Loading...
Loading...

Germany’s Ifo Business Climate index for March 2026 registered at 86.4, surpassing the consensus estimate of 86.1. The reading declined from February’s 88.4, marking a 2-point drop month-over-month. This decrease continues a downward trend, with the index now well below the 50-level that signals expansion, reflecting persistent contraction in business sentiment. The decline was primarily driven by weaker assessments in the manufacturing sector, which weighed on overall confidence. Compared to the 12-month average of approximately 88.1, the latest figure underscores ongoing challenges in Europe’s largest economy amid sluggish growth and elevated uncertainty. Markets are currently focused on upcoming ECB communications and further economic data releases for additional signals on the policy outlook. Updated 3/25/26
7 models · 78 instruments · 6 timeframes
Sigmacast ensemble predictions · Updated every pipeline run
Contains price ~71% of the time
Contains price ~85% of the time
Contains price ~95% of the time
USD/HUF slid 1.6% on March 25, pulling below yesterday's close of 339.67. The 7-day forecast points down, with models projecting a range of 341.6117–343.5132.
DUSK/BTC slid 6.0% on March 25, pulling below yesterday's close of 0.00000182. The 7-day forecast points up, with models projecting a range of 0.00000174–0.00000179.
Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) rose 8.0% on March 25, beating yesterday's close of $22.27. The 7-day forecast points up, with models projecting a range of $22.70–$24.80.
Axon Enterprise Inc. (AXON) fell 9.9% on March 25, pulling below yesterday's close of $507.07. The 7-day forecast points down, with models projecting a range of $259.46–$654.28.
Intel Corporation Canadian Depositary Receipt (INTC) rose 8.2% on March 25, beating yesterday's close of $44.07. The 7-day forecast points up, with models projecting a range of $33.95–$60.69.
NKN/USD surged 30.8% on March 25, pushing above yesterday's close of 0.00466500. The 7-day forecast points down, with models projecting a range of 0.00131845–0.00843853.
Generac Holdings Inc. (GNRC) fell 10.1% on March 25, pulling below yesterday's close of $209.18. The 7-day forecast points up, with models projecting a range of $115.27–$261.93.
US EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change rose by 6.156000 million barrels in February, surpassing January’s 3.824000 million build and the 12-month average of 2.87 million. This 61% increase signals continued inventory accumulati…
US EIA Gasoline Stocks Change for February registered an actual draw of -5.436000 million barrels, sharply exceeding estimates and marking the largest monthly decline since January 2024. This compares to January’s -3.65…
CBOE Volatility Index (^VIX) fell 2.1% on March 25, pulling below yesterday's close of 26.95.
EUR/DOP surged 1.4% on March 25, pushing above yesterday's close of 68.95. The 7-day forecast points down, with models projecting a range of 68.5873–68.9887.
SXP/USD surged 25.0% on March 25, pushing above yesterday's close of 0.00640000. The 7-day forecast points down, with models projecting a range of -0.00340718–0.00938308.
Hokuetsu Corporation (HPE) rose 7.1% on March 25, beating yesterday's close of $23.90. The 7-day forecast points up, with models projecting a range of $21.40–$21.92.
The US Current Account deficit for December 2025 narrowed to -226.400000 billion USD, beating the estimate of -238.400000 billion and improving from November’s -251.300000 billion. This 9.9% month-over-month contraction…
US Export Prices MoM rose 0.600000% in February 2026, doubling January’s 0.3% increase and marking the fastest monthly gain since early 2023. This sharp acceleration breaks a four-month plateau of flat readings from Sep…
US Import Prices MoM rose 0.20% in February 2026, matching January’s pace and consensus estimates. This marks a continuation of steady import cost growth following flat readings from June to December 2025, with the 12-m…
Lumber Futures (LB1) slid 0.6% on March 25, pulling below yesterday's close of 585.70.
SXP/TRY surged 11.0% on March 25, pushing above yesterday's close of 0.28100. The 7-day forecast points down, with models projecting a range of -0.32118–0.14977.
US MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate rose to 6.300000% in February, reversing January’s 6.190000% decline. This increase marks a rebound from the recent lows of 6.09% and approaches the early January peak of 6.32%, maintaining …
Wheat Futures (W_1) surged 0.5% on March 25, pushing above yesterday's close of 582.48.
DAX (^GDAXI) rose 1.3% on March 25, pushing above yesterday's close of 22,636.91.