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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ArmeniaArmenia Unemployment Rate climbed to 13.7% in January 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Armenia Unemployment Rate climbed to 13.7% in January 2026, released July 2026, up 0.6% from December's 13.1% reading. The reading matched expectations. Unemployment Rate has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Unemployment Rate is now the highest in 9 months.
Latest Release
13.7
Actual
13.5
Consensus
13.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.8 percentage points
across last 9 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 13.5
Actual: 13.7
Error: -0.2
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Unemployment Rate (Armenia) was reported at 13.7% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of 13.5% by 0.2%. The reading rose from the previous value of 13.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 12.97%, down from the prior three at 13.37%. In July readings over the past 3 years, Unemployment Rate has averaged 14.37%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 9 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.8%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Unemployment Rate - AM
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About Unemployment Rate — Armenia
DEFINITION
The Unemployment Rate is a key economic indicator that measures the percentage of the total labor force that is currently without a job and actively seeking employment. It is used to assess the health of the job market and the overall state of the economy. A high unemployment rate can indicate a weak economy, while a low unemployment rate can suggest a strong and growing economy. This data is closely monitored by policymakers, businesses, and investors to make informed decisions and projections.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual 13.7 %, consensus 13.5 %. Prior reading (Oct 2025): 13.1 %. Before that (Jul 2025): 11.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - AM Events
| Tuesday, August 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | AM | Interest Rate Decision | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.50 | Low | |
| Wednesday, August 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | AM | Inflation Rate YoY | 5.1 | 5.3 | 5.30 | Low | |