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Canada Unemployment Rate Falls to 6.5%, Beats Consensus 6.6
Canada’s unemployment rate for June 2026 registered at 6.5%, slightly below the market consensus of 6.6%. The figure eased from May’s 6.6%, marking a 0.1‑percentage‑point decline that indicated a modest improvement in labor market conditions. This reading continued a stable trend near the 6%–7% range observed through the first half of 2026. Job gains in full‑time employment and services sectors helped offset minor losses in manufacturing and construction. Compared with the 12‑month average of roughly 6.3%, June’s rate remained elevated, reflecting lingering slack as the economy adjusts to earlier interest‑rate increases. Investors will monitor the Bank of Canada’s upcoming policy statement and July labor force survey for further signals on employment momentum. Updated 7/10/26
THE MARKET
FORECAST ENGINE
7 models · 1,456 instruments · 6 timeframes
EXPECTED MOVES
7-Day Range · July 20, 2026LIVE
BTC/USD Down · 2H60564.30–67073.91
AAPL Up · 2H313.46–326.57
EUR/USD Down · 2H1.1345–1.1522
XAU/USD Down · 2H4093.01–4112.20
Market Forecasts
1,456+
instruments tracked
1M+
forecasts scored
7
ensemble models
5
asset classes
Economic Data
4,151
economic indicators
127
countries covered
6
data sources
FRED · BLS · EIA · ECB · BOJ · FMP
Today's Biggest Expected Moves
Sigmacast 7-day expected-move ranges, widest first · magnitude & recent character (not a direction call)
7-DAY RANGELIVEJul 13, 2026 – Jul 20, 2026
Last updated: Jul 13, 2026 06:06 AM UTCView All 1,456 →
BTC/USD Down · 2H
63999.15expected move ±5.1%
Expected Move (7-Day)
60564.3067073.91
In-range ~60% (backtest)
AAPL Up · 2H
315.33expected move ±2.1%
Expected Move (7-Day)
313.46326.57
In-range ~60% (backtest)
EUR/USD Down · 2H
1.1417expected move ±0.8%
Expected Move (7-Day)
1.13451.1522
In-range ~60% (backtest)
XAU/USD Down · 2H
4111.53expected move ±0.2%
Expected Move (7-Day)
4093.014112.20
