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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ArgentinaArgentina Gross Domestic Product YoY climbed to 2.3% in January 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Argentina Gross Domestic Product YoY climbed to 2.3% in January 2026, released June 2026, up 0.2% from December's 2.1% reading. The print exceeded the 1.7% consensus by 0.6%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 3.92%.
Latest Release
2.3
Actual
1.7
Consensus
2.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.2 percentage points
across last 6 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 1.7
Actual: 2.3
Error: -0.6
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Argentina) was reported at 2.3% in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 1.7% by 0.6%. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 2.57%, down from the prior three at 4.73%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 6 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.2%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - AR
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Argentina
DEFINITION
Argentina's Gross Domestic Product YoY rose to 2.300000% in June 2026, surpassing the 1.700000% estimate. This marks an increase from March's 2.100000%, indicating a modest acceleration in economic growth. The data supports a cautiously optimistic outlook amid ongoing monetary policy adjustments. Updated 6/25/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual 2.3 %, consensus 1.7 %. Prior reading (Oct 2025): 2.1 %. Before that (Jul 2025): 3.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - AR Events
| Monday, July 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | AR | Balance of Trade | 3504 | 2300 | 3056.50 | Low | |