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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
GermanyGermany Gross Domestic Product QoQ climbed to 0.3% in Q1 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Germany Gross Domestic Product QoQ climbed to 0.3% in Q1 2026, released May 2026, up 0.1% from December's 0.2% reading. The reading matched the 0.3% consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.11%. Over the past 3 months, Gross Domestic Product QoQ averaged 0.3%, vs 0.15% in the prior 3-month window. Gross Domestic Product QoQ is now the highest in 9 months.
Latest Release
0.3
Actual
0.3
Consensus
0.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.07 percentage points
across last 10 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 0.3
Actual: 0.3
Error: +0
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/GBP | ▼ Inverse | −0.68 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.52 | INDEX | Bullish DAX | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.52 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.34 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Germany) was reported at 0.3% in May 2026. This matched the market consensus of 0.3% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.07%, ranging from -0.3% to 0.3% across 7 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.3%, up from the prior three at -0.1%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/GBP (Bearish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with DAX, positively correlated (Bullish DAX). Over the last 10 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.08%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Retail Sales YoY (Jun 1) and Retail Sales MoM (Jun 1).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product QoQ - DE
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About Gross Domestic Product QoQ — Germany
DEFINITION
Germany's Gross Domestic Product QoQ for Q1 2026 came in at 0.300000%, matching estimates and up from 0.200000% in Q4 2025. This steady growth indicates continued economic expansion following the previous quarter's moderate increase. Market participants will watch upcoming data for confirmation of this trend amid stable central bank policy. Updated 5/22/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual 0.3 %, consensus 0.3 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 0.3 %. Before that (Oct 2025): 0.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary neutral force in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/GBP (Bearish EUR, r=-0.68) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.