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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ChileChile Current Account fell to -0.4B in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Chile Current Account fell to -0.4B in April 2026, released August 2026, down 2.3B from March's 1.9B reading. The reading missed the 1.5B consensus by 1.9B. The print is running well above the 12-month average of -1.73B.
Latest Release
-0.4
Actual
1.5
Consensus
1.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.73 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 1.5
Actual: -0.4
Error: +1.9
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Current Account (Chile) was reported at -0.40 billion in August 2026. This missed the market consensus of 1.50 billion by 1.90 billion. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.90 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.93 billion, up from the prior three at -2.41 billion. In August readings over the past 3 years, Current Account has averaged -1.82 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.73 billion.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Current Account - CL
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About Current Account — Chile
DEFINITION
The Current Account is a financial indicator that measures a country's trade balance, including the value of goods and services exported and imported, as well as income received and payments made to other countries. It provides insight into a nation's economic health and its ability to pay for imports and service its debt. A positive current account balance indicates a surplus, while a negative balance indicates a deficit. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and economists as it can impact a country's currency value and overall economic stability.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual -0.4 B, consensus 1.5 B. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 1.9 B. Before that (Oct 2025): 1.3 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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