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Data from Australian Bureau of Statistics. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustraliaAustralia GDP Consumption QoQ climbed to 0.9% in Q2 2025
Australian Bureau of StatisticsQuarterlyReleased September 2025
Australia GDP Consumption QoQ climbed to 0.9% in Q2 2025, released September 2025, up 0.5% from March's 0.4% reading. The reading missed the 333,676.0% consensus by 333,675.1%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.42%. GDP Consumption QoQ is now the highest in 33 months.
Latest Release
0.9
Actual
333676
Consensus
0.4
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| AUD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| AUD/NZD | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Consumption QoQ (Australia) was reported at 0.5% in September 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.67%, up from the prior three at 0.37%. In September readings over the past 3 years, GDP Consumption QoQ has averaged 0.4%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD). A secondary relationship exists with AUD/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish AUD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC AUD speculative net positions (Sep 18) and RBA Hunter Speech (Sep 21).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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GDP Consumption QoQ - AU
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About GDP Consumption QoQ — Australia
DEFINITION
GDP Consumption QoQ (Quarter on Quarter) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in consumer spending on goods and services within a country over a specific quarter. It provides valuable insights into the overall health and growth of an economy, as consumer spending is a major driver of economic activity. A positive QoQ growth in GDP Consumption indicates a strong economy, while a negative growth may signal a slowdown. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the current state of the economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 0.5 %. Prior reading (Jul 2025): 0.6 %. Before that (Apr 2025): 0.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD, r=0.55) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - AU Events
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | AU | Westpac Leading Index MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Low | |
| 01:00 | AU | Leading Index MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Low | |