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US personal spending rose 0.3% month-over-month in June 2026, matching the 0.3% consensus estimate. The June reading slowed from a revised 0.9% increase in May 2026, marking a 0.6 percentage point deceleration in the pace of consumer outlays. This latest print keeps US consumption growth positive but moderating compared with the stronger gains seen earlier in the second quarter, when May spending advanced 0.9% after a 0.7% rise in April. Services outlays typically account for the largest share of US personal spending, and recent reports from the Bureau of Economic Analysis have highlighted services as a key driver of overall consumption, though the June release details remain focused on the aggregate headline figure. Compared with the 0.3% increase recorded in December 2025, the current 0.3% June 2026 gain aligns with a pattern of steady but unspectacular monthly growth in US consumer spending, an important pillar of overall economic activity. Market participants now monitor how this spending trajectory interacts with US inflation readings, labor market data, and Federal Reserve communications to assess the broader policy and growth backdrop. Updated 7/30/26
7 models · 1,456 instruments · 6 timeframes
Market Forecasts
Economic Data
Sigmacast 7-day expected-move ranges, widest first · magnitude & recent character (not a direction call)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
Data as of
IOTX/BTC surged 33.30% on July 30, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.000000 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $0.000000–$0.…
FICO fell 16.40% on July 30, pulling below yesterday's close of $1,376.13 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.6% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $1,057.68–$1,193.68…
Canola Futures slid 0.80% on July 30, pulling below yesterday's close of $777.25 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.2% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $723.79–$892…
GBP/SCR surged 5.10% on July 30, pushing above yesterday's close of 18.5800 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.2% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of 17.1053–20.8934; …
USD/JPY slid 2.30% on July 30, pulling below yesterday's close of 163.77 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 159.91–166.59; current …
MKTX rose 29.70% on July 30, pushing above yesterday's close of $125.71 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.2% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $124.79–$157.97; current…
US Atlanta Fed GDPNow for July registered at 1.500000%, missing the prior 1.600000% estimate and previous reading. This marks a decline from June’s 2.5% to July’s 1.5%, signaling a slowdown in growth momentum. Market fo…
USD/KRW slid 2.00% on July 30, pulling below yesterday's close of 1452.38 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 1380.59–1458.60; curre…
Orange Juice Futures slid 1.20% on July 30, pulling below yesterday's close of $137.16 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.4% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $129.2…
NASDAQ 100 rose 3.10% on July 30, pushing above yesterday's close of $27,192.31. Updated 7/30/26
GIGGLE/USDT surged 16.40% on July 30, pushing above yesterday's close of $25.4000 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.0% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $21.5829–$2…
COTI/USD slid 9.60% on July 30, pulling below yesterday's close of $0.017290 — vs an avg daily swing of ±3.0% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $0.012750–$0.017…
LRCX rose 21.60% on July 30, pushing above yesterday's close of $251.00 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.3% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $204.50–$508.19; current…
LKQ fell 18.10% on July 30, pulling below yesterday's close of $26.38 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.6% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $26.27–$26.63; current pri…
US GDP Growth Rate QoQ for May came in at 2.100000%, beating the 1.600000% estimate. This marks a significant acceleration from April’s 1.600000%, indicating stronger economic momentum. Markets will closely watch upcomi…
US Gross Domestic Product QoQ rose 2.100000% in Q2 2026, beating the 1.600000% estimate and up from 0.500000% in Q1 2026. The acceleration signals stronger economic growth compared to the previous quarter’s modest pace.…
US Core PCE price index MoM for May came in at 0.3%, matching the prior month’s 0.3% and consensus. May’s reading shows a rebound from April’s 0.2%, indicating steady inflation pressure. Market pricing remains aligned w…
US GDP Price Index QoQ for May came in at 3.600000%, matching the previous reading of 3.600000% from April. The index held steady after April's 3.600000%, indicating no change in inflationary pressures within GDP prices…
US PCE Price Index MoM for June came in at 0.40%, matching May’s 0.40% and missing the 0.50% estimate. The reading indicates steady inflation pressure with no acceleration from May’s level. Market focus remains on upcom…
The US PCE Price Index YoY for June rose to 4.100000%, matching estimates and up from May’s 3.800000%. This increase signals a continued acceleration in inflation compared to the prior month. Market focus will remain on…
US Personal Income MoM rose 0.700000% in May, beating the 0.400000% estimate and up from April's 0.000000%. This marks a clear acceleration in income growth month-over-month, signaling stronger consumer cash flow. Marke…