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Germany’s ZEW Economic Sentiment Index climbed to 10.5 in June, beating the consensus forecast of -6. The reading marked a sharp improvement from May’s -10.2, a 20.7‑point increase that brought the indicator back into positive territory. Crossing above the 0 threshold signals a shift toward optimism among financial analysts after several months of negative readings. The rebound was driven mainly by improved expectations for export‑oriented industries and easing concerns over domestic demand. Compared with the 12‑month average, which has remained in negative territory, June’s result reflects a notable recovery in sentiment as inflation pressures moderate and the euro area outlook stabilizes. Markets showed a muted response, with the euro holding steady as investors awaited upcoming eurozone PMI data and European Central Bank communications later in the week. Updated 6/16/26
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In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) rose 0.9% on June 16, pushing above yesterday's close of 51,671.03.
CBOE Volatility Index (^VIX) fell 2.0% on June 16, pulling below yesterday's close of 16.20.
MRNA rose 6.00% on June 16, pushing above yesterday's close of $52.14 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.8% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $52.14–$65.32; current pri…
CBOE fell 7.40% on June 16, pulling below yesterday's close of $293.46 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.7% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $240.91–$353.38; curre…
FTSE 100 rose 0.80% on June 16, pushing above yesterday's close of $10,430.62. Updated 6/16/26
Soybeans Futures surged 2.00% on June 16, pushing above yesterday's close of $1,110.11 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $1,094.61…
STG/USD surged 24.40% on June 16, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.204300 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.8% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $0.096024–$0.3…
NOT/USDT slid 6.00% on June 16, pulling below yesterday's close of $0.000451 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.8% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $0.000389–$0.000512…
FTNT fell 3.10% on June 16, pulling below yesterday's close of $149.50 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.3% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $146.11–$160.51; current …
United States Atlanta Fed GDPNow actual 2.8 vs 3.3 expected and 3.3 prior.
US Housing Starts for April came in at 1.465 million, beating the estimate of 1.410 million. This marks an increase from March’s 1.356 million, indicating a rebound in new construction activity. The data supports steady…
US Building Permits for April came in at 1.423 million, missing the estimate of 1.442 million but rising from March’s 1.363 million. The data shows a continued upward trend in permits, indicating steady housing market a…
US Building Permits MoM rose 4.40% in May, missing the 5.80% estimate but improving from April's 10.9% surge. The slowdown from April's strong rebound indicates a deceleration in permit growth momentum. Market focus wil…
US Housing Starts MoM fell by -2.8% in April, beating the -3.5% estimate and reversing from March’s 12.0% surge. The decline signals a slowdown after a strong rebound, but the level remains above recent lows. Market foc…
US Export Prices MoM surged to 3.300% in April, sharply beating the 1.100% estimate and rising from March’s 1.500%. This acceleration signals a significant increase in export price pressures month-over-month. Market par…
US Import Prices MoM surged to 1.900000% in April, beating the 1.000000% estimate and rising sharply from March’s 0.800000%. April’s increase signals accelerating import cost pressures after a moderate gain the previous…
EUR/RWF surged 1.40% on June 16, pushing above yesterday's close of 1706.04 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.5% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 1673.15–1749.97; cur…
Cocoa Futures surged 0.80% on June 16, pushing above yesterday's close of $4,195.07 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.6% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $3,997.97–$4…
Lumber Futures slid 0.90% on June 16, pulling below yesterday's close of $631.17 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $633.06–$654…
Brazil's Retail Sales MoM rose 0.50% in April, beating the 0.00% estimate. This followed March's 0.60%, marking a slight deceleration but continued expansion in retail activity. The data supports a steady consumption tr…
Natural Gas surged 0.50% on June 16, pushing above yesterday's close of $3.17 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.2% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $3.14–$3.15; cu…