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The United Kingdom’s S&P Global services purchasing managers’ index registered 51.7 in the September 23 release, missing the consensus estimate of 52 while remaining above the threshold that separates expanding activity from contraction. The index declined from the previous reading of 52.5, indicating that service providers experienced a slower pace of business activity growth, rather than an outright decline in activity across the surveyed sector. Readings above 50 indicate expansion compared with the preceding month, while readings below that level indicate contraction, so the latest result represents continued growth despite the retreat in the headline measure. The services business activity index tracks changes in activity reported by surveyed companies, rather than combining separate readings for employment, new orders and prices into the headline number, an important distinction when interpreting its movement. Services activity forms part of the broader assessment of UK economic momentum, but this diffusion index measures the breadth and direction of reported changes rather than a percentage growth rate for output or gross domestic product. Subsequent services surveys and official output releases provide separate measures for assessing economic conditions, while the latest PMI alone does not establish current interest-rate market pricing, the Bank of England’s policy stance or a timetable for policy changes. Updated 9/23/26
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Sigmacast 7-day expected-move ranges, widest first · magnitude & recent character (not a direction call)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
Data as of
Natural Gas slid 0.80% on September 23, pulling below yesterday's close of $3.02 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.2% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $3.03–$3.19;…
USD/CLP surged 1.70% on September 23, pushing above yesterday's close of 944.59 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 923.92–974.72; c…
VET/BTC surged 20.00% on September 23, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.000000 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.7% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $0.000000–$0…
IOTX/BTC slid 20.00% on September 23, pulling below yesterday's close of $0.000000 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.7% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $0.000000–$0.…
DFS rose 6.80% on September 23, pushing above yesterday's close of $139.00 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.4% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $138.14–$147.61; c…
EXPE fell 7.40% on September 23, pulling below yesterday's close of $280.71 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.0% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $221.92–$285.60; …
US EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change for the week ending September 16 showed a draw of -0.640 million barrels, missing the estimate of -1.600 million but larger than the prior week's -0.391 million draw on September 10. This …
US EIA Gasoline Stocks Change rose by 0.794 million barrels in the week ending September 16, beating the estimate of -1.000 million and down from September 10’s 1.269 million increase. This marks a slowdown in inventory…
Cocoa Futures surged 0.30% on September 23, pushing above yesterday's close of $5,450.86 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.3% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $5,2…
CBOE Volatility Index rose 2.00% on September 23, pushing above yesterday's close of $14.2100. Updated 9/23/26
Russell 2000 fell 1.00% on September 23, pulling below yesterday's close of $2,889.92. Updated 9/23/26
COTI/USD surged 13.10% on September 23, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.015430 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.3% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $0.00210…
PLTR rose 4.10% on September 23, pushing above yesterday's close of $184.98 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.5% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $181.90–$189.39; …
PAYX fell 6.30% on September 23, pulling below yesterday's close of $114.53 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.5% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $91.82–$106.28; c…
US S&P Global Composite PMI for August came in at 56.00, matching estimates and rising from July’s 54.5, signaling continued expansion. The increase from July to August reflects strengthening business activity across se…
US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for August came in at 53.900000, matching July’s reading exactly. August’s 53.9 held steady above the 50 expansion threshold, indicating continued manufacturing growth. Market focus remai…
US S&P Global Services PMI for August came in at 56.500000, missing the estimate of 56.800000 but rising from July’s 54.600000, signaling continued expansion in the sector. The index improved from July’s 54.6 to August’…
South Africa's Interest Rate Decision held steady at 7.000000% in July 2026, matching the previous reading and missing the 7.250000% estimate. The rate remained unchanged from May's 7.000000%, maintaining a stable monet…
Canada's New Housing Price Index MoM for August registered at -0.1%, matching July's -0.1% and missing the 0.0% estimate. The index remains in contraction territory, holding steady after declines of -0.3% in June and -0…
USD/HUF surged 1.20% on September 23, pushing above yesterday's close of 315.45 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 316.26–336.17; c…
PUMP/USDT slid 6.10% on September 23, pulling below yesterday's close of $0.004484 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.5% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $0.003481–$0.…