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The United Kingdom’s unemployment rate registered 4.9% in June 2026, matching both the prior month’s figure and slightly undershooting the consensus estimate of 5.0%. The rate was unchanged from May’s 4.9%, indicating that labor market conditions remained stable through the early summer period. The figure has hovered near the 5% mark for several months, reflecting a balanced labor environment close to the level economists often associate with full employment. Employment growth in health and social care continued to offset modest job losses in manufacturing and retail, keeping overall joblessness steady. Compared with the 12‑month average of about 4.8%, June’s reading represented a marginal increase consistent with slower economic momentum and persistent wage pressures. Investors now turn their attention to the Bank of England’s August policy meeting and upcoming wage and inflation releases for further insight into the labor market’s trajectory. Updated 7/21/26
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In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
FTSE 100 rose 1.30% on July 22, pushing above yesterday's close of $10,585.91. Updated 7/22/26
CBOE Volatility Index rose 3.10% on July 22, pushing above yesterday's close of $17.0500. Updated 7/22/26
DAX fell 0.00% on July 22, pulling below yesterday's close of $25,070.40. Updated 7/22/26
CBOE VIX came in at 18.65Index, down from previous 18.77Index. High impact.
10Y-3M Treasury Spread came in at 0.76%, up from previous 0.74%. High impact.
Fed Funds Daily came in at 3.6300000000%, unchanged from previous 3.6300000000%. High impact.
High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) came in at 2.69%, down from previous 2.73%. High impact.
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USD/CDF surged 2.10% on July 22, pushing above yesterday's close of 2261.02 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of 2201.83–2363.89; …
EUR/SCR slid 5.00% on July 22, pulling below yesterday's close of 16.7000 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.9% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 9.5043–11.5752; curren…
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NASDAQ 100 rose 1.20% on July 21, pushing above yesterday's close of $28,604.23. Updated 7/21/26
CBOE Volatility Index fell 6.20% on July 21, pulling below yesterday's close of $18.6500. Updated 7/21/26
Germany's Economic sentiment for June rose sharply to 10.500, beating the estimate of -5.800 and reversing May's -10.200 reading. This marks a significant rebound from contraction in May to expansion in June. Market foc…
Spain's Balance of Trade for May registered at -5.200 billion EUR, missing the estimate of -2.500 billion EUR and worsening from April's -4.400 billion EUR. The deficit deepened month-over-month, indicating increased im…
The UK Unemployment Rate for May came in at 4.900000%, beating the 5.000000% estimate and down from April's 5.000000%. This marks a continuation of the recent downward trend from the 5.2% levels seen earlier this year, …
The UK’s Average Earnings incl. Bonus rose to 4.4% in June, matching the previous month’s figure and beating the 4.0% estimate. May’s 4.1% reading increased from April’s 3.8%, indicating a steady upward trend in wage gr…
Switzerland's Balance of Trade for May surged to 5.600 billion CHF, well above the 3.500 billion estimate and up from April's 3.300 billion CHF. This sharp increase signals a significant expansion in trade surplus compa…
The UK Employment Change for June registered 100.000000K, beating the estimate of 75.000000K but down from May’s 148.000000K. June’s figure indicates a slowdown in job growth compared to the previous month, though emplo…