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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustriaAustria Unemployed Persons fell to 306.6K in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Austria Unemployed Persons fell to 306.6K in September 2026, released October 2026, down 4.8K from August's 311.4K reading. The reading matched the 314K consensus. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 328.17K. Over the past 3 months, Unemployed Persons averaged 307.08K, vs 307.9K in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 38th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
306.6
Actual
314
Consensus
311.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±8.99 thousand
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 317.85
Actual: 306.6
Error: +11.25
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.33 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Unemployed Persons (Austria) was reported at 307 thousand in October 2026. This missed the market consensus of 314 thousand by 7 thousand. The reading fell from the previous value of 311 thousand. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 327 thousand, ranging from 299 thousand to 380 thousand across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 306 thousand, down from the prior three at 327 thousand. Volatility over the past year (σ 27 thousand) is comparable than the prior year (σ 25 thousand). In October readings over the past 3 years, Unemployed Persons has averaged 295 thousand.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 9 thousand.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 2, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (Nov 2) and Unemployment Rate (Nov 3).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Unemployed Persons - AT
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About Unemployed Persons — Austria
DEFINITION
Unemployed Persons is a financial indicator that measures the number of individuals who are currently without a job but are actively seeking employment. This data is used to assess the overall health of the labor market and can provide insights into the state of the economy. A high number of unemployed persons may indicate a weak job market, while a low number may suggest a strong economy with ample job opportunities. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, businesses, and investors to make informed decisions about economic policies, hiring practices, and investment strategies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 306.6 K, consensus 314 K. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 306.6 K. Before that (Aug 2026): 311.4 K.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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