US Inflation Rate Slips To 0.4%, Above 0.3% Consensus

US month-over-month inflation was 0.4%, versus a consensus of 0.3% and a previous reading of 0.6%. It matched the 0.4% reading before the previous release.

Released Nov 10, 2026

Stocks: last price, change, today's 7-day 80% expected-move zone and the outcome of the last 7-day band to resolve
Symbol	Last	Chg	Today's 7D · 80% zone	Last 7D band
Apple · AAPL	350.49	+2.37%	333.18 – 367.80	breached · issued 2 Nov
Microsoft · MSFT	545.18	+2.76%	509.81 – 580.55	breached · issued 2 Nov
Nvidia · NVDA	178.60	−4.33%	162.93 – 194.27	breached · issued 2 Nov
Alphabet · GOOGL	288.15	+1.20%	259.72 – 316.57	contained · issued 2 Nov
Amazon · AMZN	267.01	+2.95%	248.52 – 285.50	breached · issued 2 Nov
Meta · META	641.41	+5.13%	594.33 – 688.49	breached · issued 2 Nov
Tesla · TSLA	377.92	+5.50%	336.59 – 419.25	contained · issued 2 Nov
JPMorgan · JPM	342.05	+2.26%	325.16 – 358.94	contained · issued 2 Nov

More stocks

Forex: last price, change, today's 7-day 80% expected-move zone and the outcome of the last 7-day band to resolve
Symbol	Last	Chg	Today's 7D · 80% zone	Last 7D band
EUR/USD	1.1221	+0.25%	1.1033 – 1.1353	withheld · DC-001
GBP/USD	1.3443	+0.18%	1.3226 – 1.3611	withheld · DC-001
USD/JPY	158.070	+0.08%	156.460 – 159.430	withheld · DC-001
AUD/USD	0.6921	+0.32%	0.6752 – 0.7046	withheld · DC-001
USD/CHF	0.8199	+0.12%	0.8079 – 0.8300	withheld · DC-001
USD/CAD	1.4121	+0.15%	1.3944 – 1.4253	withheld · DC-001
NZD/USD	0.5636	+0.38%	0.5459 – 0.5770	withheld · DC-001
EUR/GBP	0.8345	+0.04%	0.8290 – 0.8394	withheld · DC-001

More forex

Crypto: last price, change, today's 7-day 80% expected-move zone and the outcome of the last 7-day band to resolve
Symbol	Last	Chg	Today's 7D · 80% zone	Last 7D band
Bitcoin · BTC/USD	74,770.02	−0.79%	69,665.37 – 80,058.65	contained · issued 2 Nov
Ether · ETH/USD	2,122.31	−0.61%	1,913.61 – 2,347.47	breached · issued 2 Nov
Solana · SOL/USD	86.25	−0.56%	78.97 – 94.09	contained · issued 2 Nov
XRP/USD	1.10	−0.26%	0.99 – 1.20	breached · issued 2 Nov
BNB · BNB/USD	688.91	−0.37%	630.21 – 748.79	contained · issued 2 Nov
Cardano · ADA/USD	0.1773	−0.06%	0.1586 – 0.1968	contained · issued 2 Nov
Dogecoin · DOGE/USD	0.0698	−0.36%	0.0635 – 0.0766	contained · issued 2 Nov
Litecoin · LTC/USD	51.25	−0.33%	45.55 – 57.43	contained · issued 2 Nov

More crypto

Commodities: last price, change, today's 7-day 80% expected-move zone and the outcome of the last 7-day band to resolve
Symbol	Last	Chg	Today's 7D · 80% zone	Last 7D band
Gold · XAU/USD	4,113.64	−0.23%	3,955.62 – 4,290.87	withheld · DC-001
Silver · XAG/USD	53.01	+0.40%	49.17 – 56.43	withheld · DC-001
WTI crude · CL1	85.90	−1.64%	81.07 – 93.60	withheld · DC-001
Brent crude · CO1	91.71	−2.28%	87.70 – 100.00	withheld · DC-001
Natural gas · NG/USD	3.20	+4.06%	2.67 – 3.48	withheld · DC-001
Platinum · XPT/USD	1,578.72	+1.44%	1,459.40 – 1,653.08	withheld · DC-001
Palladium · XPD/USD	1,041.72	+1.05%	956.06 – 1,105.67	withheld · DC-001
Coffee · KC1	273.03	−2.31%	265.39 – 293.58	withheld · DC-001

More commodities

Indices: last price, change, today's 7-day 80% expected-move zone and the outcome of the last 7-day band to resolve
Symbol	Last	Chg	Today's 7D · 80% zone	Last 7D band
S&P 500 · ^GSPC	7,556.16	+2.40%	7,242.55 – 7,869.77	contained · issued 2 Nov
Nasdaq 100 · ^NDX	27,905.46	+3.43%	26,126.61 – 29,684.31	contained · issued 2 Nov
Dow Jones · ^DJI	52,385.95	+2.16%	50,375.29 – 54,396.61	contained · issued 2 Nov
Russell 2000 · ^RUT	2,840.90	+3.16%	2,717.75 – 2,964.06	contained · issued 2 Nov
DAX · ^GDAXI	26,262.50	+1.81%	25,435.85 – 27,089.15	contained · issued 2 Nov
FTSE 100 · ^FTSE	10,779.72	+1.03%	10,562.37 – 10,997.07	contained · issued 2 Nov
Nikkei 225 · ^N225	60,411.92	+2.78%	55,560.77 – 61,990.23	breached · issued 2 Nov
Hang Seng · ^HSI	24,534.26	+0.43%	23,435.57 – 25,424.43	breached · issued 2 Nov

More indices

Ranges issued 2026-11-09 · scored on /accuracy

Expected-move ranges for 1,445 instruments — scored in public.

How far a price is likely to move over 7, 14 and 28 days, sized from realised volatility and graded against what actually happened.

80% zones contained price on — of graded windows · 7D · frozen monthly on /accuracy · forex & commodities excluded while their price history is re-verified

How it works. Each day we issue a 60%, 80% and 95% expected-move range for every instrument from its realised volatility. When the horizon ends we grade the range against the actual close, publish every result, and freeze the scoreboard monthly so it cannot be re-cut. Methodology · Full record

See today's ranges Track record

Today · Economic calendar

High-impact economic releases, times in US Eastern
Time (ET)	Release	Actual	Consensus and previous
08:30	US Inflation Rate YoY +3 related	—	cons 3.9% · prev 3.7%
Wed	DE Inflation Rate YoY +1 related	—	cons 3.4% · prev 3.3%

All releases · consensus shown where published · times ET

Stocks

Stocks: last price and 7-day 80% zone
Symbol	Last	Today's 7D 80% zone
Visa	422.36	402.75–441.97
Walmart	125.61	119.68–131.54
Costco	1,066.11	1,022.78–1,109.44
UnitedHealth	397.52	383.09–411.94

Forex

Forex: last price and 7-day 80% zone
Symbol	Last	Today's 7D 80% zone
EUR/JPY	177.355	174.494–179.101
EUR/CHF	0.9197	0.9091–0.9242
USD/CNH	6.6684	6.6379–6.7030
USD/MXN	18.5253	18.1920–19.0006

Crypto

Crypto: last price and 7-day 80% zone
Symbol	Last	Today's 7D 80% zone
Avalanche	8.57	7.53–9.74
Polkadot	0.8520	0.7596–0.9644
Bitcoin Cash	237.30	211.57–265.83
Stellar	0.1469	0.1313–0.1635

Commodities

Commodities: last price and 7-day 80% zone
Symbol	Last	Today's 7D 80% zone
Cocoa	5,001.29	4,817.54–5,208.16
Sugar	18.21	17.68–19.04
Wheat	588.70	572.77–608.29
Corn	439.82	433.18–451.55

Indices

Indices: last price and 7-day 80% zone
Symbol	Last	Today's 7D 80% zone
Nasdaq Composite	25,251.39	23,851.77–26,651.02
CAC 40	8,236.03	8,044.80–8,427.26
Euro Stoxx 50	6,295.50	6,106.97–6,484.03
ASX 200	9,133.70	8,864.05–9,242.55

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Data as of Nov 9, 2026 22:00 UTC