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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BahrainBahrain GDP Growth Rate QoQ fell to -7.57% in Q1 2025
FMPQuarterlyReleased August 2025
Bahrain GDP Growth Rate QoQ fell to -7.57% in Q1 2025, released August 2025, down 14.53% from December's 6.96% reading. The reading missed the -5.3% consensus by 2.27%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 2.47%. GDP Growth Rate QoQ is now the lowest in 16 months.
Latest Release
-7.57
Actual
-5.3
Consensus
6.96
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±3.63 percentage points
across last 6 releases
Last Call
Aug 2025
Predicted: -5.3
Actual: -7.57
Error: +2.27
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Bahrain) was reported at -7.57% in August 2025. This missed the market consensus of -5.3% by 2.27%. The reading fell from the previous value of 6.96%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2025.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -0.1%, down from the prior three at 0.93%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 6 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 3.63%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2025.
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GDP Growth Rate QoQ - BH
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About GDP Growth Rate QoQ — Bahrain
DEFINITION
The GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Quarter over Quarter) is a key economic indicator that measures the percentage change in a country's gross domestic product from one quarter to the next. It provides valuable insight into the overall health and growth of the economy, and is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions. A positive GDP Growth Rate QoQ indicates a growing economy, while a negative rate suggests a decline. This indicator is an important tool for assessing the current state and predicting future trends of a country's economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2025): actual -7.57 %, consensus -5.3 %. Prior reading (Oct 2024): 6.96 %. Before that (Oct 2024): 6.96 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.