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US Private Nonfarm Payrolls Rises 186K in March, Surpasses Forecast
US private nonfarm payrolls increased by 186,000 in March 2026, beating the consensus estimate of 70,000. The March reading marks a sharp turnaround from February’s revised decline of 129,000. This shift ends the previous month’s contraction and signals renewed expansion in private sector employment. The services sector led the gains, helping to offset earlier job losses. March’s figure stands well above the 12-month rolling average of 84,170, highlighting ongoing resilience in the US labor market despite broader economic uncertainty. Market participants now look ahead to the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting for further guidance on monetary policy. Updated 4/3/26
THE MARKET
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7-Day ForecastLIVE
EUR/USD▼ BEAR1.1132–1.1642
BTC/USD▼ BEAR60840.89–68184.24
AAPL▲ BULL255.81–281.41
XAU/USD▼ BEAR4625.33–4676.41
Market Forecasts
1,456+
instruments tracked
1M+
forecasts scored
83%
zone accuracy
5
asset classes
Economic Data
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economic indicators
127
countries covered
6
data sources
FRED · BLS · EIA · ECB · BOJ · FMP
Today's Forecasts
Sigmacast 7-day ensemble predictions · Updated every pipeline run
7-DAY FORECASTLIVEApr 5, 2026 – Apr 12, 2026
EUR/USD▼ BEARISH
1.1516
7-Day Zone
1.11321.1642
Target
1.1132
Invalidation
1.1897
R:R
1.0:1
Contains price ~83% of the time
BTC/USD▼ BEARISH
66165.00
7-Day Zone
60840.8968184.24
Target
60840.89
Invalidation
71855.91
R:R
0.9:1
Contains price ~74% of the time
AAPL▲ BULLISH
255.89
7-Day Zone
255.81281.41
Target
281.41
Invalidation
243.00
R:R
2.0:1
Contains price ~96% of the time
XAU/USD▼ BEARISH
4676.40
7-Day Zone
4625.334676.41
Target
4625.33
Invalidation
4701.95
R:R
2.0:1
