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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BulgariaBulgaria Consumer Confidence fell to -28.6% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Bulgaria Consumer Confidence fell to -28.6% in April 2026, released May 2026, down 2.7% from March's -25.9% reading. The reading matched the -28.0% consensus. Consumer Confidence has now declined for 4 consecutive months. Consumer Confidence is now the lowest in 30 months.
Latest Release
-28.6
Actual
-28
Consensus
-25.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±8.5 percentage points
across last 9 releases
Last Call
Feb 2026
Predicted: -23
Actual: -25.9
Error: +2.9
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Bulgaria) was reported at -28.6% in May 2026. This missed the market consensus of -28% by 0.6%. The reading fell from the previous value of -25.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through February 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -21.13, down from the prior three at -13.37. In February readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged -20.30.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 9 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 8.50.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 7, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - BG
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About Consumer Confidence — Bulgaria
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual -28.6, consensus -28. Prior reading (Jan 2026): -25.9. Before that (Jul 2025): -21.1.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - BG Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.7 | -0.9 | 0.5 | 0.60 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Producer Price Index MoM | -0.5 | -0.2 | -0.4 | -0.45 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 17.2 | 16.1 | 16.5 | 16.85 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Producer Price Index YoY | 17.1 | 17.5 | 17.3 | 17.20 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 4.4 | 5.4 | 4.2 | 4.30 | Low |