What is the current CPI for United Kingdom?

The latest United Kingdom CPI value is 3 for January 2026.

CPI: 3.0% (Feb 2026) — United Kingdom | Sigmanomics

Last updated: 18 Feb 2026, 07:00 UTCData from U.K. Office for National Statistics. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.

United Kingdom

United Kingdom CPI fell to 3.0% in January 2026

U.K. Office for National StatisticsMonthlyReleased February 2026

United Kingdom CPI fell to 3.0% in January 2026, released February 2026, down 0.4% from December's 3.4% reading. The reading matched expectations. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 14.13%. Over the past 3 months, CPI averaged 3.17%, vs 3.63% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 40th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.

Latest Release

Actual

Consensus

3.4

Median Absolute Error

±0.14 percentage points

across last 8 releases

Last Call

Feb 2026

Predicted: 3

Actual: 3

Error: +0

Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).

CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator

Symbol	Direction	Correlation	Asset Class	Signal Bias	Action
Euro STOXX 50	▼ Inverse	−0.44	INDEX	Bearish Euro STOXX 50	→ View
DAX	▼ Inverse	−0.39	INDEX	Bearish DAX	→ View
BTC/USD	▲ Direct	+0.38	CRYPTO	Bullish BTC	→ View

Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.

The February 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 3.4. Over the last 8 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0.14. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with Euro STOXX 50 (Bearish Euro STOXX 50) and negatively correlated with DAX (Bearish DAX).

CPI - UK

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Economic Calendar - UK Events

Tuesday, May 19, 2026			Actual	Previous	Consensus	Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast	Impact
06:00	UK	Average Earnings excl. Bonus	3.4	3.6	3.4	3.40	Low
06:00	UK	Claimant Count Change	26.5	4.9	27.3	28.75	Low
06:00	UK	Average Earnings incl. Bonus	4.1	3.9	3.8	3.82	Medium
06:00	UK	Employment Change	148	24	107	140.25	Medium
06:00	UK	Unemployment Rate	5	4.9	4.9	4.95	High
06:00	UK	HMRC Payrolls Change	-100	-28	-26	-63.00	Low
08:30	UK	Labour Productivity QoQ	0.9	-0.5	-0.3	0.30	Low
Wednesday, May 20, 2026			Actual	Previous	Consensus	Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast	Impact
06:00	UK	Core Inflation Rate MoM		0.4	0.8	0.80	Low
06:00	UK	Inflation Rate MoM		0.7	0.9	0.85	Medium
06:00	UK	Core Inflation Rate YoY		3.1	2.7	2.75	Medium
06:00	UK	Inflation Rate YoY		3.3	3	3.00	High
06:00	UK	PPI Output MoM		0.9	0.9	0.85	Low
06:00	UK	PPI Input MoM		4.4	1.1	1.25	Low
06:00	UK	Retail Price Index MoM		0.8	1.5	1.30	Low
06:00	UK	PPI Output YoY		2.6	2.7	2.35	Low
06:00	UK	PPI Core Output YoY		2	1.9	1.90	Low
06:00	UK	PPI Core Output MoM		0.2	0.3	0.30	Low
06:00	UK	Retail Price Index YoY		4.1	3.7	3.65	Low
06:00	UK	PPI Input YoY		5.4	5.8	5.25	Low
06:00	UK	CPI YoY		3.1	2.6	2.60	Low
08:30	UK	House Price Index YoY		1.2	0.8	1.10	Low
Thursday, May 21, 2026			Actual	Previous	Consensus	Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast	Impact
08:30	UK	S&P Global Composite PMI		52.6	51.7	51.70	Low
08:30	UK	S&P Global Services PMI		52.7	51.8	51.80	High
08:30	UK	S&P Global Manufacturing PMI		53.7	53	53.00	High
10:00	UK	CBI Industrial Trends Orders		-38	-40	-41.50	Medium