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Sigmanomics — The Market Forecast Engine

China Industrial Production Growth Slows to 4.1 Percent in April

China's industrial production rose by 4.1% year-over-year in April 2026, missing the consensus estimate of 5.9%. This marks a slowdown from the 5.7% increase recorded in March 2026, representing a 1.6 percentage point decline. The April reading remains below the 12-month rolling average of 6.48%, indicating a loss of momentum in the sector. Manufacturing output was the main driver, though its pace moderated compared to previous months. Compared to April 2025, the latest figure reflects softer demand and ongoing challenges in the industrial sector amid global economic uncertainties. Investors are watching for further policy signals from the People's Bank of China and upcoming economic data releases. Updated 5/18/26

THE MARKET

FORECAST ENGINE

7 models · 1,456 instruments · 6 timeframes

LIVE SIGNALS

7-Day Forecast · May 26, 2026LIVE

EUR/USD→ FLAT1.1421–1.1876

BTC/USD→ FLAT73330.03–81010.49

AAPL▲ BULL300.22–322.63

XAU/USD▲ BULL4559.43–4954.32

Start Free →View Track Record

Market Forecasts

1,456+

instruments tracked

1M+

forecasts scored

83%

zone accuracy

5

asset classes

Economic Data

4,151

economic indicators

127

countries covered

6

data sources

FRED · BLS · EIA · ECB · BOJ · FMP

Today's Forecasts

Sigmacast 7-day ensemble predictions · Updated every pipeline run

7-DAY FORECASTLIVEMay 19, 2026 – May 26, 2026

Last updated: May 19, 2026 06:04 AM UTCView All 1,456 →

EUR/USD→ SIDEWAYS

Contains price ~83% of the time

BTC/USD→ SIDEWAYS

73330.0381010.49

Contains price ~74% of the time

AAPL▲ BULLISH

Contains price ~96% of the time

XAU/USD▲ BULLISH

Symbol	Price

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Latest updates

STG/USD slid 13.8%

STG/USD slid 13.8% on May 19, pulling below yesterday's close of 0.18780. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BEARISH.

🇺🇸 10Y-3M Treasury Spread: 0.93%

3 hrs agoUSHigh

10Y-3M Treasury Spread came in at 0.93%, up from previous 0.9%. High impact.

EUR/AFN slid 1.4%

EUR/AFN slid 1.4% on May 19, pulling below yesterday's close of 73.70. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BULLISH.

CBOE Volatility Index fell 3.3%

CBOE Volatility Index (^VIX) fell 3.3% on May 19, pulling below yesterday's close of 18.43.

United Kingdom Unemployment Rate at 5, Beats 4.9 Forecast

4 hrs agoUKHigh

United Kingdom Unemployment Rate actual 5 vs 4.9 expected and 4.9 prior.

United Kingdom Average Earnings incl. Bonus at 4.1, Beats 3.8 Forecast

United Kingdom Average Earnings incl. Bonus actual 4.1 vs 3.8 expected and 3.9 prior.

United Kingdom Employment Change at 148, Beats 107 Forecast

United Kingdom Employment Change actual 148 vs 107 expected and 24 prior.

Malaysia Inflation Rate Rises to 0.3% in March, Beats 0.1% Forecast, Up From 0.2%

Malaysia's Inflation Rate MoM for March rose to 0.300000%, beating the 0.100000% estimate. This marks an increase from February's 0.200000%, indicating accelerating inflation momentum. Market focus will remain on upcomi…

Malaysia Inflation Rate Rises To 1.7% In April As Expected, Up From 1.4%

Malaysia's Inflation Rate YoY rose to 1.7% in April, matching estimates and up from March's 1.4%. This increase signals a moderate acceleration in price growth compared to the previous month. Market participants will wa…

Malaysia CPI YoY Rises to 1.7% in April As Expected, Up From 1.4% in March

Malaysia's CPI YoY for April rose to 1.700000%, matching estimates and up from March's 1.400000%. This increase signals a moderate acceleration in inflation compared to the previous month. Market participants will watch…

Rice Futures surged 106,320.0%

Rice Futures (RR1) surged 106,320.0% on May 19, pushing above yesterday's close of 0.01.

Coffee Futures slid 0.9%

Coffee Futures (KC1) slid 0.9% on May 19, pulling below yesterday's close of 266.41.

GBP/PGK surged 1.4%

GBP/PGK surged 1.4% on May 19, pushing above yesterday's close of 5.84. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BULLISH.

NZD/LBP slid 1.7%

NZD/LBP slid 1.7% on May 19, pulling below yesterday's close of 52,802.21. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BEARISH.

ONT/BTC surged 6.6%

ONT/BTC surged 6.6% on May 19, pushing above yesterday's close of 0.00000076. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BULLISH.

Top 3 Meme Coins to Watch in the Third Week of May 2026

MemeCore (M), 币安人生 (BinanceLife), and Gigachad (GIGA) sit at decisive technical levels heading into the third week of May. Daily charts show each token compressing or consolidating after weeks of vola

Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence Falls to -12.5 in April, Misses -1.8 Forecast, Down From 1.2

7 hrs agoAUHigh

Australia's Westpac Consumer Confidence Change plunged to -12.500000 in April, missing the estimate of -1.800000 and down sharply from March's 1.200000. This marks a significant deterioration in sentiment, reversing the…

Australia WESTPAC Consumer Confidence Index Falls to 80.1 in April, Below 89 Forecast and 91.6 March

Australia’s WESTPAC Consumer Confidence Index fell to 80.100000 in April from March’s 91.600000, missing the 89.000000 estimate. The decline signals a sharp drop in consumer sentiment, reflecting growing caution among h…

Lumber Futures surged 0.3%

Lumber Futures (LB1) surged 0.3% on May 19, pushing above yesterday's close of 591.25.

Oat Futures slid 1.8%

Oat Futures (O_1) slid 1.8% on May 19, pulling below yesterday's close of 372.93.

Ethereum sees $246mln in liquidations – Can ETH hold $2015 support?

ETH lost bullish momentum quickly, yet some whales continued adding risk during the decline.