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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Fed Balance Sheet climbed to 6.74 T in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
US Fed Balance Sheet climbed to 6.74 T in July 2026, up 0.01 T from June's 6.73 T reading. The reading matched the 6.73 T consensus. Over the past 3 months, Fed Balance Sheet averaged 6.72 T, vs 6.63 T in the prior 3-month window. Fed Balance Sheet is now the highest in 9 months.
Latest Release
6.736
Actual
6.725
Consensus
6.725
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1,545.99
across last 4 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 6.73
Actual: 6.74
Error: -0.01
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Fed Balance Sheet (United States) was reported at 6.74 T in September 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 6.73 T. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3,942,799.09 Millions USD, ranging from 6.54 Millions USD to 6,759,955.00 Millions USD across 88 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a weekly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 6,752,267.67 Millions USD, up from the prior three at 6,745,761.00 Millions USD. Volatility over the past year (σ 3,281,076.11 Millions USD) is comparable than the prior year (σ 3,370,225.12 Millions USD). In October readings over the past 3 years, Fed Total Assets (Balance Sheet) has averaged 3,842,772.74 Millions USD.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Initial Jobless Claims (Oct 29) and GDP Price Index QoQ (Oct 29).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Fed Balance Sheet - US
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About Fed Balance Sheet — United States
DEFINITION
US Fed Total Assets stood at 6,753,604 million USD for October, slightly below September's 6,755,639 million USD. The balance sheet contracted marginally month-over-month, continuing a subtle downward trend from September. Market participants will watch closely for further shifts amid ongoing monetary policy adjustments. Updated 10/23/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released weekly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 6,753,604 T. Prior reading (Oct 2026): 6,755,639 T. Before that (Oct 2026): 6,747,560 T.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Wednesday, October 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.55 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.4 | 0.1 | -0.1 | 0.15 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Goods Trade Balance | -134.9 | -132.07 | -130 | -132.45 | High |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | -1.462 | 1.675 | -0.9 | -1.18 | Low |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -1.892 | -3.061 | 0 | -0.95 | Medium |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 3.87 | -2.952 | -0.9 | 1.49 | Medium |
| 18:00 | US | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4.00 | High |
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 194 | 199 | 197.50 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | GDP Price Index QoQ | 6.1 | 3.2 | 4.55 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.25 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | PCE Price Index YoY | 3.4 | 3.6 | 3.60 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Personal Income MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.25 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | PCE Price Index MoM | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index YoY | 3 | 3.1 | 3.10 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 197.75 | 197 | 193.38 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1728 | 1720 | 1711.00 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Real Consumer Spending QoQ | 3.8 | 3.9 | 5.30 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | GDP Sales QoQ | 2.8 | 3.5 | 3.90 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Personal Spending MoM | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.60 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 2.2 | 3.2 | 2.90 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Core PCE Prices QoQ | 3.3 | 2.4 | 2.35 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | PCE Prices QoQ | 5 | 3.4 | 3.95 | Low | |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 77 | 75 | 71.50 | Low | |