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Canada Ivey PMI Falls To 55.1, Misses Consensus 55.5
Canada’s Ivey PMI registered 55.1 in July 2026, missing the consensus estimate of 55.5. The index declined from 56.2 in June 2026, marking a 1.1-point drop between the two months. Despite the pullback, the reading remains above the 50 threshold, indicating ongoing expansion in Canadian private sector activity after several months of readings in the mid- to high-50s earlier in 2026. The Ivey PMI, which captures purchasing activity across sectors including manufacturing, services, and public institutions, reflects changes in orders, employment, inventories, and supplier deliveries, though detailed July sub-index data are not provided here. Compared with earlier 2026 readings such as 58.2 in May and 57.7 in April, the latest figure signals a moderation from stronger mid-year momentum but still aligns with Canada’s broader macro backdrop of steady domestic demand and trade-linked activity. Market participants now monitor how this modest downside surprise influences Canadian dollar trading, Bank of Canada assessments of business conditions, and upcoming releases on employment, GDP, and other sentiment indicators. Updated 8/7/26
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7 models · 1,456 instruments · 6 timeframes
EXPECTED MOVES
7-Day Range · August 14, 2026LIVE
XAU/USD Up · 2H4252.85–4599.93
BTC/USD Up · 2H60663.34–65362.23
AAPL Down · 2H305.50–322.36
EUR/USD Down · 2H1.1447–1.1619
Market Forecasts
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instruments tracked
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forecasts scored
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ensemble models
5
asset classes
Economic Data
4,151
economic indicators
127
countries covered
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Today's Biggest Expected Moves
Sigmacast 7-day expected-move ranges, widest first · magnitude & recent character (not a direction call)
7-DAY RANGELIVEAug 7, 2026 – Aug 14, 2026
Last updated: Aug 7, 2026 02:12 AM UTCView All 1,456 →
XAU/USD Up · 2H
4254.52expected move ±4.1%
Expected Move (7-Day)
4252.854599.93
BTC/USD Up · 2H
64418.14expected move ±3.6%
Expected Move (7-Day)
60663.3465362.23
In-range ~60% (backtest)
AAPL Down · 2H
312.45expected move ±2.7%
Expected Move (7-Day)
305.50322.36
In-range ~60% (backtest)
EUR/USD Down · 2H
1.1522expected move ±0.7%
Expected Move (7-Day)
1.14471.1619
In-range ~60% (backtest)
Data as of
