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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Fed Balance Sheet climbed to 6.74 T in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
US Fed Balance Sheet climbed to 6.74 T in July 2026, up 0.01 T from June's 6.73 T reading. The reading matched the 6.73 T consensus. Over the past 3 months, Fed Balance Sheet averaged 6.72 T, vs 6.63 T in the prior 3-month window. Fed Balance Sheet is now the highest in 9 months.
Latest Release
6.736
Actual
6.725
Consensus
6.725
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1,545.99
across last 4 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 6.73
Actual: 6.74
Error: -0.01
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Fed Balance Sheet (United States) was reported at 6.74 T in September 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 6.73 T. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3,681,416.88 Millions USD, ranging from 6.54 Millions USD to 6,759,955.00 Millions USD across 94 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a weekly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 4,492,609.91 Millions USD, up from the prior three at 2,243,641.83 Millions USD. Volatility over the past year (σ 3,308,959.88 Millions USD) is comparable than the prior year (σ 3,397,356.72 Millions USD). In September readings over the past 3 years, Fed Total Assets (Balance Sheet) has averaged 4,016,467.98 Millions USD.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Sep 15) and NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Sep 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Fed Balance Sheet - US
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About Fed Balance Sheet — United States
DEFINITION
US Fed Total Assets reached 6,740,619 million USD in September, up from August’s 6,737,204 million USD, marking a slight increase in the central bank’s balance sheet. The August reading showed a minor decline from July’s levels, but September reversed that trend with a modest expansion. Market participants will watch upcoming data for further balance sheet movements amid ongoing monetary policy adjustments. Updated 9/11/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released weekly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 6,740,619 T. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 6,737,204 T. Before that (Aug 2026): 6,730,912 T.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:30 | US | 3-Month Bill Auction | 3.8 | 3.809 | 3.81 | Low | |
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 20.6 | 15 | 10.85 | High | |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales MoM | -0.4 | -0.1 | -0.10 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | -0.3 | 0.5 | 0.50 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | 5.9 | 6 | 6.35 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | -0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales YoY | 5 | 4.3 | 4.30 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices MoM | -1.3 | -0.5 | -0.45 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | -0.4 | 0.2 | 0.65 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices YoY | 8.2 | 7.5 | 7.90 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | Business Inventories MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | NAHB Housing Market Index | 35 | 34 | 33.50 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.7 | -0.5 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low |
| 18:00 | US | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 4 | 4.00 | High | |
| 20:00 | US | Net Long-Term TIC Flows | 172.7 | 146.3 | 146.30 | Medium | |