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Canada’s Ivey PMI registered 64.3 in August 2026, beating the 56.2 consensus estimate. The August reading rose from 55.1 in July 2026, marking a 9.2-point increase over the prior month. The index remains well above the 50.0 threshold that separates expansion from contraction, extending a run of generally expansionary readings seen through much of 2026. Recent Ivey PMI reports show broad-based strength across purchasing activity, indicating that Canadian organizations increased orders and overall business volumes. Compared with the 56.2 reading reported in June 2026 and the 57.7 level in May 2026, the current 64.3 figure underscores a notable acceleration in Canadian private-sector activity that feeds into the broader growth backdrop monitored by policymakers. Market participants now track how this upside surprise in Canada’s Ivey PMI influences the Canadian dollar, domestic bond yields, and expectations around upcoming Bank of Canada communications and key activity data releases. Updated 9/4/26
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Sigmacast 7-day expected-move ranges, widest first · magnitude & recent character (not a direction call)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
Data as of
Palladium Spot slid 0.20% on September 7, pulling below yesterday's close of $1,395.54 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $1,399.15…
Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.50% on September 7, pulling below yesterday's close of $53,686.11. Updated 9/7/26
USD/CDF surged 1.70% on September 7, pushing above yesterday's close of 2267.27 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 2220.57–2323.03;…
Aluminum Futures surged 0.10% on September 7, pushing above yesterday's close of $3,298.30 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $3,28…
JPY/RUB surged 1.80% on September 7, pushing above yesterday's close of 0.5500 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.2% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of 0.5374–0.5730;…
EU Employment Change QoQ for Q2 2026 came in at 0.100000%, matching both estimates and the previous quarter's 0.100000%. The stable reading from Q1 to Q2 signals a steady labor market without acceleration or decline. Ma…
EU Employment Change YoY came in at 0.500000% for July, matching June's 0.5% and missing the 0.6% estimate. The reading indicates a stable but subdued annual employment growth compared to previous months with 0.7% gains…
CBOE Volatility Index rose 3.50% on September 7, pushing above yesterday's close of $14.5300. Updated 9/7/26
EUR/SCR slid 3.20% on September 7, pulling below yesterday's close of 17.0500 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.0% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of 18.6557–22.0861…
IOTX/BTC slid 25.00% on September 7, pulling below yesterday's close of $0.000000 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.8% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $0.000000–$0.0…
Switzerland's Unemployment Rate rose to 3.000000% in August, missing the 2.900000% estimate and up from July's 2.9%. The increase signals a slight deterioration in the labor market after two months at 3.0%. Market parti…
USD/SCR slid 3.40% on September 7, pulling below yesterday's close of 14.6800 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.0% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 13.5519–15.5528; c…
Brent Futures surged 0.20% on September 7, pushing above yesterday's close of $97.44 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.2% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $96.88–$102…
Gold Spot slid 0.10% on September 7, pulling below yesterday's close of $4,410.05 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $4,409.85–$…
IOST/USD surged 7.20% on September 7, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.000732 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.2% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $0.000675–$0.…
ARB/USD slid 9.20% on September 7, pulling below yesterday's close of $0.189100 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.9% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $0.206034–$0.…
Germany's Industrial Production MoM rose 0.20% in July, beating the 0.10% estimate. This marks a slowdown from June's 0.90% increase, indicating a deceleration in monthly industrial output growth. The data suggests a ca…
The UK House Price Index MoM for July registered 0.000000%, missing the 0.100000% estimate and down from June’s 0.200000%. This flat reading signals a halt in monthly house price growth after two consecutive months of g…
The UK House Price Index YoY rose to 2.000000% in July, beating the 1.900000% estimate but down from June’s 2.700000%. This marks a deceleration in annual house price growth, indicating a cooling housing market compared…
Platinum Spot slid 0.30% on September 7, pulling below yesterday's close of $1,809.23 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $1,809.…
USD/AFN surged 2.40% on September 7, pushing above yesterday's close of 64.45 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.3% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 62.88–66.30; curre…