflects improving external demand and easing supply chain constraints amid global economic recovery. Market participants are watching for upcoming trade and industrial production data, as well as any policy signals from the People’s Bank of China. Updated 5/9/26

THE MARKET

FORECAST ENGINE

7 models · 1,456 instruments · 6 timeframes

LIVE SIGNALS

7-Day Forecast · May 17, 2026LIVE

EUR/USD→ FLAT1.1561–1.2035

BTC/USD▲ BULL78095.17–86293.47

AAPL▲ BULL287.47–308.05

XAU/USD▼ BEAR4706.83–4717.68

Start Free →View Track Record

Market Forecasts

1,456+

instruments tracked

1M+

forecasts scored

83%

zone accuracy

5

asset classes

Economic Data

4,151

economic indicators

127

countries covered

6

data sources

FRED · BLS · EIA · ECB · BOJ · FMP

Today's Forecasts

Sigmacast 7-day ensemble predictions · Updated every pipeline run

7-DAY FORECASTLIVEMay 10, 2026 – May 17, 2026

Last updated: May 10, 2026 06:10 AM UTCView All 1,456 →

EUR/USD→ SIDEWAYS

Contains price ~83% of the time

BTC/USD▲ BULLISH

78095.1786293.47

Contains price ~74% of the time

AAPL▲ BULLISH

Contains price ~96% of the time

XAU/USD▼ BEARISH

Symbol	Price

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Latest updates

Milk Futures slid 0.1%

33 mins agoHigh

Milk Futures (DA) slid 0.1% on May 10, pulling below yesterday's close of 16.96.

NASDAQ 100 rose 2.4%

33 mins agoHigh

NASDAQ 100 (^NDX) rose 2.4% on May 10, pushing above yesterday's close of 28,563.95.

DAX fell 1.3%

33 mins agoHigh

DAX (^GDAXI) fell 1.3% on May 10, pulling below yesterday's close of 24,663.61.

RVN/BTC slid 12.5%

38 mins agoHigh

RVN/BTC slid 12.5% on May 10, pulling below yesterday's close of 0.00000008. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BEARISH.

Orange Juice Futures surged 0.1%

Orange Juice Futures (JO1) surged 0.1% on May 10, pushing above yesterday's close of 183.17.

Oat Futures slid 0.1%

Oat Futures (O_1) slid 0.1% on May 10, pulling below yesterday's close of 331.15.

Cocoa Futures surged 0.1%

Cocoa Futures (CC1) surged 0.1% on May 10, pushing above yesterday's close of 4,181.08.

Wheat Futures slid 0.1%

Wheat Futures (W_1) slid 0.1% on May 10, pulling below yesterday's close of 607.69.

XEC/USD surged 25.3%

XEC/USD surged 25.3% on May 10, pushing above yesterday's close of 0.00000759. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BEARISH.

Coffee Futures surged 0.1%

Coffee Futures (KC1) surged 0.1% on May 10, pushing above yesterday's close of 274.75.

Gasoline Futures slid 0.1%

Gasoline Futures (XB1) slid 0.1% on May 10, pulling below yesterday's close of 3.53.

USD/SCR surged 2.8%

USD/SCR surged 2.8% on May 10, pushing above yesterday's close of 14.40. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BULLISH.

AUD/LBP slid 1.8%

AUD/LBP slid 1.8% on May 10, pulling below yesterday's close of 66,354.32. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BEARISH.

LUMIA/USD surged 8.1%

LUMIA/USD surged 8.1% on May 10, pushing above yesterday's close of 0.12480. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BEARISH.

EUR/SCR surged 2.8%

EUR/SCR surged 2.8% on May 10, pushing above yesterday's close of 16.97. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BEARISH.

USD/LBP slid 1.7%

USD/LBP slid 1.7% on May 10, pulling below yesterday's close of 91,524.53. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BEARISH.

Soybeans Futures slid 0.1%

Soybeans Futures (S_1) slid 0.1% on May 10, pulling below yesterday's close of 1,194.74.

KNC/USD surged 2.7%

KNC/USD surged 2.7% on May 10, pushing above yesterday's close of 0.15370. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BEARISH.

IOTX/BTC slid 14.3%

IOTX/BTC slid 14.3% on May 10, pulling below yesterday's close of 0.00000007. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BEARISH.

Arbitrum's $71 million in ETH cleared for Aave transfer as North Korea terrorism creditors retain legal claim

The order shields anyone who votes on the transfer from being held in violation of the freeze, though the ultimate fate of the funds remains unclear.

Lumber Futures slid 0.1%

Lumber Futures (LB1) slid 0.1% on May 10, pulling below yesterday's close of 580.20.