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Sigmanomics — The Market Forecast Engine

US CPI Rises to 3.8 Percent in April, Above Consensus

US consumer price inflation rose to 3.8% year-over-year in April 2026, exceeding the consensus estimate of 3.7%. The April reading increased from March’s 3.3%, marking a 0.5 percentage point acceleration. This uptick reverses the recent trend of easing inflation and pushes the headline CPI further above the 12-month rolling average of 3.66%. Higher shelter and energy costs were the primary drivers of the monthly gain. Compared to April 2025, inflation remains elevated, reflecting persistent price pressures in the US economy. Market participants are watching Federal Reserve communications and upcoming PPI data for further signals on the policy outlook. Updated 5/12/26

THE MARKET

FORECAST ENGINE

7 models · 1,456 instruments · 6 timeframes

LIVE SIGNALS

7-Day Forecast · May 20, 2026LIVE

EUR/USD▲ BULL1.1549–1.1946

BTC/USD→ FLAT76628.62–84938.52

AAPL▲ BULL296.34–347.29

XAU/USD▼ BEAR4685.07–4702.74

Start Free →View Track Record

Market Forecasts

1,456+

instruments tracked

1M+

forecasts scored

83%

zone accuracy

5

asset classes

Economic Data

4,151

economic indicators

127

countries covered

6

data sources

FRED · BLS · EIA · ECB · BOJ · FMP

Today's Forecasts

Sigmacast 7-day ensemble predictions · Updated every pipeline run

7-DAY FORECASTLIVEMay 13, 2026 – May 20, 2026

Last updated: May 13, 2026 06:08 AM UTCView All 1,456 →

EUR/USD▲ BULLISH

Contains price ~83% of the time

BTC/USD→ SIDEWAYS

76628.6284938.52

Contains price ~74% of the time

AAPL▲ BULLISH

Contains price ~96% of the time

XAU/USD▼ BEARISH

Symbol	Price

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Latest updates

Wheat Futures surged 0.4%

27 mins agoHigh

Wheat Futures (W_1) surged 0.4% on May 13, pushing above yesterday's close of 662.43.

Cotton Futures slid 0.6%

27 mins agoHigh

Cotton Futures (CT1) slid 0.6% on May 13, pulling below yesterday's close of 86.84.

NZD/LBP slid 1.4%

27 mins agoHigh

NZD/LBP slid 1.4% on May 13, pulling below yesterday's close of 53,417.30. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BEARISH.

AUD/HUF surged 1.2%

27 mins agoHigh

AUD/HUF surged 1.2% on May 13, pushing above yesterday's close of 219.91. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BULLISH.

MBOX/USD surged 36.0%

32 mins agoHigh

MBOX/USD surged 36.0% on May 13, pushing above yesterday's close of 0.01250. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BULLISH.

ATA/USD slid 28.7%

32 mins agoHigh

ATA/USD slid 28.7% on May 13, pulling below yesterday's close of 0.01080000. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BEARISH.

ZBRA rose 11.4%

37 mins agoHigh

Zebra Technologies Corporation (ZBRA) rose 11.4% on May 13, beating yesterday's close of $216.98. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BULLISH.

DAX rose 0.7%

DAX (^GDAXI) rose 0.7% on May 13, pushing above yesterday's close of 23,954.93.

GBP/PGK surged 1.4%

GBP/PGK surged 1.4% on May 13, pushing above yesterday's close of 5.88. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BULLISH.

EUR/LSL slid 0.7%

EUR/LSL slid 0.7% on May 13, pulling below yesterday's close of 19.40. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BULLISH.

Corn Futures slid 0.2%

Corn Futures (C_1) slid 0.2% on May 13, pulling below yesterday's close of 465.27.

France HICP MoM at 1.2, Meets 1.2 Forecast

France HICP MoM actual 1.2 vs 1.2 expected and 1.1 prior.

France CPI MoM at 1, Meets 1 Forecast

France CPI MoM actual 1 vs 1 expected and 1 prior.

European Union Industrial Production MoM at 0.2, Misses 0.3 Forecast

European Union Industrial Production MoM actual 0.2 vs 0.3 expected and 0.2 prior.

European Union Gross Domestic Product QoQ at 0.1, Meets 0.1 Forecast

European Union Gross Domestic Product QoQ actual 0.1 vs 0.1 expected and 0.2 prior.

European Union Gross Domestic Product YoY at 0.8, Meets 0.8 Forecast

European Union Gross Domestic Product YoY actual 0.8 vs 0.8 expected and 1.2 prior.

European Union Employment Change QoQ at 0.1, Meets 0.1 Forecast

European Union Employment Change QoQ actual 0.1 vs 0.1 expected and 0.2 prior.

European Union Employment Change YoY at 0.5, Meets 0.5 Forecast

European Union Employment Change YoY actual 0.5 vs 0.5 expected and 0.7 prior.

CAD/LBP slid 0.7%

CAD/LBP slid 0.7% on May 13, pulling below yesterday's close of 65,554.30. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BEARISH.

INJ/USD surged 9.4%

INJ/USD surged 9.4% on May 13, pushing above yesterday's close of 4.79. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BULLISH.

DYM/USD slid 11.5%

DYM/USD slid 11.5% on May 13, pulling below yesterday's close of 0.03140. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BEARISH.