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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ChileChile Gross Domestic Product YoY climbed to -0.2% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Chile Gross Domestic Product YoY climbed to -0.2% in April 2026, released August 2026, up 0.3% from March's -0.5% reading. The reading missed the 0.2% consensus by 0.4%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 2.02%.
Latest Release
-0.2
Actual
0.2
Consensus
-0.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.3 percentage points
across last 7 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 0.2
Actual: -0.2
Error: +0.4
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Chile) was reported at -0.2% in August 2026. This missed the market consensus of 0.2% by 0.4%. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.3%, down from the prior three at 2.33%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 7 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.3%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - CL
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Chile
DEFINITION
Chile's Gross Domestic Product YoY for August came in at -0.200000%, missing the 0.200000% estimate but improving from July's -0.500000%. The economy remains in contraction year-over-year, though the pace of decline has moderated. Market focus will remain on upcoming data releases and central bank signals amid ongoing economic challenges. Updated 8/18/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual -0.2 %, consensus 0.2 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): -0.5 %. Before that (Oct 2025): 1.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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