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Sigmanomics — The Market Forecast Engine

China Exports YoY Rises 14.1 Percent, Surpassing Consensus Strongly

China’s exports grew 14.1% year-over-year in April 2026, beating the consensus estimate of 7.9%. This marks a significant acceleration from March’s 2.5% increase, an 11.6 percentage point jump between the two months. The latest reading extends the upward trend, with export growth now well above the 12-month rolling average of 9.25%. Electronics and machinery shipments were key contributors to the robust headline figure. Compared to April 2025, the export surge reflects improving external demand and easing supply chain constraints amid global economic recovery. Market participants are watching for upcoming trade and industrial production data, as well as any policy signals from the People’s Bank of China. Updated 5/9/26

THE MARKET

FORECAST ENGINE

7 models · 1,456 instruments · 6 timeframes

LIVE SIGNALS

7-Day Forecast · May 18, 2026LIVE

EUR/USD→ FLAT1.1536–1.1950

BTC/USD▼ BEAR74840.36–83059.55

AAPL▲ BULL287.47–308.05

XAU/USD▲ BULL4669.28–4686.06

Start Free →View Track Record

Market Forecasts

1,456+

instruments tracked

1M+

forecasts scored

83%

zone accuracy

5

asset classes

Economic Data

4,151

economic indicators

127

countries covered

6

data sources

FRED · BLS · EIA · ECB · BOJ · FMP

Today's Forecasts

Sigmacast 7-day ensemble predictions · Updated every pipeline run

7-DAY FORECASTLIVEMay 11, 2026 – May 18, 2026

Last updated: May 11, 2026 06:08 AM UTCView All 1,456 →

EUR/USD→ SIDEWAYS

Contains price ~83% of the time

BTC/USD▼ BEARISH

74840.3683059.55

Contains price ~74% of the time

AAPL▲ BULLISH

Contains price ~96% of the time

XAU/USD▲ BULLISH

Symbol	Price

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Latest updates

Cocoa Futures surged 1.0%

37 mins agoHigh

Cocoa Futures (CC1) surged 1.0% on May 11, pushing above yesterday's close of 4,446.28.

Palladium Spot slid 0.3%

Palladium Spot (XPD/USD) slid 0.3% on May 11, pulling below yesterday's close of 1,474.25.

CBOE Volatility Index rose 5.9%

CBOE Volatility Index (^VIX) rose 5.9% on May 11, pushing above yesterday's close of 17.19.

USD/PHP surged 0.9%

USD/PHP surged 0.9% on May 11, pushing above yesterday's close of 60.47. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BULLISH.

AKAM rose 26.7%

Akamai Technologies Inc. (AKAM) rose 26.7% on May 11, beating yesterday's close of $116.58. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BULLISH.

MTD fell 14.8%

Mettler-Toledo International Inc. (MTD) fell 14.8% on May 11, pulling below yesterday's close of $1,321.18. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BULLISH.

Wheat Futures surged 0.1%

Wheat Futures (W_1) surged 0.1% on May 11, pushing above yesterday's close of 611.93.

NASDAQ 100 rose 2.4%

NASDAQ 100 (^NDX) rose 2.4% on May 11, pushing above yesterday's close of 28,563.95.

DAX fell 1.3%

DAX (^GDAXI) fell 1.3% on May 11, pulling below yesterday's close of 24,663.61.

USD/PGK surged 1.1%

USD/PGK surged 1.1% on May 11, pushing above yesterday's close of 4.33. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BULLISH.

Brent Futures surged 0.1%

Brent Futures (CO1) surged 0.1% on May 11, pushing above yesterday's close of 105.49.

Rice Futures slid 99.9%

Rice Futures (RR1) slid 99.9% on May 11, pulling below yesterday's close of 11.82.

USD/HUF surged 0.9%

USD/HUF surged 0.9% on May 11, pushing above yesterday's close of 299.58. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BEARISH.

Gold Spot slid 0.4%

Gold Spot (XAU/USD) slid 0.4% on May 11, pulling below yesterday's close of 4,700.80.

GNS/USD slid 5.2%

GNS/USD slid 5.2% on May 11, pulling below yesterday's close of 0.64000. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BEARISH.

China Inflation Rate Falls 0.7% in March, Below -0.2% Forecast and Down From 1.0% February

China's Inflation Rate MoM for March came in at -0.700000%, missing the -0.200000% estimate and down sharply from February's 1.000000%. This marks a significant contraction in monthly inflation, reversing the prior mont…

China Inflation Rate Falls To 1.0% In March, Below 1.2% Forecast And Down From 1.3%

9 hrs agoCNHigh

China's Inflation Rate YoY for March came in at 1.000000%, missing the 1.200000% estimate and down from February's 1.300000%. This marks a deceleration in annual inflation, indicating softer price pressures compared to …

China Producer Price Index Rises 0.5% in April, Beats 0.4% Forecast, Up From -0.9%

China's Producer Price Index YoY rose to 0.500000% in April, beating the 0.400000% estimate and reversing March's -0.900000% decline. This marks a significant shift from contraction to expansion in producer prices year-…

China CPI Falls 0.7% in March, Misses -0.2% Forecast, Down From 1.0% in February

China's CPI MoM for March fell by -0.700%, missing the -0.200% estimate and down sharply from February's 1.000% rise. This marks a significant monthly contraction in consumer prices, indicating weakening inflationary pr…

China CPI YoY Falls To 1.00% In March, Below 1.20% Forecast And Down From 1.30%

China's CPI YoY for March came in at 1.00%, missing the 1.20% estimate and down from February's 1.30%. This decline signals a further slowdown in inflationary pressures compared to the prior month. Market focus now shif…

“I'm Pretty Confident That Was the Bottom at $60K,” Says Pompliano as Bitcoin Surges

Pomp points to $60K as Bitcoin's cycle floor, citing institutional demand and shifting investor confidence.