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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
RussiaRussia Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 5.5% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Russia Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 5.5% in April 2026, released May 2026, up 7.3% from March's -1.8% reading. The print exceeded the -0.1% consensus by 5.6%. Producer Price Index YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged -3.5%, vs -2.63% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 11 months.
Latest Release
5.5
Actual
-0.1
Consensus
-1.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.73 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: -0.7
Actual: 5.5
Error: -6.2
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.39 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Russia) was reported at 5.5% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of -0.1% by 5.6%. The reading rose from the previous value of -1.8%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.75%, ranging from -5.2% to 5.5% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -1.57%, down from the prior three at -1.23%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.73%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 17, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Gross Domestic Product YoY (Jun 17) and Interest Rate Decision (Jun 19).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - RU
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Russia
DEFINITION
Russia's Producer Price Index YoY surged to 5.500000% in May, sharply beating the -0.100000% estimate and reversing April's -1.800000% decline. This marks a significant turnaround from contraction to strong expansion in producer prices year-over-year. Market focus will shift to upcoming inflation data and central bank responses amid this unexpected inflationary pressure. Updated 5/20/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 5.5 %, consensus -0.1 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): -1.8 %. Before that (Feb 2026): -5.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.