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The University of Michigan consumer sentiment index for the United States registered 48.1 in September, beating the consensus estimate of 47.6 in the September 25 release while showing weaker household confidence than in August. The index fell from August’s final reading of 51.7 to September’s 48.1, although the final September result exceeded the preliminary reading of 47.8 published on September 11, marking an upward revision within the reporting month. September marked a second consecutive monthly decline after the index registered 55.2 in July and 51.7 in August, extending the retreat in sentiment despite the latest result exceeding both the preliminary reading and consensus. The survey covers consumers’ assessments of current economic conditions and their expectations, but the available headline figures do not establish which component drove the September decline or identify a sector responsible for the monthly deterioration. September’s 48.1 also stood below April’s reading of 49.8, placing the latest result within a broader period of subdued household confidence, while consumer sentiment measures attitudes rather than actual purchases or changes in household income. Upcoming consumer sentiment, retail sales and inflation releases will provide separate readings on household attitudes, spending and prices, allowing comparisons across these measures without treating the confidence index as a direct measure of consumption. Updated 9/28/26
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In-range ~60% (backtest)
Data as of
PANW rose 4.80% on September 28, pushing above yesterday's close of $374.60 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.5% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $388.57–$462.15; cur…
QCOM fell 6.20% on September 28, pulling below yesterday's close of $201.95 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.6% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $188.86–$204.32; …
South Korea Business Confidence actual 79 vs 84 expected and 81 prior.
Corn Futures slid 1.20% on September 28, pulling below yesterday's close of $524.12 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.2% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $523.96–$…
TFX rose 3.70% on September 28, pushing above yesterday's close of $122.12 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.4% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $113.16–$141.71; c…
INTC fell 6.10% on September 28, pulling below yesterday's close of $122.96 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.6% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $115.85–$135.47; …
The US Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index surged to 11.600000 in August, sharply beating the estimate of 0.700000. This marks a significant increase from July’s reading of 1.300000, indicating a strong expansion in regional…
Palladium Spot surged 0.70% on September 28, pushing above yesterday's close of $1,211.34 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.3% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $1,211…
Lumber Futures slid 1.20% on September 28, pulling below yesterday's close of $537.96 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $531.52–$5…
NASDAQ 100 fell 0.80% on September 28, pulling below yesterday's close of $30,608.13. Updated 9/28/26
HBAR/BNB surged 27.90% on September 28, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.000123 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.6% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $0.000126–$…
NVDA rose 3.30% on September 28, pushing above yesterday's close of $225.08 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.3% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $224.96–$279.07; cur…
NOW fell 6.40% on September 28, pulling below yesterday's close of $135.63 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.3% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $130.19–$136.65; c…
Natural Gas surged 0.30% on September 28, pushing above yesterday's close of $3.12 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.2% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $3.11–$3.15; …
Mexico's Balance of Trade for August registered at -0.848 billion MXN, missing the 3.000 billion MXN estimate and reversing from July's 4.09 billion MXN surplus. This shift marks a contraction from a positive balance to…
India's Industrial Production YoY for August rose to 6.700000%, beating the 6.000000% estimate but down from July's 7.300000%. The slowdown from July to August indicates a deceleration in industrial growth despite remai…
India's Manufacturing Production YoY for August came in at 7.300000%, missing the 5.500000% estimate but down from July's 7.800000%. The data shows a slight deceleration in annual growth, indicating a cooling in manufac…
Coffee Futures surged 0.40% on September 28, pushing above yesterday's close of $278.97 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $270.57–…
Cocoa Futures slid 0.70% on September 28, pulling below yesterday's close of $5,722.39 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.2% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $5,364.73…
ON rose 5.40% on September 28, pushing above yesterday's close of $73.20 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.5% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $73.09–$78.46; curre…
CHTR fell 4.00% on September 28, pulling below yesterday's close of $117.55 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.5% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $86.69–$112.89; c…