Loading page content
Data from Destatis. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
GermanyGermany Industrial Production YoY fell to -3.53% in June 2025
DestatisMonthlyReleased August 2025
Germany Industrial Production YoY fell to -3.53% in June 2025, released August 2025, down 3.53% from May's 0.0% reading. The reading missed the -0.6% consensus by 2.93%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of -0.34%. Over the past 3 months, Industrial Production YoY averaged -0.41%, vs -1.97% in the prior 3-month window.
Latest Release
-3.53
Actual
-0.6
Consensus
0
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1 percentage points
across last 10 releases
Last Call
Aug 2025
Predicted: -0.6
Actual: -3.53
Error: +2.93
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTSE 100 | ▼ Inverse | −0.98 | INDEX | Bearish FTSE 100 | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.96 | INDEX | Bearish Euro STOXX 50 | → View |
| DAX | ▼ Inverse | −0.91 | INDEX | Bearish DAX | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.81 | INDEX | Bearish S&P 500 | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.59 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Industrial Production YoY (Germany) was reported at -0.54% in June 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of -3.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.65%, ranging from -4.2% to 1.53% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -0.73%, down from the prior three at 0.22%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with FTSE 100 (Bearish FTSE 100). A secondary relationship exists with Euro STOXX 50, negatively correlated (Bearish Euro STOXX 50). Over the last 10 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Wholesale Prices MoM (Jun 15) and Wholesale Prices YoY (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
SHARE
Industrial Production YoY - DE
Loading chart data...
About Industrial Production YoY — Germany
DEFINITION
Industrial Production YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the total output of the manufacturing, mining, and utilities sectors over a 12-month period. It provides valuable insights into the health and growth of a country's industrial sector, which is a crucial component of its overall economic performance. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it can signal potential shifts in the economy and help inform business and investment decisions. A positive YoY growth in industrial production indicates a strong and expanding industrial sector, while a negative growth may suggest a slowdown or contraction.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Manufacturing and factory-order series capture cyclical inflection earlier than aggregate output, and have outsized influence on industrial-sector equities. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual -0.54 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): -2.8 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 0 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with FTSE 100 (Bearish FTSE 100, r=-0.98) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.