Loading page content
Loading page content

The euro area's October 29, 2026 interest rate decision recorded a rate of 2.65%, matching the 2.65% consensus estimate for the announcement and leaving the reported outcome exactly in line with the stated market benchmark. The rate remained unchanged from the previous reading of 2.65%, producing a zero percentage-point change between the two reported settings rather than an increase or reduction in the interest rate covered by this release. The unchanged outcome establishes stability across the current and preceding readings, while the October announcement represents a policy decision rather than a September economic indicator, a monthly activity average or a year-over-year measure of growth. The headline concerns an interest rate setting, not a composite index with sector contributions, so its direct comparison rests on the announced rate and the preceding setting rather than on an industry-level calculation. Interest rate decisions form part of the euro area's monetary policy framework and provide a benchmark for assessing financing conditions, although this single unchanged reading does not establish how household or business borrowing costs changed. The October decision keeps the reported rate at 2.65%, and the match with consensus describes the outcome of this announcement without establishing market pricing for the next decision or a commitment to any subsequent rate path. Updated 10/29/26
7 models · 1,456 instruments · 6 timeframes
Market Forecasts
Economic Data
Sigmacast 7-day expected-move ranges, widest first · magnitude & recent character (not a direction call)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
Data as of
USD/UGX slid 2.00% on October 30, pulling below yesterday's close of 4355.14 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. Updated 10/30/26
CHF/RUB surged 1.80% on October 30, pushing above yesterday's close of 97.28 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. Updated 10/30/26
France Inflation Rate MoM actual 0.4 vs 0.2 expected and -0.3 prior.
France Inflation Rate YoY actual 3.4 vs 3.2 expected and 3.1 prior.
France Consumer Spending MoM actual -0.5 vs 0.1 expected and -0.5 prior.
Germany Unemployment Rate actual 6.4 vs 6.4 expected and 6.4 prior.
Germany Employment Change actual 4 vs 5 expected and 12 prior.
Germany Unemployed Persons actual 3.016 vs 3.017 expected and 3.012 prior.
Poland Inflation Rate YoY actual 3.5 vs 4.2 expected and 4.1 prior.
Germany Saxony CPI MoM actual -0.2 and 0.6 prior.
Germany Saxony CPI YoY actual 2.8 and 3.4 prior.
United Kingdom Nationwide Housing Prices MoM actual 0 vs -0.1 expected and -0.3 prior.
United Kingdom Nationwide Housing Prices YoY actual 0.5 vs 0.6 expected and 0.8 prior.
France GDP Growth Rate QoQ actual -0.1 vs 0.1 expected and 0 prior.
France GDP Growth Rate YoY actual -0.1 vs 0.3 expected and 0.5 prior.
Spain GDP Growth Rate QoQ actual 0.6 vs 0.6 expected and 0.7 prior.
Spain Inflation Rate MoM actual 0.6 vs 0.6 expected and 0.3 prior.
Spain Inflation Rate YoY actual 4.9 vs 4.9 expected and 4.9 prior.
Switzerland KOF Leading Indicators actual 107.6 vs 108.3 expected and 109.1 prior.
Spain GDP Growth Rate YoY actual 2.7 vs 2.7 expected and 2.6 prior.
Netherlands GDP Growth Rate QoQ actual 0.6 vs 0.3 expected and 0.6 prior.