Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
GermanyGermany GDP Growth Rate YoY climbed to 1.0% in April 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased August 2026
Germany GDP Growth Rate YoY climbed to 1.0% in April 2026, released August 2026, up 0.3% from March's 0.7% reading. The print exceeded the 0.9% consensus by 0.1%. GDP Growth Rate YoY has now risen for 4 consecutive months. GDP Growth Rate YoY is now the highest in 42 months.
Latest Release
1
Actual
0.9
Consensus
0.7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.1 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 1.05
Actual: 1
Error: +0.05
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/GBP | ▲ Direct | +0.58 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▼ Inverse | −0.49 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.42 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.37 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.25 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth Rate YoY (Germany) was reported at 1% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.9% by 0.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.7%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.53%, ranging from 0.3% to 1% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.77%, up from the prior three at 0.37%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.27%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.23%). In August readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth Rate YoY has averaged 0.4%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/GBP (Bullish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with FTSE 100, negatively correlated (Bearish FTSE 100). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.1%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Wholesale Prices MoM (Sep 15) and Wholesale Prices YoY (Sep 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
SHARE
GDP Growth Rate YoY - DE
Loading chart data...
About GDP Growth Rate YoY — Germany
DEFINITION
The GDP Growth Rate YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the annual change in a country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). It provides insight into the overall health and performance of an economy, as a higher growth rate indicates a stronger and more robust economy. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the current and future economic outlook. A positive GDP Growth Rate YoY is generally seen as a positive sign of economic growth and stability, while a negative growth rate may indicate a slowdown or recession.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 1 %, consensus 0.9 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 0.9 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 0.4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/GBP (Bullish EUR, r=0.58) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - DE Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | DE | Wholesale Prices MoM | 0.2 | 0.1 | -0.60 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | DE | Wholesale Prices YoY | 5.3 | 6.2 | 5.35 | Medium | |
| 09:00 | DE | ZEW Economic Sentiment Index | 34.2 | 37 | 45.25 | High | |
| 09:00 | DE | ZEW Current Conditions | -61.1 | -52.2 | -53.70 | Low | |
| 09:00 | DE | Economic Sentiment | 34.2 | 42.7 | 50.85 | Medium | |