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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustraliaAustralia Westpac Consumer Confidence Index fell to 84.4 in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence Index fell to 84.4 in September 2026, down 4.5 from August's 88.9 reading. The reading matched the 85.7 consensus. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 89.5. Over the past 3 months, Westpac Consumer Confidence Index averaged 86.4, vs 81.23 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 18th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
84.4
Actual
85.7
Consensus
88.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±4.58
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 87.83
Actual: 84.4
Error: +3.42
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Westpac Consumer Confidence Index (Australia) was reported at 84.40 in September 2026. This missed the market consensus of 85.70 by 1.30. The reading fell from the previous value of 88.90. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 89.86, ranging from 80.60 to 103.80 across 12 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 85.73, up from the prior three at 85.07. Volatility over the past year (σ 6.04) is higher than the prior year (σ 2.37). In September readings over the past 3 years, Westpac Consumer Confidence Index has averaged 88.13.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with AUD/JPY (Bearish AUD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 4.58.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 5, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC AUD speculative net positions (Sep 18) and RBA Hunter Speech (Sep 21).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Westpac Consumer Confidence Index - AU
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About Westpac Consumer Confidence Index — Australia
DEFINITION
The WESTPAC Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers in Australia. It is based on a survey of consumer attitudes towards current economic conditions, future expectations, and purchasing intentions. This index provides valuable insights into consumer spending patterns and can be used by businesses and investors to gauge the overall health of the economy and make informed decisions. With its long history and strong track record, the WESTPAC Consumer Confidence Index is a trusted tool for assessing consumer sentiment and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 84.4 %, consensus 85.7 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 88.9 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 83.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - AU Events
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | AU | Westpac Leading Index MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Low | |
| 01:00 | AU | Leading Index MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Low | |