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US Producer Price Index MoM climbed to 1.4% in April 2026, released May 2026, up 0.7% from March's 0.7% reading. The print exceeded the 0.5% consensus by 0.9%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.23%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index MoM averaged 0.57%, vs 0.4% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index MoM is now the highest in 15 months.
across last 12 releases
Mar 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.63 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.60 | FOREX | Bearish AUD | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.58 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.57 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.51 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The May 2026 reading rose from the previous value of 0.7. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0.25. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/JPY (Bullish USD) and negatively correlated with AUD/USD (Bearish AUD).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Monday, May 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | NAHB Housing Market Index | 37 | 34 | 35 | 34.25 | Medium | |
| Tuesday, May 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales MoM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -2.35 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales YoY | -1.1 | -0.5 | -1.90 | Medium | ||
| Thursday, May 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Building Permits | 1.363 | 1.4 | 1.40 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Housing Starts MoM | 10.8 | -3.5 | 1.80 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Housing Starts | 1.502 | 1.41 | 1.47 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Building Permits MoM | -11.4 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1782 | 1790 | 1790.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 203.75 | 203 | 203.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | 26.7 | 18.6 | 23.25 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 211 | 210 | 210.00 | Medium | ||
| 13:45 | S&P Global Services PMI | 51 | 51 | 51.00 | Medium | ||
| 13:45 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 51.7 | 51.5 | 51.50 | Medium | ||
| 13:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 54.5 | 54 | 54.00 | Medium | ||