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The Bank of Canada raised its policy interest rate to 2.5% at its October 28, 2026 decision, matching the 2.5% consensus estimate and bringing the benchmark above the level announced at its preceding September meeting. The October decision increased the rate from the 2.25% reading announced on September 2, 2026, so the comparison measures a change between policy announcements rather than a monthly average or a year-over-year change in interest rates. The increase follows unchanged readings of 2.25% at the January, March, April, June and September decisions in 2026, ending the steady-rate pattern across those announcements and lifting the benchmark above its earlier level this year. The policy rate itself forms the headline measure, rather than a sector-weighted economic index, and the decision changes the central bank’s benchmark without identifying an individual industry or statistical component as the driver. For historical context, the new 2.5% rate matches the September 17, 2025 reading and exceeds the 2.25% rate announced on October 29, 2025, reversing that October reduction against the broader backdrop of monetary policy and borrowing costs. The current policy setting now stands at 2.5%, while subsequent central bank communications and releases covering inflation, employment and economic activity remain relevant sources of information for assessing Canada’s monetary policy backdrop. Updated 10/28/26
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Sigmacast 7-day expected-move ranges, widest first · magnitude & recent character (not a direction call)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
Data as of
CBOE VIX came in at 17.52Index, down from previous 18.39Index. High impact.
10Y-3M Treasury Spread came in at 0.87%, up from previous 0.77%. High impact.
Spain Retail Sales MoM actual -0.4 vs 0.4 expected and 0.3 prior.
Spain Retail Sales YoY actual -1.4 vs -0.5 expected and -0.4 prior.
Japan Consumer Confidence actual 35 vs 35.1 expected and 35.4 prior.
Fed Funds Daily came in at 3.88%, unchanged from previous 3.88%. High impact.
WTI Crude Oil Price came in at 103.37$, down from previous 105.25$. High impact.
Brent Crude Oil Price came in at 123.1$, down from previous 128.12$. High impact.
High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) came in at 3.18%, down from previous 3.3%. High impact.
USD/ETB slid 1.60% on October 29, pulling below yesterday's close of 163.88 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.2% over 30 days. Updated 10/29/26
QUICK/USD slid 15.50% on October 29, pulling below yesterday's close of $0.002780 — vs an avg daily swing of ±3.7% over 30 days. Updated 10/29/26
SOL/USD last closed at $101.65 on October 28 (+0.3% on the day).
ETH/USD last closed at $2,356.56 on October 28 (+0.3% on the day).
New Zealand's ANZ Business Confidence for September registered at 51.900000, missing the estimate of 55.100000. This marks a decline from August's 53.700000, indicating a slight easing in business sentiment though remai…
South Korea's Business Confidence for September registered at 79.000000, missing the estimate of 84.000000 and down from August's 81.000000. The decline signals a slight weakening in sentiment after two months above 80,…
DAX rose 1.20% on October 28, pushing above yesterday's close of $25,607.00. Updated 10/28/26
CBOE Volatility Index fell 3.20% on October 28, pulling below yesterday's close of $17.5200. Updated 10/28/26
NZD/BRL slid 1.90% on October 28, pulling below yesterday's close of 3.0485 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. Updated 10/28/26
ORCL rose 10.90% on October 28, pushing above yesterday's close of $130.56 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.9% over 30 days. Updated 10/28/26
The US Fed Interest Rate Decision for September registered an actual rate of 4.000000%, matching the estimate and rising from August’s 3.750000%. This marks a clear tightening move after several months of steady rates a…
Russia's Unemployment Rate for September came in at 2.200000%, matching estimates and down from August's 2.3%. The rate indicates a slight improvement in the labor market, reversing the previous month's uptick. Market f…