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The October 9 release of Michigan consumer sentiment for the United States reported a reading of 46.3, below the supplied consensus estimate of 47.6 and below the readings recorded in both September releases. The latest figure compares with 48.1 in the September 25 release and 47.8 in the September 11 release, putting the October observation below both the earlier September reading and the subsequent month-end reading. The index has retreated from 55.2 on July 31 through 51.7 on August 28 and 48.1 on September 25, reversing the earlier improvement; unlike purchasing managers’ indexes, this sentiment measure does not classify readings below 50 as contraction. Current economic conditions and consumer expectations form the survey’s main components, but the aggregate reading alone does not identify which component drove the decline or how different household groups contributed to the overall result. In the broader recent record, sentiment stood at 44.8 on May 22 before reaching 55.2 on July 31, placing the latest reading above that earlier low while highlighting renewed weakness in household confidence rather than directly measuring consumer spending. Subsequent sentiment, inflation and employment releases remain relevant to assessing household conditions alongside the Federal Reserve’s price-stability and maximum-employment objectives, without treating this survey as a policy announcement; Updated 10/11/26.
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Sigmacast 7-day expected-move ranges, widest first · magnitude & recent character (not a direction call)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
Data as of
DAX rose 1.10% on October 11, pushing above yesterday's close of $24,806.97. Updated 10/11/26
S/USD surged 39.40% on October 11, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.047320 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.8% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $0.058187–$0.073…
Canola Futures surged 0.10% on October 11, pushing above yesterday's close of $816.84 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $815.81–$8…
Soybeans Futures slid 0.10% on October 11, pulling below yesterday's close of $1,292.86 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.2% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $1,29…
TMUS fell 13.20% on October 11, pulling below yesterday's close of $171.22 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.4% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $125.96–$148.61; c…
EUR/SCR surged 6.20% on October 11, pushing above yesterday's close of 15.5000 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 14.7981–17.1810; …
USD/AFN slid 1.80% on October 11, pulling below yesterday's close of 66.04 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.0% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 61.60–67.12; current …
LUMIA/USD surged 44.40% on October 11, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.101600 — vs an avg daily swing of ±3.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $-0.12177…
IOTX/BTC slid 20.00% on October 11, pulling below yesterday's close of $0.000000 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.7% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $0.000000–$0.00…
Oat Futures surged 0.10% on October 11, pushing above yesterday's close of $432.16 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.4% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $435.52–$449.…
Corn Futures slid 0.10% on October 11, pulling below yesterday's close of $480.68 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.3% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $474.53–$48…
CBOE Volatility Index fell 3.70% on October 11, pulling below yesterday's close of $15.4100. Updated 10/11/26
GBP/SCR surged 6.20% on October 11, pushing above yesterday's close of 18.3100 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.2% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of 16.9755–19.7240; …
RVN/TRY slid 4.80% on October 11, pulling below yesterday's close of $0.105900 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.5% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $0.101385–$0.1…
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Cocoa Futures slid 0.10% on October 11, pulling below yesterday's close of $5,672.44 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.2% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $5,595.9…
EUR/AFN surged 2.00% on October 11, pushing above yesterday's close of 72.55 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of 68.35–74.49; cur…
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Coffee Futures surged 0.10% on October 10, pushing above yesterday's close of $285.10 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.2% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $284.13–$2…
DAX rose 1.10% on October 10, pushing above yesterday's close of $24,806.97. Updated 10/10/26
STRK/USD surged 39.60% on October 10, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.073100 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.9% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $0.093387–$0.…