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The United States nonfarm payrolls report for June 2026 showed a gain of 57,000 jobs, missing the market consensus of 110,000. The figure represented a slowdown from May’s revised 129,000 increase, marking a sharp deceleration in hiring momentum. This outcome continued a volatile pattern in U.S. employment growth, alternating between strong expansions and weaker months through the first half of 2026. The most pronounced weakness appeared in manufacturing and temporary help services, which offset modest gains in health care and government employment. Compared with the 12‑month average of about 115,000 jobs added, June’s result highlighted a cooling labor market consistent with broader signs of economic moderation. Investors will watch next week’s consumer price index release and forthcoming Federal Reserve communications for additional insight into policy direction. Updated 7/2/26
7 models · 1,456 instruments · 6 timeframes
Market Forecasts
Economic Data
Sigmacast 7-day expected-move ranges, widest first · magnitude & recent character (not a direction call)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
On Wednesday at 2 p.m. ET, the Fed will publish minutes from its June 16–17 meeting, a release traders hope clarifies views on labor-market weakness after bitcoin's rebound.
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SPELL/TRY surged 23.60% on July 7, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.004150 — vs an avg daily swing of ±2.3% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $0.003691–$0.…
CBOE rose 6.20% on July 7, pushing above yesterday's close of $244.86 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.5% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $228.80–$556.55; current p…
FTSE 100 rose 0.30% on July 7, pushing above yesterday's close of $10,651.77. Updated 7/7/26
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IT rose 6.10% on July 7, pushing above yesterday's close of $135.11 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.4% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $127.55–$139.03; current pri…
GNRC fell 10.10% on July 7, pulling below yesterday's close of $257.96 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.8% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $151.79–$245.56; curre…
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Corn Futures surged 2.70% on July 7, pushing above yesterday's close of $427.36 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $440.66–$461.62;…
GDDY rose 6.20% on July 7, pushing above yesterday's close of $85.60 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.5% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $90.99–$163.24; current pri…
TER fell 11.30% on July 7, pulling below yesterday's close of $379.66 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.9% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $354.16–$396.03; curren…
Orange Juice Futures slid 1.90% on July 7, pulling below yesterday's close of $161.11 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.4% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $166.70…
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INTC fell 8.40% on July 7, pulling below yesterday's close of $122.22 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.0% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $62.00–$113.25; current…
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