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US Retail Sales Rise 0.5 Percent in April, Match Consensus
US retail sales increased by 0.5% month-over-month in April 2026, matching the consensus estimate of 0.5%. This marks a slowdown from the 1.6% gain recorded in March 2026, a decrease of 1.1 percentage points. The April figure remains above the 12-month rolling average of 1.00%, reflecting continued strength in US consumer spending. Non-store retailers and motor vehicles were the primary contributors to the overall increase in retail sales. Compared to the same period last year, US retail sales continue to demonstrate robust demand despite ongoing inflationary pressures. Market participants are monitoring upcoming Federal Reserve communications and additional economic releases for further guidance. Updated 5/14/26
THE MARKET
FORECAST ENGINE
7 models · 1,456 instruments · 6 timeframes
LIVE SIGNALS
7-Day Forecast · May 25, 2026LIVE
EUR/USD→ FLAT1.1431–1.1863
BTC/USD▲ BULL74712.93–82123.46
AAPL▲ BULL298.17–318.72
XAU/USD▲ BULL4520.97–5518.95
Market Forecasts
1,456+
instruments tracked
1M+
forecasts scored
83%
zone accuracy
5
asset classes
Economic Data
4,151
economic indicators
127
countries covered
6
data sources
FRED · BLS · EIA · ECB · BOJ · FMP
Today's Forecasts
Sigmacast 7-day ensemble predictions · Updated every pipeline run
7-DAY FORECASTLIVEMay 18, 2026 – May 25, 2026
Last updated: May 18, 2026 06:04 AM UTCView All 1,456 →
EUR/USD→ SIDEWAYS
1.1617
7-Day Zone
1.14311.1863
Target
1.1647
Invalidation
1.1324
R:R
0.1:1
Contains price ~83% of the time
BTC/USD▲ BULLISH
76895.99
7-Day Zone
74712.9382123.46
Target
82123.46
Invalidation
71007.66
R:R
0.9:1
Contains price ~74% of the time
AAPL▲ BULLISH
300.22
7-Day Zone
298.17318.72
Target
318.72
Invalidation
287.89
R:R
1.5:1
Contains price ~96% of the time
XAU/USD▲ BULLISH
4528.57
7-Day Zone
4520.975518.95
Target
5518.95
Invalidation
4021.98
R:R
2.0:1
