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Canada’s common consumer price inflation measure registered 2.4% year over year in September, below the supplied consensus estimate of 2.6%, according to the figures accompanying the October 19 release for the latest reporting period. The September rate fell from August’s 2.6%, extending the decline in this annual inflation measure between the two months rather than indicating that consumer prices themselves fell on a month-over-month basis across Canada. The available monthly history shows the common measure at 2.6% in June and 2.7% in July before its August and September declines, placing the latest annual rate below each of those three earlier observations. CPI-common tracks price movements shared across consumer price categories, but the accompanying figures provide no component contributions that would establish whether services, goods, food, or energy drove September’s decline in the reported annual rate. The available history covers June through September rather than a full year, so it provides neither a twelve-month average nor a year-earlier inflation reading for a numerical comparison of Canada’s underlying price pressures over a longer interval. For monetary policy context, the Bank of Canada targets total consumer price inflation and monitors underlying inflation measures, making the distinction between CPI-common and headline inflation important when assessing its policy communications and subsequent consumer price releases; Updated 10/19/26.
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Sigmacast 7-day expected-move ranges, widest first · magnitude & recent character (not a direction call)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
Data as of
GLMR/USD slid 7.60% on October 19, pulling below yesterday's close of $0.010554 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.6% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $0.007932–$0.…
PLTR rose 5.10% on October 19, pushing above yesterday's close of $186.03 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.6% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $193.03–$201.56; curre…
TER rose 6.70% on October 19, pushing above yesterday's close of $325.04 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.9% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $256.31–$342.42; curren…
NASDAQ 100 rose 1.10% on October 19, pushing above yesterday's close of $29,187.55. Updated 10/19/26
Orange Juice Futures surged 1.80% on October 19, pushing above yesterday's close of $139.49 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $140…
WDC rose 5.60% on October 19, pushing above yesterday's close of $331.83 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.8% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $307.48–$425.13; curren…
FMC fell 4.50% on October 19, pulling below yesterday's close of $5.66 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.2% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $1.73–$5.33; current p…
US NAHB Housing Market Index for September came in at 32.000000, missing the estimate of 34.000000 and down from August's 35.000000. The index contracted further, signaling continued weakness in housing market sentiment…
Canada's Inflation Rate MoM for August came in at -0.100000%, matching estimates but down from July's 0.5%. This marks a shift from expansion to mild deflation month-over-month, reflecting easing price pressures. Market…
Canada's Inflation Rate YoY held steady at 3.000000% in August, matching July's 3.000000% and consensus estimates. The inflation rate stabilized after fluctuating between 2.8% and 3.2% earlier this year, indicating a pa…
Canada's Core Inflation Rate YoY rose to 2.40% in September, beating the 2.30% estimate and up from August's 2.30%. This marks a continued upward trend after a slight dip earlier in the year, indicating persistent infla…
Canada's Trimmed CPI YoY for August held steady at 1.9%, matching both estimates and July's reading. The inflation rate remained unchanged from July's 1.9%, indicating persistent price stability. Market focus now shifts…
Canada's Common CPI YoY for August came in at 2.600%, missing the 2.700% estimate and down from July's 2.700%. The inflation rate showed a slight deceleration year-over-year, indicating a modest easing in price pressure…
Canada's Median CPI YoY for August held steady at 2.000000%, matching both the estimate and July's reading. The inflation rate remained unchanged from July's 2.000000%, indicating stable price pressures year-over-year. …
USD/SCR slid 3.80% on October 19, pulling below yesterday's close of 14.7600 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.8% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 9.5205–10.7404; cur…
Natural Gas surged 0.60% on October 19, pushing above yesterday's close of $3.14 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.2% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $3.07–$3.46; cu…
Coffee Futures slid 0.70% on October 19, pulling below yesterday's close of $313.83 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.2% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $305.72–$…
Cocoa Futures surged 1.50% on October 19, pushing above yesterday's close of $5,619.07 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $5,644.49…
Ethanol Futures slid 5.30% on October 19, pulling below yesterday's close of $2.05 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.0% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $2.04–$2.0…
EUR/SCR slid 3.90% on October 19, pulling below yesterday's close of 16.5900 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.8% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 15.3030–17.7207; cu…
OSMO/USD surged 25.10% on October 19, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.044300 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.9% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $0.030122–…