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The United Kingdom’s unemployment rate stood at 4.9% in June 2026, matching the prior month’s reading and coming in slightly below the consensus estimate of 5.0%. The figure was unchanged from May’s 4.9%, indicating a stable labor market despite broader economic headwinds. The rate has hovered near the 5% mark for several months, suggesting limited movement around the threshold that typically signals labor market equilibrium. Employment gains in health and social care offset modest declines in manufacturing and retail, keeping overall joblessness steady. Compared with the 12‑month average of roughly 4.8%, June’s reading reflected a marginal uptick consistent with slower economic growth and persistent wage pressures. Markets now focus on the Bank of England’s August policy meeting and upcoming wage and inflation data for further insight into labor‑market dynamics. Updated 7/21/26
7 models · 1,456 instruments · 6 timeframes
Market Forecasts
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Sigmacast 7-day expected-move ranges, widest first · magnitude & recent character (not a direction call)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
USD/CDF surged 2.10% on July 22, pushing above yesterday's close of 2261.02 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of 2201.83–2363.89; …
EUR/SCR slid 5.00% on July 22, pulling below yesterday's close of 16.7000 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.9% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 15.0955–18.1619; curre…
Oat Futures surged 0.30% on July 22, pushing above yesterday's close of $346.98 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $344.49–$396.27;…
Soybeans Futures slid 0.30% on July 22, pulling below yesterday's close of $1,215.40 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $1,211.5…
Midnight Token Falls After $13M Wanchain Bridge Exploit - Read the full analysis.
NASDAQ 100 rose 1.20% on July 21, pushing above yesterday's close of $28,604.23. Updated 7/21/26
CBOE Volatility Index fell 6.20% on July 21, pulling below yesterday's close of $18.6500. Updated 7/21/26
Germany's Economic sentiment for June rose sharply to 10.500, beating the estimate of -5.800 and reversing May's -10.200 reading. This marks a significant rebound from contraction in May to expansion in June. Market foc…
Spain's Balance of Trade for May registered at -5.200 billion EUR, missing the estimate of -2.500 billion EUR and worsening from April's -4.400 billion EUR. The deficit deepened month-over-month, indicating increased im…
The UK Unemployment Rate for May came in at 4.900000%, beating the 5.000000% estimate and down from April's 5.000000%. This marks a continuation of the recent downward trend from the 5.2% levels seen earlier this year, …
The UK’s Average Earnings incl. Bonus rose to 4.4% in June, matching the previous month’s figure and beating the 4.0% estimate. May’s 4.1% reading increased from April’s 3.8%, indicating a steady upward trend in wage gr…
Switzerland's Balance of Trade for May surged to 5.600 billion CHF, well above the 3.500 billion estimate and up from April's 3.300 billion CHF. This sharp increase signals a significant expansion in trade surplus compa…
The UK Employment Change for June registered 100.000000K, beating the estimate of 75.000000K but down from May’s 148.000000K. June’s figure indicates a slowdown in job growth compared to the previous month, though emplo…
10Y-3M Treasury Spread came in at 0.74%, up from previous 0.7%. High impact.
USD/CDF surged 2.10% on July 21, pushing above yesterday's close of 2261.02 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 2340.80–2530.98; cur…
EUR/SCR slid 5.00% on July 21, pulling below yesterday's close of 16.7000 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.9% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 15.0955–18.1619; curre…
Oat Futures surged 0.30% on July 21, pushing above yesterday's close of $346.98 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $344.49–$396.27;…
Soybeans Futures slid 0.30% on July 21, pulling below yesterday's close of $1,215.40 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $1,211.5…
DAX rose 0.30% on July 21, pushing above yesterday's close of $24,702.90. Updated 7/21/26
RIF/USD surged 3.10% on July 21, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.126500 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.7% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $0.094209–$0.17500…
TLM/TRY slid 3.60% on July 21, pulling below yesterday's close of $0.105200 — vs an avg daily swing of ±2.8% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $0.024228–$0.121675;…