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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustraliaAustralia Export Prices QoQ climbed to 1.4% in Q3 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Australia Export Prices QoQ climbed to 1.4% in Q3 2026, released October 2026, up 0.3% from June's 1.1% reading. The print exceeded the 1.3% consensus by 0.1%. Export Prices QoQ has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Export Prices QoQ is now the highest in 6 months.
Latest Release
1.4
Actual
1.3
Consensus
1.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±3.22 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 1.3
Actual: 1.4
Error: -0.1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| AUD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| AUD/NZD | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Export Prices QoQ (Australia) was reported at 1.4% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 1.3% by 0.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.9%, up from the prior three at -1.1%. In October readings over the past 3 years, Export Prices QoQ has averaged -1.27%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD). A secondary relationship exists with AUD/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish AUD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 3.23%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC AUD speculative net positions (Oct 30) and Building Permits MoM (Nov 2).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Export Prices QoQ - AU
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About Export Prices QoQ — Australia
DEFINITION
Export Prices QoQ (Quarter-over-Quarter) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the prices of goods and services exported by a country over a period of three months. It provides valuable insights into the competitiveness of a country's exports and the impact of global economic conditions on its trade. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to assess the health of a country's economy and its international trade relationships. A positive QoQ growth in export prices indicates a strong demand for a country's exports, while a negative growth may signal a decline in demand or increased competition.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 1.4 %, consensus 1.3 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 1.1 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 0.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD, r=0.55) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - AU Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | AU | Import Prices QoQ | -1.1 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 0.10 | Low |
| 00:30 | AU | Export Prices QoQ | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.35 | Low |
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:30 | AU | Private Sector Credit YoY | 8.4 | 8.4 | 8.2 | 8.32 | Low |
| 00:30 | AU | Housing Credit MoM | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.43 | Low |
| 00:30 | AU | Private Sector Credit MoM | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.57 | Low |
| 00:30 | AU | Producer Price Index QoQ | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1 | 1.27 | Medium |
| 00:30 | AU | Producer Price Index YoY | 3.6 | 3.6 | 4.5 | 4.55 | Low |