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Spain’s retail sales fell 0.4% year over year in August 2026, falling short of the consensus estimate for a 0.4% increase in the September 29 release and recording another annual decline rather than the anticipated return to growth. The annual rate held at July’s -0.4%, leaving the pace of contraction unchanged between the two reporting months, although identical annual growth rates do not establish whether sales rose or fell on a month-over-month basis. Both readings show retail sales below their respective year-earlier levels, with zero separating annual growth from contraction for this indicator, unlike the 50-point threshold that distinguishes expansion from contraction in purchasing managers’ surveys. The headline figures do not identify a product category, retail format or other subcomponent responsible for August’s decline, so they provide no basis for attributing the result to food, nonfood goods or any particular sector. August’s reading places sales 0.4% below their year-earlier level, connecting the release to the broader theme of household consumption while leaving the contribution of prices, purchase volumes and changes in shopping patterns unspecified. Subsequent retail sales, consumer price and household spending releases will provide additional measures of consumption conditions, while this release contains no information on current market pricing, central bank policy decisions or future publication dates. Updated 9/29/26
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Sigmacast 7-day expected-move ranges, widest first · magnitude & recent character (not a direction call)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
Data as of
HBAR/USD slid 13.70% on September 29, pulling below yesterday's close of $0.122050 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.0% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $0.102863–…
United States API Crude Oil Stock Change actual 1.019 vs -1.9 expected and 1.786 prior.
Coffee Futures surged 0.70% on September 29, pushing above yesterday's close of $284.44 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.2% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $284.…
Russell 2000 fell 0.70% on September 29, pulling below yesterday's close of $2,817.91. Updated 9/29/26
USD/PEN surged 1.00% on September 29, pushing above yesterday's close of 3.4000 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 3.3933–3.5457; c…
PUMP/USDT surged 17.90% on September 29, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.004928 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $0.004590–…
Gasoline Futures slid 0.40% on September 29, pulling below yesterday's close of $3.30 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.2% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $3.32–$…
USD/AFN surged 1.50% on September 29, pushing above yesterday's close of 63.54 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of 54.94–59.03; c…
RVN/BTC surged 50.00% on September 29, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.000000 — vs an avg daily swing of ±2.8% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $-0.00000…
CCL rose 11.80% on September 29, pushing above yesterday's close of $22.16 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.6% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $21.35–$24.00; curren…
FICO fell 19.40% on September 29, pulling below yesterday's close of $840.85 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.8% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $688.60–$840.95;…
US JOLTs Job Openings for August came in at 7.271 million, slightly missing the 7.300 million estimate but rising from July’s 7.182 million. The data indicates a modest increase in job openings, reflecting continued lab…
US CB Consumer Confidence for August came in at 89.400000, missing the estimate of 90.300000 and down from July’s 90.200000. The index declined modestly, signaling a slight pullback in consumer sentiment after two month…
US S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY rose to 2.100000% in August, beating the 1.700000% estimate. This marks an increase from July’s 1.600000%, indicating accelerating home price growth year-over-year. The stronger readin…
Canada's Gross Domestic Product MoM for August came in at 0.200000%, matching estimates but down from July's 0.300000%. August's growth indicates a slower expansion compared to the prior month, continuing a moderate upw…
DAX rose 0.40% on September 29, pushing above yesterday's close of $25,503.00. Updated 9/29/26
NASDAQ 100 fell 1.10% on September 29, pulling below yesterday's close of $30,608.13. Updated 9/29/26
USD/COP surged 1.30% on September 29, pushing above yesterday's close of 3328.67 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 3176.83–3457.02…
EUR/DOP slid 4.30% on September 29, pulling below yesterday's close of 67.63 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.0% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 61.96–67.79; curren…
Brazil's Unemployment Rate for August came in at 5.300000%, matching estimates and down from July's 5.4%. The decline from July to August signals a modest improvement in the labor market. Market focus now shifts to upco…
Spain's Business Confidence for September came in at -1.600000, beating the estimate of -4.300000 and improving from August's -3.900000. The index shows a notable rebound, signaling reduced pessimism among businesses co…