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United Kingdom retail sales increased 1.2% month‑on‑month in May 2026, surpassing the consensus estimate of a 0.5% gain. The reading followed a 1.0% decline in April, marking a solid rebound in consumer spending. The latest figure reversed two consecutive monthly contractions and signaled renewed momentum in household demand. Non‑food store sales provided the main boost, offsetting weaker fuel volumes. Compared with the 12‑month average monthly change of roughly 0.1%, May’s result highlighted stronger‑than‑usual retail activity amid easing inflation pressures. The pound traded modestly higher after the release as investors assessed implications for the Bank of England’s upcoming policy meeting. Updated 6/19/26
7 models · 1,456 instruments · 6 timeframes
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Sigmacast 7-day expected-move ranges, widest first · magnitude & recent character (not a direction call)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
Sugar Futures (SB1) slid 0.5% on June 23, pulling below yesterday's close of 13.97.
HMSTR/USDT slid 8.30% on June 23, pulling below yesterday's close of $0.000184 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.4% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $0.000090–$0.0001…
Strive Inc. acquired 759 Bitcoin for roughly $50M, increasing its total holdings to about 19,864 BTC, according to its June 22 disclosure. The purchase was executed at an average price of $65,850 per
South Korea Consumer Confidence actual 106.6 vs 107 expected and 106.1 prior.
Australia S&P Global Manufacturing PMI actual 51.2 vs 50 expected and 50.7 prior.
Australia S&P Global Services PMI actual 49.9 vs 49 expected and 48.7 prior.
Australia’s CFTC AUD speculative net positions fell sharply to 18.200 K in June from May’s 41.800 K, marking a significant decline in speculative long exposure. The drop from May to June signals a notable reduction in b…
Brazil's CFTC BRL speculative net positions fell to 43.800000K in June from May's 47.000000K, marking a decline in speculative interest. The June reading shows a contraction from the prior month’s higher levels, reversi…
US CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions fell to 130.300K in June, missing the prior 155.900K reading from May. This decline marks a continued reduction in speculative net positions after May’s 155.9K versus April’s …
EU CFTC EUR speculative net positions fell sharply to 13.900000K in the week ending June 12, down from 48.900000K the prior week, marking a significant decline in speculative long exposure. This drop follows a volatile …
The UK’s CFTC GBP speculative net positions registered at -64.200000K for June, a notable decline from May’s -52.200000K. This deepening net short position signals increased bearish sentiment on the pound compared to th…
US CFTC Gold Speculative net positions for June registered at 173.800000K, slightly below May’s 176.000000K. The data shows a modest decline from May to June, indicating a small reduction in speculative net positions. M…
Japan's CFTC JPY speculative net positions reached -145.800K in June, deepening from May's -129.600K. This marks a continued increase in net short positioning on the yen, reflecting growing bearish sentiment. Market par…
US CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions rose to -1.300000K in June from -14.900000K in May, marking a significant reduction in net short exposure. May's -14.9K contrasted sharply with June's -1.3K, indicating a not…
US CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions stood at -205.600000K for the week ending June 12, 2026, improving from -220.800000K the prior week. This marks a reduction in net short exposure compared to June 5’s reading, s…
ALICE/USD slid 5.60% on June 22, pulling below yesterday's close of $0.136700 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.8% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $0.104448–$0.12822…
NASDAQ Composite fell 1.20% on June 22, pulling below yesterday's close of $26,517.93. Updated 6/22/26
REEF/USD slid 5.40% on June 22, pulling below yesterday's close of $0.000056 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.9% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $0.000047–$0.000059…
SMCI rose 13.70% on June 22, pushing above yesterday's close of $30.66 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.3% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $24.29–$43.47; current…
MRNA fell 8.20% on June 22, pulling below yesterday's close of $64.13 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $58.85–$68.05; current …
Gasoline Futures surged 0.70% on June 22, pushing above yesterday's close of $2.98 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.6% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $2.92–$2.98; …