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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ArmeniaArmenia Unemployment Rate climbed to 13.1% in October 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased April 2026
Armenia Unemployment Rate climbed to 13.1% in October 2025, released April 2026, up 1.3% from September's 11.8% reading. The reading matched expectations. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 0.2%.
Latest Release
13.1
Actual
13.1
Consensus
11.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.85 percentage points
across last 8 releases
Last Call
Jan 2026
Predicted: 13
Actual: 11.8
Error: +1.2
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Unemployment Rate (Armenia) was reported at 13.1% in April 2026. This matched the market consensus of 13.1% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of 11.8%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through January 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 13.03%, down from the prior three at 13.33%. In January readings over the past 3 years, Unemployment Rate has averaged 12.37%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 8 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.85%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 6, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update January 2026.
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Unemployment Rate - AM
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About Unemployment Rate — Armenia
DEFINITION
The Unemployment Rate is a key economic indicator that measures the percentage of the total labor force that is currently without a job and actively seeking employment. It is used to assess the health of the job market and the overall state of the economy. A high unemployment rate can indicate a weak economy, while a low unemployment rate can suggest a strong and growing economy. This data is closely monitored by policymakers, businesses, and investors to make informed decisions and projections.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2025): actual 13.1 %, consensus 13.1 %. Prior reading (Jul 2025): 11.8 %. Before that (Apr 2025): 13.4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.