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The US Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.75 percent for April, matching consensus estimates. This marks no change from the previous reading of 3.75 percent in March, maintaining the rate at its lowest level since December 2025. The decision extends a steady trend, with the rate holding at 3.75 percent for four consecutive meetings. The Federal Open Market Committee cited stable inflation and labor market conditions as key factors in its decision. Compared to the 12-month rolling average of 4.04 percent, the current rate remains below recent norms, reflecting a cautious policy stance amid persistent economic uncertainties. Market participants now await further guidance from the Federal Reserve and upcoming US inflation data for additional policy signals. Updated 4/29/26
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Sigmacast 7-day ensemble predictions · Updated every pipeline run
JPY/RUB surged 0.7% on April 30, pushing above yesterday's close of 0.47. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BEARISH, projecting a 7-day zone of 0.4503–0.4783.
ROSE/BTC surged 8.3% on April 30, pushing above yesterday's close of 0.00000012. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BEARISH, projecting a 7-day zone of -0.00000005–0.00000003.
NASDAQ 100 (^NDX) rose 0.6% on April 30, pushing above yesterday's close of 27,029.01.
POND/USD slid 14.2% on April 30, pulling below yesterday's close of 0.00247000. The Sigmanomics 7-Day Forecast is BULLISH, projecting a 7-day zone of 0.00252277–0.00283795.
Italy Inflation Rate YoY actual 2.8 vs 2.6 expected and 1.7 prior.
European Union Inflation Rate YoY actual 3 vs 2.9 expected and 2.6 prior.
European Union CPI YoY actual 2.2 vs 2.2 expected and 2.3 prior.
France Inflation Rate MoM actual 1 vs 0.9 expected and 1 prior.
France Inflation Rate YoY actual 2.2 vs 2 expected and 1.7 prior.
European Union CPI MoM actual 1 and 1.3 prior.
Poland Inflation Rate YoY actual 3.2 vs 3.5 expected and 3 prior.
France HICP MoM actual 1.2 vs 0.9 expected and 1.1 prior.
Turkey Balance of Trade actual -11.2 vs -11.3 expected and -9 prior.
France CPI MoM actual 1 vs 0.9 expected and 1 prior.
Spain GDP Growth Rate QoQ actual 0.6 vs 0.5 expected and 0.8 prior.
Spain Gross Domestic Product QoQ actual 0.6 vs 0.5 expected and 0.8 prior.
Spain GDP Growth Rate YoY actual 2.7 vs 2.7 expected and 2.6 prior.
Switzerland KOF Leading Indicators actual 97.9 vs 95.9 expected and 95.6 prior.
Hungary Gross Domestic Product YoY actual 1.7 and 0.8 prior.
Netherlands GDP Growth Rate QoQ actual 0.1 vs 0.2 expected and 0.4 prior.
Netherlands GDP Growth Rate YoY actual 1.2 vs 1.3 expected and 1.8 prior.