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Japan’s annual inflation rate reached 2.7% in September 2026, exceeding the supplied consensus estimate of 2.3% and recording a faster increase in consumer prices than the forecast for the reporting month anticipated. The September reading rose from 1.9% in August, with both figures measuring changes against prices a year earlier rather than the movement in the consumer price index between the two consecutive months. The increase marks an acceleration in annual inflation from the preceding month, although these readings alone do not establish a sustained trend or indicate whether price pressures strengthened across a broad range of categories. The available headline figures do not identify which component drove the acceleration, so they provide no basis for attributing the increase to food, energy, services or any other specific part of household spending. September’s annual measure compares consumer prices with September 2025, connecting the release to household purchasing power, but the available figures provide neither a year-earlier inflation rate nor a twelve-month average for a longer-term comparison. Attention now turns to subsequent consumer-price releases and Bank of Japan policy announcements for further information on inflation and monetary policy, while the headline reading alone establishes neither current market pricing nor the central bank’s response. Updated 10/22/26
7 models · 1,456 instruments · 6 timeframes
Market Forecasts
Economic Data
Sigmacast 7-day expected-move ranges, widest first · magnitude & recent character (not a direction call)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
Data as of
South Africa CPI came in at 0.400000Percent, up from previous 0.000000Percent. Critical impact.
USD/SCR surged 3.40% on October 23, pushing above yesterday's close of 14.1900 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.5% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of 10.0735–11.651…
EUR/AFN slid 0.70% on October 23, pulling below yesterday's close of 72.77 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 70.16–76.33; current …
Gasoline Futures slid 0.10% on October 23, pulling below yesterday's close of $3.19 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.3% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $3.17–$3.…
ARK/USDT surged 8.20% on October 23, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.175200 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.5% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $0.127990–$0.2…
Fed Total Assets (Balance Sheet) came in at 6753604M, down from previous 6755639M. High impact.
CBOE VIX came in at 16.68Index, down from previous 17.31Index. High impact.
10Y-3M Treasury Spread came in at 0.88%, up from previous 0.86%. High impact.
10Y-3M Treasury Spread came in at 0.74%, down from previous 0.88%. High impact.
Fed Funds Daily came in at 3.88%, unchanged from previous 3.88%. High impact.
High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) came in at 3.27%, down from previous 3.33%. High impact.
GBP/SCR surged 1.20% on October 23, pushing above yesterday's close of 18.9700 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.5% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of 17.4246–20.133…
Rice Futures surged 0.70% on October 23, pushing above yesterday's close of $17.32 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.2% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $17.33–$17.61…
Natural Gas slid 0.80% on October 23, pulling below yesterday's close of $2.76 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.3% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $2.69–$2.76; c…
ONE/USD surged 8.20% on October 23, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.001432 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.7% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $0.001041–$0…
REEF/USD slid 9.30% on October 23, pulling below yesterday's close of $0.000044 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.3% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $0.000031–$0.000…
United Kingdom Retail Sales MoM actual -0.4 vs -0.1 expected and 0.7 prior.
United Kingdom Retail Sales Ex Fuel MoM actual -0.7 vs -0.1 expected and 0.9 prior.
United Kingdom Retail Sales Ex Fuel YoY actual 0.8 vs 1.5 expected and 2.9 prior.
United Kingdom Retail Sales YoY actual 0.8 vs 1 expected and 2.7 prior.
India HSBC Manufacturing PMI actual 54.9 vs 55.4 expected and 55.1 prior.