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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Fed Balance Sheet climbed to 6.74 T in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
US Fed Balance Sheet climbed to 6.74 T in July 2026, up 0.01 T from June's 6.73 T reading. The reading matched the 6.73 T consensus. Over the past 3 months, Fed Balance Sheet averaged 6.72 T, vs 6.63 T in the prior 3-month window. Fed Balance Sheet is now the highest in 9 months.
Latest Release
6.736
Actual
6.725
Consensus
6.725
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1,545.99
across last 4 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 6.73
Actual: 6.74
Error: -0.01
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Fed Balance Sheet (United States) was reported at 6.75 T in July 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 6.74 T. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3,633,778.04 T, ranging from 6.54 T to 6,747,378.00 T across 95 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 2,249,130.50 T, down from the prior three at 4,492,881.25 T. Volatility over the past year (σ 3,304,697.31 T) is comparable than the prior year (σ 3,433,176.68 T). In July readings over the past 3 years, Fed Balance Sheet has averaged 3,702,670.36 T.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 30, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Employment Cost Index QoQ (Jul 31) and Employment Cost - Wages QoQ (Jul 31).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Fed Balance Sheet - US
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About Fed Balance Sheet — United States
DEFINITION
US Fed Total Assets (Balance Sheet) rose to 6747378.000000 million USD in July, up from June's 6743028.000000 million USD, marking a modest increase. The balance sheet expanded slightly after holding near 6735000 million USD in late June and early July. Market focus remains on Fed policy signals amid this steady asset growth. Updated 7/24/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released weekly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 6,747,378 T. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 6,743,028 T. Before that (Jul 2026): 6,735,609 T.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Wednesday, July 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:30 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -7.167 | 2.011 | -1.3 | -4.23 | Medium |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 0.007 | 0.765 | -0.7 | -0.35 | Medium |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | 1.062 | 1.395 | 0.2 | 0.63 | Low |
| 18:00 | US | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High |
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Personal Income MoM | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.35 | High |
| 12:30 | US | PCE Price Index MoM | -0.1 | 0.5 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | PCE Prices QoQ | 5.1 | 4.6 | 4 | 4.63 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 197 | 188 | 200 | 192.75 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Real Consumer Spending QoQ | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.85 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | PCE Price Index YoY | 3.7 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.88 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1782 | 1789 | 1800 | 1786.75 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.90 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 202.75 | 207.75 | 210 | 205.06 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index MoM | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.18 | High |
| 12:30 | US | GDP Sales QoQ | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.82 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index YoY | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.30 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Core PCE Prices QoQ | 3.4 | 4.4 | 3.5 | 3.52 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | GDP Price Index QoQ | 6.3 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 4.45 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Personal Spending MoM | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Low |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 28 | 32 | 35 | 33.00 | Low |