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The European Union deposit facility rate stands at 2.25% following the European Central Bank’s July 2026 decision, matching the 2.25% market consensus estimate. The rate remains unchanged from the previous 2.25% setting on June 11, 2026, after a 0.25 percentage point increase from 2% at that earlier meeting. This steady level follows a period of gradual tightening in the euro area, during which the ECB lifted the deposit facility rate from 2% in April 2026 to 2.25% in June 2026, maintaining a restrictive stance to contain inflation. The deposit facility rate, which governs the remuneration on excess reserves that banks park overnight at the ECB, continues to anchor short-term money market conditions and influences broader euro area financial pricing. Compared with levels a year earlier, when the deposit facility rate was lower and policy was less restrictive, the current setting underscores the ECB’s focus on ensuring that inflation returns sustainably to its target while supporting financial stability in the European Union. Market participants now monitor upcoming ECB policy meetings, official communications, and euro area inflation and growth data releases for further indications on the future path of euro-denominated interest rates and liquidity conditions. Updated 7/26/26
7 models · 1,456 instruments · 6 timeframes
Market Forecasts
Economic Data
Sigmacast 7-day expected-move ranges, widest first · magnitude & recent character (not a direction call)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
In-range ~60% (backtest)
Data as of
USD/CDF surged 2.3% on July 27, pushing above yesterday's close of 2,255.37.
USD/BOB slid 3.6% on July 27, pulling below yesterday's close of 11.32.
Platinum Spot (XPT/USD) surged 0.8% on July 27, pushing above yesterday's close of 1,617.15.
Natural Gas (NG/USD) slid 0.3% on July 27, pulling below yesterday's close of 2.81.
BOME/USDT surged 3.6% on July 27, pushing above yesterday's close of 0.00053360.
RIF/USD slid 5.1% on July 27, pulling below yesterday's close of 0.08220.
TIA carries significant risk for traders on the long side of the market.
Dogecoin tests final support near $0.056 as a monthly buy signal points to a possible rebound toward $0.16 and a longer-term move to $0.45.
FTSE 100 rose 0.90% on July 26, pushing above yesterday's close of $10,639.17. Updated 7/27/26
Cocoa Futures surged 0.10% on July 26, pushing above yesterday's close of $5,329.96 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.3% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $5,534.83–$5…
Aluminum Futures surged 0.10% on July 26, pushing above yesterday's close of $3,164.88 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast aligns with this move, projecting a range of $3,153.35…
Canola Futures slid 0.10% on July 26, pulling below yesterday's close of $824.02 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.2% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $802.55–$830…
GBP/SCR surged 4.60% on July 26, pushing above yesterday's close of 18.4700 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.0% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of 17.3454–21.1195; …
EUR/KYD slid 1.00% on July 26, pulling below yesterday's close of 0.9400 — vs an avg daily swing of ±0.0% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of 0.9338–0.9788; curre…
IOTX/BTC surged 33.30% on July 26, pushing above yesterday's close of $0.000000 — vs an avg daily swing of ±1.9% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $0.000000–$0.…
DEXE/USDT slid 21.50% on July 26, pulling below yesterday's close of $4.7200 — vs an avg daily swing of ±3.1% over 30 days. The Sigmanomics 7-day forecast conflicts with this move, projecting a range of $28.8520–$43.795…
NASDAQ 100 fell 1.20% on July 26, pulling below yesterday's close of $28,454.81. Updated 7/26/26
DAX rose 1.30% on July 26, pushing above yesterday's close of $24,745.50. Updated 7/26/26
US spot Bitcoin ETFs hit their weakest trading week since October 2024 as Ether funds keep outpacing them in inflows.
BTC is marginally up since the news went live, but the actual volatility has historically taken place on Monday morning.
NASDAQ 100 fell 1.20% on July 25, pulling below yesterday's close of $28,454.81. Updated 7/25/26