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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
RussiaRussia Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 9.4% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Russia Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 9.4% in May 2026, released June 2026, up 3.9% from April's 5.5% reading. The print exceeded the 7.0% consensus by 2.4%. Producer Price Index YoY has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 1.85%, vs -4.5% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 14 months.
Latest Release
9.4
Actual
7
Consensus
5.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.73 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 9.8
Actual: 9.4
Error: +0.4
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.37 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.28 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Russia) was reported at 9.4% in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 7% by 2.4%. The reading rose from the previous value of 5.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.07%, ranging from -5.2% to 9.4% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 3.23%, up from the prior three at -3.13%. Volatility over the past year (σ 4.28%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 4.02%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.73%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 19, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Aug 3) and Inflation Rate YoY (Aug 12).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - RU
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Russia
DEFINITION
Russia's Producer Price Index YoY surged to 9.400000% in June, sharply beating the 7.000000% estimate and rising from May's 5.500000%. This marks a significant acceleration in producer price inflation after a period of negative readings earlier this year. The sharp increase pressures the central bank to maintain a hawkish stance amid rising inflationary risks. Updated 6/17/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 9.4 %, consensus 7 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 5.5 %. Before that (Mar 2026): -1.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - RU Events
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | RU | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 50.3 | 50.5 | 50.55 | Medium | |