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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Bosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and Herzegovina Industrial Production YoY held to -4.2% in November 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased December 2025
Bosnia and Herzegovina Industrial Production YoY held to -4.2% in November 2025, released December 2025. The reading missed the -1.4% consensus by 2.8%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of -1.68%. Over the past 3 months, Industrial Production YoY averaged -1.7%, vs -1.97% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 41st percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-4.2
Actual
-1.4
Consensus
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.73 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Dec 2025
Predicted: -2.05
Actual: -4.2
Error: +2.15
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.57 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.37 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Industrial Production YoY (Bosnia and Herzegovina) was reported at -4.2% in December 2025. This missed the market consensus of -1.4% by 2.8%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through December 2025. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -2.04%, ranging from -4.6% to 2.6% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -2.53%, down from the prior three at -1.97%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.39%) is lower than the prior year (σ 3.24%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.73%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
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Industrial Production YoY - BA
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About Industrial Production YoY — Bosnia and Herzegovina
DEFINITION
Industrial Production YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the total output of the manufacturing, mining, and utilities sectors over a 12-month period. It provides valuable insights into the health and growth of a country's industrial sector, which is a crucial component of its overall economic performance. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it can signal potential shifts in the economy and help inform business and investment decisions. A positive YoY growth in industrial production indicates a strong and expanding industrial sector, while a negative growth may suggest a slowdown or contraction.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Manufacturing and factory-order series capture cyclical inflection earlier than aggregate output, and have outsized influence on industrial-sector equities. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Nov 2025): actual -4.2 %, consensus -1.4 %. Prior reading (Oct 2025): -0.7 %. Before that (Sep 2025): -2.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.57) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.