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UK Retail Sales Rise 1.2% In May Beating Forecasts
United Kingdom retail sales increased 1.2% month‑on‑month in May 2026, surpassing the consensus estimate of a 0.5% gain. The reading followed a 1.0% decline in April, marking a solid rebound in consumer spending. The latest figure reversed two consecutive monthly contractions and signaled renewed momentum in household demand. Non‑food store sales provided the main boost, offsetting weaker fuel volumes. Compared with the 12‑month average monthly change of roughly 0.1%, May’s result highlighted stronger‑than‑usual retail activity amid easing inflation pressures. The pound traded modestly higher after the release as investors assessed implications for the Bank of England’s upcoming policy meeting. Updated 6/19/26
THE MARKET
FORECAST ENGINE
7 models · 1,456 instruments · 6 timeframes
EXPECTED MOVES
7-Day Range · June 29, 2026LIVE
AAPL recently sideways285.19–324.93
BTC/USD recently sideways58499.97–65632.15
EUR/USD recently trended down1.1366–1.1545
XAU/USD recently trended up4147.74–4192.53
Market Forecasts
1,456+
instruments tracked
1M+
forecasts scored
7
ensemble models
5
asset classes
Economic Data
4,151
economic indicators
127
countries covered
6
data sources
FRED · BLS · EIA · ECB · BOJ · FMP
Today's Biggest Expected Moves
Sigmacast 7-day expected-move ranges, widest first · magnitude & recent character (not a direction call)
7-DAY RANGELIVEJun 22, 2026 – Jun 29, 2026
Last updated: Jun 22, 2026 06:05 AM UTCView All 1,456 →
AAPL recently sideways
297.89expected move ±6.7%
Expected Move (7-Day)
285.19324.93
In-range ~60% (backtest)
BTC/USD recently sideways
64177.92expected move ±5.6%
Expected Move (7-Day)
58499.9765632.15
In-range ~60% (backtest)
EUR/USD recently trended down
1.1459expected move ±0.8%
Expected Move (7-Day)
1.13661.1545
In-range ~60% (backtest)
XAU/USD recently trended up
4206.70expected move ±0.5%
Expected Move (7-Day)
4147.744192.53
