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The United States recorded a September inflation-series reading of 336.94 in the October 14 release, above the listed consensus estimate of 336.65, although these figures alone do not establish a monthly or annual percentage inflation rate. September’s reading increased from 334.98 in August, while the preceding release placed July at 333.92, providing a consistent comparison across the three reported periods without mixing in other observations that carry different numerical scales. The successive increases establish an upward direction in the reported series, but they do not establish accelerating inflation, which requires comparable percentage changes over time rather than a comparison of levels alone. The available figures contain no breakdown for housing, energy, food, services, or other categories, so they identify no particular sector as the driver of September’s increase and do not establish how broadly prices changed. The series also lacks a comparable year-earlier reading or a complete twelve-month history, preventing a supported annual comparison and leaving the latest increase without the longer-term context needed to assess progress on price stability. The Federal Reserve pursues price stability and maximum employment, but this release supplies no policy announcement, current market pricing, or confirmed date for a related publication, leaving those forward-looking reference points unspecified; Updated 10/14/26.
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Sigmacast 7-day expected-move ranges, widest first · magnitude & recent character (not a direction call)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
Data as of
RVN/BTC slid 50.00% on October 14, pulling below yesterday's close of $0.000000 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.7% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $0.000000–$0.…
MRNA rose 4.90% on October 14, pushing above yesterday's close of $216.25 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.7% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $218.74–$274.01; curre…
NASDAQ 100 fell 2.00% on October 14, pulling below yesterday's close of $30,569.48. Updated 10/14/26
BMY rose 4.30% on October 14, pushing above yesterday's close of $56.70 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.4% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $57.19–$60.61; curren…
United States API Crude Oil Stock Change actual -11.1 vs 1.9 expected and -2.09 prior.
MRK rose 4.10% on October 14, pushing above yesterday's close of $141.99 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.3% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $145.15–$147.81; cur…
CBOE Volatility Index rose 6.00% on October 14, pushing above yesterday's close of $15.2700. Updated 10/14/26
AXL/USD surged 9.60% on October 14, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.054400 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.5% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $0.074385–$0.09…
LLY rose 4.30% on October 14, pushing above yesterday's close of $1,166.56 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.4% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $1,165.34–$1,459.37; …
DELL fell 10.40% on October 14, pulling below yesterday's close of $572.63 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.6% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $480.10–$522.19; c…
EUR/UGX slid 4.90% on October 14, pulling below yesterday's close of 4625.26 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.3% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of 4544.52–4843.71;…
Coffee Futures surged 1.60% on October 14, pushing above yesterday's close of $298.23 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.2% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $292.63–$2…
CTRA rose 3.50% on October 14, pushing above yesterday's close of $570.00 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.7% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $535.82–$988.89; curre…
PGR fell 9.30% on October 14, pulling below yesterday's close of $222.84 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.4% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $222.85–$258.55; cur…
Brazil's Business Confidence for September registered at 44.900000, missing the estimate of 45.700000 and down from August's 46.300000. The decline signals a further contraction in sentiment as the index remains below t…
US Inflation Rate MoM for August rose 0.400000%, matching estimates and accelerating from July’s 0.100000%. This marks a clear rebound after a modest increase the prior month, signaling renewed upward pressure on prices…
US Inflation Rate YoY for August came in at 3.400000%, matching the estimate and unchanged from July's 3.400000%. This steady reading follows a decline from June's 4.2% and May's 3.8%, indicating a plateau in inflation …
The US Core Inflation Rate MoM for August came in at 0.300000%, beating the 0.200000% estimate. This marks an increase from July’s 0.200000%, indicating a rising inflation trend. Market participants will closely watch u…
US Core Inflation Rate YoY for August came in at 2.400000%, matching estimates but down from July's 2.500000%. This marks a continued easing in inflation pressures as the rate declined month-over-month. Market focus rem…
US CPI s.a for August came in at 334.131, slightly below the estimate of 334.140 but above July’s 332.810, indicating a modest increase in inflation. August’s reading shows a continuation of the upward trend from July’s…
US Inflation Rate for August came in at 334.980000, slightly beating the estimate of 334.850000. This marks an increase from July's 333.920000, indicating a continued upward trend in inflation. Market participants will …