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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Inflation Rate YoY climbed to 3.8 in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
US Inflation Rate YoY climbed to 3.8 in April 2026, released May 2026, up 0.5 from March's 3.3 reading. The reading matched expectations. Inflation Rate YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Inflation Rate YoY averaged 2.7, vs 2.7 in the prior 3-month window. Inflation Rate YoY is now the highest in 34 months.
Latest Release
3.8
Actual
3.7
Consensus
3.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.09 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Mar 2026
Predicted: 2.33
Actual: 2.4
Error: -0.07
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.58 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| GOOGL | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | STOCKS | Bearish GOOGL | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The May 2026 reading rose from the previous value of 3.3. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0.09. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC) and negatively correlated with GOOGL (Bearish GOOGL).
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Inflation Rate YoY - US
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