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Retail Sales MoM climbed to -0.1 in March 2026, up 0.2 from February's -0.3 reading. The print exceeded the -0.3 consensus by 0.2. The print is running well below the 12-month average of -0.09. Over the past 3 months, Retail Sales MoM averaged -0.15, vs -0.1 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 46th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
The May 2026 reading rose from the previous value of -0.3. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC) and positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU).
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| Tuesday, May 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | ZEW Economic Sentiment Index | -20.4 | -20 | -20.00 | Medium | ||
| Wednesday, May 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | ||
| 09:00 | Employment Change QoQ | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Medium | ||
| 09:00 | Industrial Production MoM | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium | ||
| 09:00 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.20 | Low | ||
| 09:00 | Employment Change YoY | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Medium | ||
| 09:00 | Industrial Production YoY | -0.6 | -1.8 | -1.80 | Low | ||