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The United States economy expanded at an annualized quarter‑on‑quarter rate of 2.1% in the first quarter of 2026, surpassing the consensus estimate of 1.6%. The reading compared with a 0.5% increase in the previous quarter, marking a 1.6‑percentage‑point acceleration in output growth. This result extended the rebound from late‑2025 softness and confirmed that activity remained in expansion territory. Stronger consumer spending and a pickup in business investment contributed most to the improvement, while government expenditure provided a smaller boost. The latest figure stood above the 12‑month average of roughly 1.3%, reflecting firmer domestic demand amid easing supply constraints. Treasury yields edged higher after the release as investors assessed implications for Federal Reserve policy and awaited upcoming inflation and employment data. Updated 6/25/26
7 models · 1,456 instruments · 6 timeframes
Market Forecasts
Economic Data
Sigmacast 7-day expected-move ranges, widest first · magnitude & recent character (not a direction call)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
CAD/RUB surged 1.4% on June 28, pushing above yesterday's close of 54.82.
Rice Futures (RR1) surged 0.1% on June 28, pushing above yesterday's close of 13.10.
Cocoa Futures slid 0.10% on June 28, pulling below yesterday's close of $5,096.86 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.0% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $5,094.70–$…
USD/HTG slid 0.50% on June 28, pulling below yesterday's close of 131.49 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.0% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 124.25–129.86; current …
GBP/RUB surged 1.40% on June 28, pushing above yesterday's close of 102.69 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 95.78–102.49; current…
Lumber Futures surged 0.10% on June 28, pushing above yesterday's close of $617.87 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.0% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $611.88–$634.…
Gasoline Futures slid 0.00% on June 28, pulling below yesterday's close of $2.96 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $2.94–$2.96;…
S/USD surged 14.30% on June 28, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.022190 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.6% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $0.012165–$0.017…
Ethanol Futures surged 0.10% on June 28, pushing above yesterday's close of $1.90 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.0% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $1.87–$2.03; c…
Sugar Futures slid 0.10% on June 28, pulling below yesterday's close of $14.52 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.0% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $14.52–$14.78;…
AUD/RUB surged 1.30% on June 28, pushing above yesterday's close of 53.63 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.2% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 50.56–54.13; current p…
EUR/HTG slid 0.50% on June 28, pulling below yesterday's close of 149.78 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.0% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 139.45–147.19; current …
EUR/RUB surged 1.30% on June 28, pushing above yesterday's close of 88.62 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.2% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of 80.81–86.15; curren…
EUR/GMD surged 1.00% on June 28, pushing above yesterday's close of 83.71 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.0% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of 79.37–85.22; curren…
EUR/KYD slid 0.50% on June 28, pulling below yesterday's close of 0.9400 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of 0.9215–0.9758; curre…
Cheese Futures surged 0.10% on June 28, pushing above yesterday's close of $1.54 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $1.53–$1.58; cu…
Milk Futures slid 0.10% on June 28, pulling below yesterday's close of $16.02 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.0% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $15.65–$16.01; …
RLC/BTC slid 6.30% on June 28, pulling below yesterday's close of $0.000005 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.2% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $0.000004–$0.000006;…
Chainlink Powering TradFi Future? DTCC AppChain and Project Pangea Put LINK Middleware in Focus: a fresh look at Chainlink DTCC Project Pangea, market cont
SNX/USD surged 22.90% on June 28, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.201000 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.4% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $0.177082–$0.2…
Sui Defends Macro Support as Traders Watch the $0.68 Level: key Sui market levels, on-chain context, risk notes, and what traders are watching next.