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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Fed Balance Sheet climbed to 6.74 T in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
US Fed Balance Sheet climbed to 6.74 T in July 2026, up 0.01 T from June's 6.73 T reading. The reading matched the 6.73 T consensus. Over the past 3 months, Fed Balance Sheet averaged 6.72 T, vs 6.63 T in the prior 3-month window. Fed Balance Sheet is now the highest in 9 months.
Latest Release
6.736
Actual
6.725
Consensus
6.725
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1,545.99
across last 4 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 6.73
Actual: 6.74
Error: -0.01
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Fed Balance Sheet (United States) was reported at 6.74 T in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of 6.73 T by 0.01 T. The reading rose from the previous value of 6.73 T. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3,599,747.05 T, ranging from 6.54 T to 6,736,424.00 T across 94 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 4,486,726.58 T, up from the prior three at 2,245,219.49 T. Volatility over the past year (σ 3,305,653.93 T) is comparable than the prior year (σ 3,441,357.79 T). In July readings over the past 3 years, Fed Balance Sheet has averaged 4,137,371.08 T.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 23, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Import Prices MoM (Jul 17) and Building Permits (Jul 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Fed Balance Sheet - US
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About Fed Balance Sheet — United States
DEFINITION
US Fed Total Assets reached 6,735,609 million USD in June, slightly above May's 6,724,564 million USD, marking a modest increase. The balance sheet expanded by 11,045 million USD from May to June, continuing a gradual upward trend. Market participants remain focused on upcoming Fed communications for further balance sheet guidance. Updated 7/10/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released weekly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 6,735,609 T. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 6,724,564 T. Before that (Jun 2026): 6,735,645 T.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Friday, July 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | 6.7 | 5.4 | 5.40 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Housing Starts | 1.177 | 1.2 | 1.20 | High | |
| 13:15 | US | Industrial Production YoY | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.50 | Low | |
| 13:15 | US | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.4 | 1 | 1.00 | Low | |
| 13:15 | US | Capacity Utilization | 76.2 | 76.7 | 76.70 | Low | |