Friday, April 3, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 08:00 UK - 7.2 1.5 3.80 Low Thursday, April 2, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 00:00 UK 3.500000 3.000000 - - high Wednesday, April 1, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 08:30 UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 51 51.7 51.4 51.48 Low 00:00 UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 51.000000 51.700000 51.400000 51.48 low Tuesday, March 31, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 06:00 UK -18.4 -10.7 -23.4 -20.90 Medium 06:00 UK 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.08 Low 06:00 UK 1 1.3 1 0.97 Low 06:00 UK -2.5 1.1 -2.7 -3.17 Low 06:00 UK 2 3.5 2 1.82 Low 06:00 UK Gross Domestic Product QoQ 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.08 High 06:00 UK Gross Domestic Product YoY 1 1.2 1 0.98 High 06:00 UK - 2.5 2 2.00 Low 00:00 UK Gross Domestic Product YoY 1.000000 1.200000 1.000000 0.98 high 00:00 UK Gross Domestic Product QoQ 0.100000 0.100000 0.100000 0.08 high 00:00 UK 2.000000 3.500000 2.000000 1.82 low 00:00 UK -2.500000 1.100000 -2.700000 -3.17 low 00:00 UK 1.000000 1.300000 1.000000 0.97 low 00:00 UK 0.100000 0.100000 0.100000 0.08 low 00:00 UK -18.400000 -10.700000 -23.400000 -20.90 medium Monday, March 30, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 08:30 UK 1.935 1.828 1.6 1.81 Medium 08:30 UK 0.6 -0.1 0.1 0.28 Low 08:30 UK 4.84 4.21 4.1 4.33 Medium 08:30 UK Net Lending to Individuals MoM 6.8 6 5.6 6.35 Low 08:30 UK 62.58 60.25 61.3 61.31 Medium 08:30 UK - 1.812 1.3 1.30 Medium 08:30 UK Net Lending to Individuals 6.8 5.9 5.6 5.95 Low 00:00 UK Net Lending to Individuals 6.800000 5.900000 5.600000 5.95 low 00:00 UK 3228.400000 3210.200000 - - low 00:00 UK 62.580000 60.250000 61.300000 61.31 medium 00:00 UK Net Lending to Individuals MoM 6.800000 6.000000 5.600000 6.35 low 00:00 UK 4.840000 4.210000 4.100000 4.33 medium 00:00 UK 0.600000 -0.100000 0.100000 0.28 low 00:00 UK 1.935000 1.828000 1.600000 1.81 medium Friday, March 27, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 07:00 UK -0.4 2 -0.7 -0.33 High 07:00 UK 2.5 4.8 2.1 2.53 High 07:00 UK -0.4 2.2 -0.8 -0.35 High 07:00 UK 3.4 5.9 2.9 3.42 High 00:01 UK -21 -19 -24 -23.50 Medium 00:01 UK -10.7 -8.2 8 -0.48 Low 00:00 UK CFTC GBP speculative net positions -58.400000 -65.500000 - - medium 00:00 UK 3.400000 5.900000 2.900000 3.42 high 00:00 UK -0.400000 2.200000 -0.800000 -0.35 high 00:00 UK 2.500000 4.800000 2.100000 2.53 high 00:00 UK -0.400000 2.000000 -0.700000 -0.33 high 00:00 UK -10.700000 -8.200000 8.000000 -0.48 low 00:00 UK -21.000000 -19.000000 -24.000000 -23.50 medium Thursday, March 26, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 00:00 UK 30-Year Treasury Gilt Auction 5.520000 5.290000 - - low Wednesday, March 25, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 11:00 UK - -43 -16 -24.33 Medium 09:30 UK 1.3 1.9 1.7 NaN Low 07:00 UK 1.7 2.5 2.6 2.18 Low 07:00 UK -0.5 0 0.2 -0.05 Low 07:00 UK 0.5 -0.4 0.4 0.25 Low 07:00 UK 0.8 0.3 0.5 0.65 Low 07:00 UK -0.8 0.2 0.1 -0.18 Low 07:00 UK 3.6 3.8 3.7 3.65 Low 07:00 UK 0.4 -0.5 0.5 0.40 Low 07:00 UK 0.6 -0.6 0.5 0.53 Low 07:00 UK 0.4 -0.5 0.4 0.38 Medium 07:00 UK 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.15 Medium 07:00 UK 3 3 3 3.00 High 07:00 UK 1.9 2.9 3.2 2.70 Low 07:00 UK 3 3 3 3.00 High 07:00 UK 0.4 -0.5 0.4 0.40 Medium 00:00 UK 1.300000 1.900000 1.700000 NaN low 00:00 UK 0.400000 -0.500000 - - low 00:00 UK 3.500000 3.700000 - - low 00:00 UK 1.900000 2.900000 3.200000 2.70 low 00:00 UK 3.000000 3.000000 3.000000 3.00 high 00:00 UK 3.200000 3.100000 3.100000 3.15 medium 00:00 UK 0.400000 -0.500000 0.400000 0.38 medium 00:00 UK 0.600000 -0.600000 0.500000 0.53 low 00:00 UK 0.400000 -0.500000 0.500000 0.40 low 00:00 UK 3.600000 3.800000 3.700000 3.65 low 00:00 UK -0.800000 0.200000 0.100000 -0.18 low 00:00 UK 0.800000 0.300000 0.500000 0.65 low 00:00 UK 0.500000 -0.400000 0.400000 0.25 low 00:00 UK -0.500000 0.000000 0.200000 -0.05 low 00:00 UK 1.700000 2.500000 2.600000 2.18 low 00:00 UK 0.400000 -0.500000 0.400000 0.40 medium 00:00 UK 3.000000 3.000000 3.000000 3.00 high Tuesday, March 24, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 11:00 UK -52 -43 -40 -48.33 Medium 09:30 UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash - 51.7 51.1 51.15 High 09:30 UK S&P Global Services PMI Flash - 53.9 51.8 51.95 High 09:30 UK S&P Global Composite PMI Flash - 53.7 52 52.30 Low 09:30 UK 51 53.7 52.9 52.23 Low 09:30 UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 51.4 51.7 50.1 50.18 High 09:30 UK 51.2 53.9 53 52.40 High 00:00 UK -52.000000 -43.000000 -40.000000 -48.33 medium 00:00 UK 10-Year Treasury Gilt Auction 4.911000 4.585000 - - low 00:00 UK 51.200000 53.900000 53.000000 52.40 high 00:00 UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 51.400000 51.700000 50.100000 50.18 high 00:00 UK 51.000000 53.700000 52.900000 52.23 low 00:00 UK -37.500000 -1.500000 - - low Friday, March 20, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 11:00 UK CBI Industrial Trends Orders -27 -28 -29 -28.83 Medium 07:00 UK Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks -14.3 31.9 -8.5 -8.53 Low 00:00 UK CFTC GBP speculative net positions -65.500000 -84.200000 - - medium 00:00 UK CBI Industrial Trends Orders -27.000000 -28.000000 -29.000000 -28.83 medium 00:00 UK Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks -14.300000 31.900000 -8.500000 -8.53 low Thursday, March 19, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 12:00 UK 9 49 29 22.67 Medium 12:00 UK 99 59 79 85.33 Medium 12:00 UK 9 9 9 9.00 Medium 12:00 UK BoE Interest Rate Decision 3.75 3.75 3.75 3.75 High 12:00 UK 3.75 3.75 3.75 3.75 High 07:00 UK 84 52 -4 40.67 High 07:00 UK 24.7 4.7 25.8 26.53 Low 07:00 UK Average Earnings excl. Bonus 3.8 4.1 4 3.90 Low 07:00 UK Average Earnings incl. Bonus 3.9 4.2 3.9 3.87 Medium 07:00 UK 5.2 5.2 5.3 5.28 High 07:00 UK 20 6 5 9.83 Low 00:00 UK 3.750000 3.750000 3.750000 3.75 high 00:00 UK BoE Interest Rate Decision 3.750000 3.750000 3.750000 3.75 high 00:00 UK 9.000000 9.000000 9.000000 9.00 medium 00:00 UK 99.000000 59.000000 79.000000 85.33 medium 00:00 UK 9.000000 49.000000 29.000000 22.67 medium 00:00 UK 20.000000 6.000000 5.000000 9.83 low 00:00 UK 5.200000 5.200000 5.300000 5.28 high 00:00 UK Average Earnings incl. Bonus 3.900000 4.200000 3.900000 3.87 medium 00:00 UK Average Earnings excl. Bonus 3.800000 4.100000 4.000000 3.90 low 00:00 UK 24.700000 4.700000 25.800000 26.53 low 00:00 UK 84.000000 52.000000 -4.000000 40.67 high Tuesday, March 17, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 00:00 UK 5-Year Treasury Gilt Auction 4.228000 3.810000 - - low Monday, March 16, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 00:00 UK 0.800000 0.000000 - - low 00:00 UK -0.200000 0.000000 - - low Friday, March 13, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 07:00 UK Industrial Production MoM -0.1 -0.9 0.2 -0.02 Medium 07:00 UK Industrial Production YoY 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.35 Low 07:00 UK Manufacturing Production YoY 1.3 0.5 1.5 1.32 Low 07:00 UK Gross Domestic Product MoM 0 0.1 0.2 0.13 High 07:00 UK -14.45 -22.72 -22.2 -19.57 Medium 07:00 UK Gross Domestic Product YoY 0.8 0.7 0.9 0.88 Low 07:00 UK -0.2 -0.3 -0.1 -0.05 Low 07:00 UK 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.25 Medium 07:00 UK Manufacturing Production MoM 0.1 -0.5 0.2 0.13 Medium 07:00 UK 0.2 -0.5 0 -0.10 Low 07:00 UK NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker 0.2 0.1 0.2 NaN Medium 06:00 UK NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker - 0.1 0.2 NaN Medium 06:00 UK - -0.5 0 -0.10 Low 00:00 UK CFTC GBP speculative net positions -84.200000 -72.700000 - - medium 00:00 UK NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker 0.300000 0.200000 - - medium 00:00 UK 0.200000 -0.500000 0.000000 -0.10 low 00:00 UK 0.200000 0.100000 0.300000 0.25 medium 00:00 UK -0.200000 -0.300000 -0.100000 -0.05 low 00:00 UK Gross Domestic Product YoY 0.800000 0.700000 0.900000 0.88 low 00:00 UK 3.922000 -4.340000 - - low 00:00 UK Manufacturing Production MoM 0.100000 -0.500000 0.200000 0.13 medium 00:00 UK -14.450000 -22.720000 -22.200000 -19.57 medium 00:00 UK Gross Domestic Product MoM 0.000000 0.100000 0.200000 0.13 high 00:00 UK Goods Trade Balance Non-EU -3.460000 -10.990000 - - medium 00:00 UK Manufacturing Production YoY 1.300000 0.500000 1.500000 1.32 low 00:00 UK Industrial Production YoY 0.400000 0.500000 0.600000 0.35 low 00:00 UK Industrial Production MoM -0.100000 -0.900000 0.200000 -0.02 medium Thursday, March 12, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 00:01 UK -12 -10 -9 -9.67 Medium 00:00 UK Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI 46.000000 49.000000 - - low 00:00 UK -12.000000 -10.000000 -9.000000 -9.67 medium Tuesday, March 10, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 00:01 UK BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY 0.7 2.3 2.4 2.00 Medium 00:00 UK BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY 0.700000 2.300000 2.400000 2.00 medium Friday, March 6, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 10:00 UK 6.59 6.62 6.6 6.58 Low 07:00 UK 1.3 1.1 1.1 NaN Medium 07:00 UK 0.3 0.8 -0.1 NaN Medium 00:00 UK CFTC GBP speculative net positions -72.700000 -57.100000 - - medium 00:00 UK 6.590000 6.620000 6.600000 6.58 low 00:00 UK 0.300000 0.800000 -0.100000 NaN medium 00:00 UK 1.300000 1.100000 1.100000 NaN medium Thursday, March 5, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 09:30 UK S&P Global Construction PMI 44.5 46.4 47 46.82 Medium 09:00 UK 7.2 3.4 1 3.30 Low 00:00 UK 5-Year Treasury Gilt Auction 3.810000 4.001000 - - low 00:00 UK S&P Global Construction PMI 44.500000 46.400000 47.000000 46.82 medium 00:00 UK 3.000000 2.900000 - - low 00:00 UK New Passenger Car Registrations 90100.000000 144127.000000 - - low 00:00 UK 7.200000 3.400000 1.000000 3.30 low 00:00 UK New Car Registrations YoY 7.200000 3.400000 - - low Wednesday, March 4, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 09:30 UK 53.9 54 53.9 53.30 Low 09:30 UK 53.7 53.7 53.9 53.23 Low 00:00 UK 53.700000 53.700000 53.900000 53.23 low 00:00 UK 53.900000 54.000000 53.900000 53.30 low Tuesday, March 3, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 00:01 UK 1.1 1.5 1.4 1.43 Low 00:00 UK 1.100000 1.500000 1.400000 1.43 low Monday, March 2, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 09:30 UK Net Lending to Individuals MoM 5.9 6.1 3.8 4.55 Low 09:30 UK 1.812 1.652 1.2 1.41 Medium 09:30 UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 51.7 51.8 52 52.08 Low 09:30 UK 4.08 4.49 4.2 4.43 Medium 09:30 UK -0.1 0.4 -0.2 -0.02 Low 09:30 UK 60 61.01 62.5 62.51 Medium 09:30 UK Net Lending to Individuals 5.9 6.1 6.2 6.55 Low 07:00 UK Nationwide Housing Prices MoM 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.25 Medium 07:00 UK Nationwide Housing Prices YoY 1 1 1.1 0.98 Medium 00:00 UK Net Lending to Individuals 5.900000 6.100000 6.200000 6.55 low 00:00 UK 60.000000 61.010000 62.500000 62.51 medium 00:00 UK -0.100000 0.400000 -0.200000 -0.02 low 00:00 UK 4.080000 4.490000 4.200000 4.43 medium 00:00 UK 3207.700000 3212.300000 - - low 00:00 UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 51.700000 51.800000 52.000000 52.08 low 00:00 UK 1.812000 1.652000 1.200000 1.41 medium 00:00 UK Net Lending to Individuals MoM 5.900000 6.100000 3.800000 4.55 low 00:00 UK Nationwide Housing Prices YoY 1.000000 1.000000 1.100000 0.98 medium 00:00 UK Nationwide Housing Prices MoM 0.300000 0.300000 0.300000 0.25 medium Friday, February 27, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 00:01 UK -8.2 17.7 5.3 -3.18 Low 00:01 UK -19 -16 -16 -15.50 Medium 00:00 UK CFTC GBP speculative net positions -57.100000 -42.400000 - - medium 00:00 UK -19.000000 -16.000000 -16.000000 -15.50 medium 00:00 UK -8.200000 17.700000 5.300000 -3.18 low Wednesday, February 25, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 11:00 UK - -17 -30 -38.33 Medium Tuesday, February 24, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 11:00 UK -43 -17 -17 -25.33 Medium 00:00 UK -43.000000 -17.000000 -17.000000 -25.33 medium 00:00 UK New Car Registrations YoY 3.400000 3.900000 - - low 00:00 UK New Car Registrations MoM -1.500000 -3.200000 - - low Monday, February 23, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 00:00 UK New Car Registrations YoY 3.400000 3.900000 - - low 00:00 UK New Car Registrations MoM -1.500000 -3.200000 - - low Friday, February 20, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 11:00 UK CBI Industrial Trends Orders - -30 -25 -24.83 Medium 09:30 UK S&P Global Services PMI Flash 53.9 54 53.6 53.75 High 09:30 UK S&P Global Composite PMI Flash 53.9 53.7 53.3 53.60 Low 09:30 UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash 52 51.8 51.9 51.95 High 09:30 UK 53.9 53.7 53.3 52.63 Medium 09:30 UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 52 51.8 51.5 51.58 Medium 09:30 UK 53.9 54 53.5 52.90 Medium 07:00 UK Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks 30.4 -13.4 19 18.97 Low 07:00 UK 4.5 1.9 2.7 3.13 Medium 07:00 UK 2 0.3 0.1 0.55 Low 07:00 UK 1.8 0.4 0.2 0.57 High 00:00 UK CFTC GBP speculative net positions -42.400000 -25.800000 - - medium 00:00 UK 53.900000 54.000000 53.500000 52.90 medium 00:00 UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 52.000000 51.800000 51.500000 51.58 medium 00:00 UK 53.900000 53.700000 53.300000 52.63 medium 00:00 UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash 52.000000 51.800000 51.900000 51.95 high 00:00 UK S&P Global Composite PMI Flash 53.900000 53.700000 53.300000 53.60 low 00:00 UK S&P Global Services PMI Flash 53.900000 54.000000 53.600000 53.75 high 00:00 UK 1.800000 0.400000 0.200000 0.57 high 00:00 UK 5.500000 - 3.400000 3.92 low 00:00 UK 2.000000 0.300000 0.100000 0.55 low 00:00 UK 4.500000 1.900000 2.700000 3.13 medium 00:00 UK Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks 30.400000 -13.400000 19.000000 18.97 low Thursday, February 19, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 11:00 UK CBI Industrial Trends Orders -28 -30 -25 -24.83 Medium 00:00 UK CBI Industrial Trends Orders -28.000000 -30.000000 -25.000000 -24.83 medium Wednesday, February 18, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 09:30 UK 2.4 2.5 1.8 NaN Low 07:00 UK 3 3.4 3 3.00 High 07:00 UK -0.5 0.4 -0.4 -0.42 Medium 07:00 UK 3.1 3.2 3 3.05 Medium 07:00 UK -0.6 0.3 -0.6 -0.57 Low 07:00 UK 0.4 -0.5 0.1 0.25 Low 07:00 UK 3.8 4.2 3.9 3.85 Low 07:00 UK -0.2 0.5 0.9 0.75 Low 07:00 UK 0 -0.1 0.1 -0.15 Low 07:00 UK 2.5 3.1 3.2 2.78 Low 07:00 UK -0.5 0.7 -0.1 -0.20 Low 07:00 UK 3 3.4 3 NaN High 00:00 UK 2.400000 2.500000 1.800000 NaN low 00:00 UK -0.500000 0.700000 -0.100000 -0.20 low 00:00 UK 2.500000 3.100000 3.200000 2.78 low 00:00 UK 0.000000 -0.100000 0.100000 -0.15 low 00:00 UK 2.900000 - 3.300000 2.80 low 00:00 UK -0.200000 0.500000 0.900000 0.75 low 00:00 UK 0.200000 - 0.100000 -0.18 low 00:00 UK 3.800000 4.200000 3.900000 3.85 low 00:00 UK 0.400000 -0.500000 0.100000 0.25 low 00:00 UK -0.600000 0.300000 -0.600000 -0.57 low 00:00 UK 3.100000 3.200000 3.000000 3.05 medium 00:00 UK -0.500000 0.400000 -0.400000 -0.42 medium 00:00 UK 3.000000 3.400000 3.000000 3.00 high 00:00 UK 3.700000 4.100000 - - low 00:00 UK -0.500000 0.700000 - - low 00:00 UK 3.000000 3.400000 3.000000 NaN high Tuesday, February 17, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 07:00 UK 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.08 High 07:00 UK 28.6 2.7 22 22.73 Low 07:00 UK 52 82 -40 4.67 Medium 07:00 UK Average Earnings incl. Bonus 4.2 4.6 4.4 4.37 Medium 00:00 UK -0.600000 - -0.500000 -0.55 low 00:00 UK Average Earnings incl. Bonus 4.200000 4.600000 4.400000 4.37 medium 00:00 UK -11.000000 - -10.000000 -5.17 low 00:00 UK 52.000000 82.000000 -40.000000 4.67 medium 00:00 UK Average Earnings excl. Bonus 4.200000 - 4.400000 4.30 low 00:00 UK 28.600000 2.700000 22.000000 22.73 low 00:00 UK 5.200000 5.100000 5.100000 5.08 high Monday, February 16, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 00:00 UK 0.000000 2.800000 - - low 00:00 UK 0.000000 0.500000 - - low Friday, February 13, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 00:01 UK - -14 -12 -12.67 Medium 00:00 UK CFTC GBP speculative net positions -25.800000 -13.900000 - - medium Thursday, February 12, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 07:00 UK 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.18 High 07:00 UK -2.7 1.6 0.5 0.03 Medium 07:00 UK Gross Domestic Product MoM 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.03 High 07:00 UK Manufacturing Production YoY 0.5 1.3 1.2 1.02 Low 07:00 UK Gross Domestic Product YoY 0.7 1.2 1.3 1.28 Low 07:00 UK -4.34 -11.33 -6 NaN Low 07:00 UK -0.3 -0.3 -0.8 -0.75 Low 07:00 UK Industrial Production YoY 0.5 2.3 1.6 1.35 Low 07:00 UK Industrial Production MoM -0.9 1.3 -0.2 -0.42 Medium 07:00 UK 2 2.5 3.1 2.92 Low 07:00 UK Manufacturing Production MoM -0.5 1.9 -0.3 -0.37 Medium 07:00 UK NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker 0.1 -0.1 0.2 NaN Medium 07:00 UK -0.5 -0.8 0.5 0.40 Low 07:00 UK Gross Domestic Product QoQ 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.18 High 00:01 UK -10 -14 -12 -12.67 Medium 00:00 UK Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI 49.000000 49.200000 - - low 00:00 UK Manufacturing Production MoM -0.500000 1.900000 -0.300000 -0.37 medium 00:00 UK 2.000000 2.500000 3.100000 2.92 low 00:00 UK Industrial Production MoM -0.900000 1.300000 -0.200000 -0.42 medium 00:00 UK Industrial Production YoY 0.500000 2.300000 1.600000 1.35 low 00:00 UK -0.300000 -0.300000 -0.800000 -0.75 low 00:00 UK -4.340000 -11.330000 -6.000000 NaN low 00:00 UK Gross Domestic Product YoY 0.700000 1.200000 1.300000 1.28 low 00:00 UK Manufacturing Production YoY 0.500000 1.300000 1.200000 1.02 low 00:00 UK Goods Trade Balance Non-EU -10.990000 - -11.200000 NaN medium 00:00 UK 28.600000 - 25.000000 26.80 low 00:00 UK 0.100000 - 0.200000 0.15 medium 00:00 UK 1.000000 - 1.200000 1.17 high 00:00 UK Gross Domestic Product MoM 0.100000 0.200000 0.100000 0.03 high 00:00 UK -2.700000 1.600000 0.500000 0.03 medium 00:00 UK -22.720000 - -23.000000 -20.37 medium 00:00 UK 0.100000 0.100000 0.200000 0.18 high 00:00 UK Gross Domestic Product QoQ 0.100000 0.100000 0.200000 0.18 high 00:00 UK -0.500000 -0.800000 0.500000 0.40 low 00:00 UK NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker 0.300000 -0.100000 - - medium 00:00 UK -10.000000 -14.000000 -12.000000 -12.67 medium Tuesday, February 10, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 00:01 UK BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY 2.3 1 1.3 0.90 Medium 00:00 UK 5-Year Treasury Gilt Auction 4.001000 3.821000 - - low 00:00 UK BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY 2.300000 1.000000 1.300000 0.90 medium Saturday, February 7, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 07:00 UK 1 0.3 0 NaN Medium 07:00 UK 0.7 -0.6 0.4 NaN Medium 00:00 UK 0.700000 -0.600000 0.400000 NaN medium 00:00 UK 1.000000 0.300000 0.000000 NaN medium Friday, February 6, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 10:00 UK 6.62 6.77 6.7 6.68 Low 00:00 UK CFTC GBP speculative net positions -13.900000 -16.200000 - - medium 00:00 UK 6.620000 6.770000 6.700000 6.68 low Thursday, February 5, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 12:00 UK 3.75 3.75 3.75 3.75 High 12:00 UK 5 4 7 13.33 Medium 12:00 UK BoE Interest Rate Decision 3.75 3.75 3.75 3.75 High 12:00 UK 0 0 0 0.00 Medium 12:00 UK 4 5 2 -4.33 Medium 09:30 UK S&P Global Construction PMI 46.4 40.1 42.5 42.32 Medium 09:00 UK 3.4 3.9 2 4.30 Low 00:00 UK 2.900000 3.200000 - - low 00:00 UK 4.000000 5.000000 2.000000 -4.33 medium 00:00 UK 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.00 medium 00:00 UK BoE Interest Rate Decision 3.750000 3.750000 3.750000 3.75 high 00:00 UK 5.000000 4.000000 7.000000 13.33 medium 00:00 UK 3.750000 3.750000 3.750000 3.75 high 00:00 UK S&P Global Construction PMI 46.400000 40.100000 42.500000 42.32 medium 00:00 UK 3.400000 3.900000 2.000000 4.30 low 00:00 UK New Car Registrations YoY 3.400000 3.900000 - - low Wednesday, February 4, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 09:30 UK 53.7 51.4 53.9 53.23 Low 09:30 UK 54 51.4 54.3 53.70 Low 00:00 UK 54.000000 51.400000 54.300000 53.70 low 00:00 UK 53.700000 51.400000 53.900000 53.23 low Tuesday, February 3, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 00:00 UK 10-Year Treasury Gilt Auction 4.585000 4.456000 - - low Monday, February 2, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 09:30 UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 51.8 50.6 51.6 51.68 Low 07:00 UK Nationwide Housing Prices MoM 0.3 -0.4 0.6 0.55 Medium 07:00 UK Nationwide Housing Prices YoY 1 0.6 1.5 1.38 Medium 00:00 UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 51.800000 50.600000 51.600000 51.68 low 00:00 UK Nationwide Housing Prices YoY 1.000000 0.600000 1.500000 1.38 medium 00:00 UK Nationwide Housing Prices MoM 0.300000 -0.400000 0.600000 0.55 medium Friday, January 30, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 09:30 UK 61.01 64.07 64.4 64.41 Medium 09:30 UK 1.524 2.143 1.9 2.11 Medium 09:30 UK 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.88 Low 09:30 UK 4.6 4.59 4.6 4.83 Medium 09:30 UK Net Lending to Individuals 6.1 6.6 6.1 6.45 Low 00:00 UK CFTC GBP speculative net positions -16.200000 -22.000000 - - medium 00:00 UK 4.600000 4.590000 4.600000 4.83 medium 00:00 UK 0.300000 0.800000 0.700000 0.88 low 00:00 UK 1.524000 2.143000 1.900000 2.11 medium 00:00 UK Net Lending to Individuals MoM 6.100000 - 4.200000 4.95 low 00:00 UK 61.010000 64.070000 64.400000 64.41 medium 00:00 UK Net Lending to Individuals 6.100000 6.600000 6.100000 6.45 low Thursday, January 29, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 00:01 UK 17.7 -14.3 6.7 -1.78 Low 00:00 UK 17.700000 -14.300000 6.700000 -1.78 low Tuesday, January 27, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 00:01 UK 1.5 0.7 0.7 0.73 Low 00:00 UK New Car Registrations MoM -3.200000 4.300000 - - low 00:00 UK New Car Registrations YoY 3.900000 -1.600000 - - low 00:00 UK 1.500000 0.700000 0.700000 0.73 low Friday, January 23, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 09:30 UK S&P Global Composite PMI Flash - 51.4 51.7 52.00 Low 09:30 UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash - 50.6 50.8 50.85 High 09:30 UK S&P Global Services PMI Flash - 51.4 51.5 51.65 High 09:30 UK - 51.4 51.7 51.10 Medium 09:30 UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI - 50.6 50.6 50.68 Medium 07:00 UK - -0.1 -0.2 0.17 High 07:00 UK - 0.6 0.8 1.23 High 07:00 UK - 1.2 0.7 1.22 High 07:00 UK - -0.2 -0.3 0.15 High 00:01 UK - -17 -17 -16.50 Medium Thursday, January 22, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 11:00 UK - -44 -57 -65.33 Medium 07:00 UK Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks - -11.65 -15 -15.03 Low 07:00 UK Public Sector Net Borrowing - -11.65 -13.5 -13.50 Low Wednesday, January 21, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 11:00 UK CBI Industrial Trends Orders - -32 -28 -27.83 Medium 11:00 UK CBI Business Optimism Index - -31 -27 -27.00 Medium 09:30 UK - 1.7 1.8 NaN Low 07:00 UK - 3.5 3.4 2.90 Low 07:00 UK - -0.2 0.2 0.23 Low 07:00 UK - 3.2 3.1 3.15 Medium 07:00 UK - 1.1 1 0.85 Low 07:00 UK - 0.1 0.1 -0.15 Low 07:00 UK - 0 0.1 -0.18 Low 07:00 UK - -0.4 0.2 0.10 Low 07:00 UK - 3.4 3.3 2.88 Low 07:00 UK - 3.8 3.7 3.65 Low 07:00 UK - 3.2 3.1 3.10 High 07:00 UK - 0.3 0.1 0.25 Low 07:00 UK - -0.2 0.2 0.18 Medium Tuesday, January 20, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 07:00 UK Average Earnings incl. Bonus 4.7 4.7 4.5 4.47 Medium 07:00 UK Average Earnings excl. Bonus 4.5 4.6 4.5 4.40 Low 07:00 UK -43 -38 -20 -15.17 Low 07:00 UK 82 -16 -25 19.67 High 07:00 UK 17.9 20.1 20.5 21.23 Low 07:00 UK 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.08 High 00:00 UK 5.100000 5.100000 5.100000 5.08 high 00:00 UK 17.900000 20.100000 20.500000 21.23 low 00:00 UK 82.000000 -16.000000 -25.000000 19.67 high 00:00 UK -43.000000 -38.000000 -20.000000 -15.17 low 00:00 UK Average Earnings excl. Bonus 4.500000 4.600000 4.500000 4.40 low 00:00 UK Average Earnings incl. Bonus 4.700000 4.700000 4.500000 4.47 medium Monday, January 19, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 00:00 UK 2.800000 -1.800000 - - low 00:00 UK 0.500000 -0.600000 - - low Friday, January 16, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 13:00 UK NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker - -0.1 -0.1 NaN Low 00:00 UK CFTC GBP speculative net positions -25.300000 -30.500000 - - medium Thursday, January 15, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 13:00 UK NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker - -0.1 -0.1 NaN Low 12:00 UK NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker - -0.1 -0.1 NaN Low 07:00 UK 0.1 0 -0.2 -0.25 Medium 07:00 UK Manufacturing Production MoM 2.1 0.4 0.5 0.43 Medium 07:00 UK Gross Domestic Product MoM 0.3 -0.1 0.1 0.03 High 07:00 UK Goods Trade Balance Non-EU -11.46 -11.81 -9.1 NaN High 07:00 UK -6.116 -6.531 -3.5 NaN Low 07:00 UK Industrial Production MoM 1.1 1.3 0.1 -0.12 Medium 07:00 UK Industrial Production YoY 2.3 0.4 -0.4 -0.65 Low 07:00 UK Manufacturing Production YoY 2.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.48 Low 07:00 UK -23.71 -24.17 -20.4 -17.77 High 07:00 UK -1.1 0.9 0.1 0.15 Low 07:00 UK Gross Domestic Product YoY 1.4 1.1 1.1 1.08 High 07:00 UK NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker 0.1 0 -0.2 NaN Medium 07:00 UK -1.3 -1.2 -0.3 -0.40 Low 00:01 UK -14 -14 -16 -16.67 Medium 00:00 UK Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI 49.200000 47.300000 - - low 00:00 UK Gross Domestic Product YoY 1.400000 1.100000 1.100000 1.08 high 00:00 UK -1.100000 0.900000 0.100000 0.15 low 00:00 UK -23.710000 -24.170000 -20.400000 -17.77 high 00:00 UK Manufacturing Production YoY 2.100000 -0.200000 -0.300000 -0.48 low 00:00 UK Industrial Production YoY 2.300000 0.400000 -0.400000 -0.65 low 00:00 UK Industrial Production MoM 1.100000 1.300000 0.100000 -0.12 medium 00:00 UK -6.116000 -6.531000 -3.500000 NaN low 00:00 UK Goods Trade Balance Non-EU -11.460000 -11.810000 -9.100000 NaN high 00:00 UK Gross Domestic Product MoM 0.300000 -0.100000 0.100000 0.03 high 00:00 UK Manufacturing Production MoM 2.100000 0.400000 0.500000 0.43 medium 00:00 UK 0.100000 0.000000 -0.200000 -0.25 medium 00:00 UK -1.300000 -1.200000 -0.300000 -0.40 low 00:00 UK NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker 0.100000 0.000000 -0.200000 NaN medium 00:00 UK -14.000000 -14.000000 -16.000000 -16.67 medium Wednesday, January 14, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 00:00 UK 10-Year Treasury Gilt Auction 4.456000 4.613000 - - low Tuesday, January 13, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 00:01 UK BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY 1 1.2 0.6 0.20 High 00:01 UK - 1.2 0.6 1.03 Medium 00:00 UK BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY 1.000000 1.200000 0.600000 0.20 high Friday, January 9, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 00:00 UK CFTC GBP speculative net positions -30.500000 -33.200000 - - medium Thursday, January 8, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 10:00 UK 6.77 6.81 6.6 6.58 Low 07:00 UK -0.6 -0.1 0.2 NaN Medium 07:00 UK 0.3 0.6 1.1 NaN Medium 00:00 UK 6.770000 6.810000 6.600000 6.58 low 00:00 UK 3.200000 3.400000 - - high 00:00 UK 0.300000 0.600000 1.100000 NaN medium 00:00 UK -0.600000 -0.100000 0.200000 NaN medium Wednesday, January 7, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 09:30 UK S&P Global Construction PMI 40.1 39.4 40.1 39.92 Medium 00:00 UK 5-Year Treasury Gilt Auction 3.980000 4.093000 - - low 00:00 UK S&P Global Construction PMI 40.100000 39.400000 40.100000 39.92 medium Tuesday, January 6, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 09:30 UK 51.4 51.2 52.1 51.43 Low 09:30 UK 51.4 51.3 52.1 51.50 Low 09:00 UK 3.9 -1.6 -1 1.30 Low 00:01 UK 0.7 1.2 0.6 1.03 Medium 00:00 UK 51.400000 51.300000 52.100000 51.50 low 00:00 UK 51.400000 51.200000 52.100000 51.43 low 00:00 UK 3.900000 -1.600000 -1.000000 1.30 low 00:00 UK New Car Registrations YoY 3.900000 -1.600000 - - low 00:00 UK 0.700000 1.200000 0.600000 1.03 medium 00:00 UK 0.700000 0.600000 - - low Monday, January 5, 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 09:30 UK 64.53 65.01 64.4 64.41 Medium 09:30 UK 2.077 1.713 1.1 1.31 Medium 09:30 UK Net Lending to Individuals MoM 6.6 5.9 5.2 5.95 Low 09:30 UK 0.8 -0.2 -0.1 0.08 Low 09:30 UK 4.49 4.16 4.5 4.73 Medium 09:30 UK Net Lending to Individuals 6.6 5.4 5.2 5.55 Low 00:00 UK CFTC GBP speculative net positions -33.200000 -41.200000 - - medium 00:00 UK 4.490000 4.160000 4.500000 4.73 medium 00:00 UK 0.800000 -0.200000 -0.100000 0.08 low 00:00 UK Net Lending to Individuals MoM 6.600000 5.900000 5.200000 5.95 low 00:00 UK 2.077000 1.713000 1.100000 1.31 medium 00:00 UK 64.530000 65.010000 64.400000 64.41 medium 00:00 UK Net Lending to Individuals 6.600000 5.400000 5.200000 5.55 low Sunday, January 1, 2023 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 00:00 GBR GBR
Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) 32.216200636096 32.216200636096 32.216200636096 32.22 Medium 00:00 GBR GBR
0.10401784915928 0.10401784915928 0.10401784915928 0.10 Medium 00:00 GBR GBR
Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) 2.681 2.681 2.681 2.68 Medium 00:00 GBR GBR
68350000 68350000 68350000 68350000.00 Medium 00:00 GBR GBR
Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) 31.662677125869 31.662677125869 31.662677125869 31.66 Medium 00:00 GBR GBR
Domestic credit to private sector by banks (% of GDP) 119.35372747864 119.35372747864 119.35372747864 119.35 Medium 00:00 GBR GBR
Central government debt, total (% of GDP) 138.19348984882 138.19348984882 138.19348984882 138.19 Medium 00:00 GBR GBR
35193154 35193154 35193154 35193154.00 Medium 00:00 GBR GBR
Consumer price index (2010 = 100) 142.74089143703 142.74089143703 142.74089143703 142.74 Medium 00:00 GBR GBR
Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) 6.7939670679396 6.7939670679396 6.7939670679396 6.79 Medium 00:00 GBR GBR
Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) 4.025 4.025 4.025 4.03 Medium 00:00 GBR GBR
3340032380668 3340032380668 3340032380668 3340032380668.00 Medium 00:00 GBR GBR
Current account balance (% of GDP) -3.3051524154312 -3.3051524154312 -3.3051524154312 -3.31 Medium Saturday, January 1, 2022 Actual Previous Consensus Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast Impact 00:00 GBR GBR
Current account balance (% of GDP) -3.2515680999383 -3.2515680999383 -3.2515680999383 -3.25 Medium 00:00 GBR GBR
Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) 35.313335666007 35.313335666007 35.313335666007 35.31 Medium 00:00 GBR GBR
4.3452288343657 4.3452288343657 4.3452288343657 4.35 Medium 00:00 GBR GBR
Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) 2.359 2.359 2.359 2.36 Medium 00:00 GBR GBR
New businesses registered (number) 790311 790311 790311 790311.00 Medium 00:00 GBR GBR
67791000 67791000 67791000 67791000.00 Medium 00:00 GBR GBR
Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) 33.567194473779 33.567194473779 33.567194473779 33.57 Medium 00:00 GBR GBR
Domestic credit to private sector by banks (% of GDP) 128.55252554199 128.55252554199 128.55252554199 128.55 Medium
March’s 3.5% CPI reading reversed February’s 3.0% and outpaced the 12-month average of 3.2%. The last time inflation reached this level was December 2025, when it registered 3.4%.
After two months of stability, the latest data signal a renewed upward trajectory. The 0.5pp MoM increase is the sharpest since late 2022, breaking the recent pattern of moderation.