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US producer price index (PPI) rose 0.0% month-on-month in July 2026, missing the consensus estimate of a 0.2% increase. The July reading in the United States followed a 0.1% decline in June 2026, marking a 0.1 percentage point pickup in the monthly pace of producer prices. This flat July outcome keeps US producer inflation subdued on a short-term basis, with the index hovering close to zero after a modest decline in the prior month. The latest release does not provide a detailed breakdown of which specific goods or services components within the PPI basket drove the stabilization in July. Compared with readings over the past year, this tame producer price performance aligns with a broader disinflationary backdrop in the US economy, occurring alongside tighter financial conditions and easing cost pressures in some traded-goods sectors. Market participants now monitor how this softer-than-expected PPI print interacts with recent consumer inflation data and Federal Reserve communications ahead of upcoming US releases on personal consumption expenditures prices and labor market indicators. Updated 8/13/26
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Sigmacast 7-day expected-move ranges, widest first · magnitude & recent character (not a direction call)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
Data as of
WDAY rose 16.70% on August 13, pushing above yesterday's close of $175.29 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.0% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $174.61–$192.01; curre…
WDC rose 8.90% on August 13, pushing above yesterday's close of $454.10 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.8% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $469.72–$1,373.44; curre…
Gasoline Futures slid 0.90% on August 13, pulling below yesterday's close of $3.15 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.2% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $2.96–$3.0…
TPR fell 15.10% on August 13, pulling below yesterday's close of $153.57 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.6% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $156.36–$167.72; cur…
IOTX/BTC surged 33.30% on August 13, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.000000 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $0.000000–$0.0…
SMCI rose 18.60% on August 13, pushing above yesterday's close of $31.68 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $37.56–$50.95; current …
CSCO fell 7.10% on August 13, pulling below yesterday's close of $123.92 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.4% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $123.93–$135.78; cur…
Brazil's Business Confidence for July registered at 44.400, missing the estimate of 46.300 and down from June's 46.700. The decline signals a contraction in business sentiment compared to the previous month. Market part…
US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending August 1 came in at 199,000, slightly beating the estimate of 202,000. This marks a modest increase from the previous week's 198,000, indicating a slight rise in layoffs but…
US Core PPI MoM rose 0.40% in May, missing the 0.50% estimate and down from April’s 0.70%. The slowdown from April to May signals easing producer inflation pressures after a sharp increase last month. Market focus now s…
The US Producer Price Index MoM for May came in at 1.100000%, matching April’s 1.100000% and exceeding the 0.700000% estimate, indicating sustained inflationary pressure at the producer level. May’s reading maintains th…
NASDAQ 100 rose 0.70% on August 13, pushing above yesterday's close of $29,525.48. Updated 8/13/26
CHF/RUB surged 1.80% on August 13, pushing above yesterday's close of 101.98 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 98.91–105.28; curre…
EUR/GHS slid 2.30% on August 13, pulling below yesterday's close of 13.1300 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.3% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of 13.2166–13.7759; …
Lumber Futures slid 0.70% on August 13, pulling below yesterday's close of $575.72 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $564.08–$5…
Brazil's Retail Sales MoM for June rose 0.1%, missing the 0.5% estimate but improving from May's -1.6%. June's modest gain signals a slowdown in retail momentum after a sharp contraction the previous month. Market focus…
India's Balance of Trade for July registered at -31.980 billion INR, missing the estimate of -30.200 billion and worsening from June's -30.430 billion. The trade deficit expanded month-over-month, indicating increased i…
EU Industrial Production MoM fell by -0.200000% in June, missing the 0.200000% estimate and reversing May’s 0.100000% gain. June’s decline contrasts with May’s modest expansion, signaling contraction in the sector. Mark…
Natural Gas surged 0.20% on August 13, pushing above yesterday's close of $2.79 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $2.77–$2.80; cur…
Wheat Futures slid 0.60% on August 13, pulling below yesterday's close of $653.48 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.2% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $647.45–$69…
FTSE 100 fell 0.40% on August 13, pulling below yesterday's close of $10,833.15. Updated 8/13/26