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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ChileChile Imports fell to 7,811M in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Chile Imports fell to 7,811M in August 2026, released September 2026, down 447M from July's 8,258M reading. The reading missed the 8,300M consensus by 489M. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 7,332.17M. Over the past 3 months, Imports averaged 7,864.5M, vs 7,380.33M in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 88th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
7811
Actual
8300
Consensus
8258
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±665.63 million
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 8,377.25
Actual: 7,811
Error: +566.25
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.48 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Imports (Chile) was reported at 7,811.00 million in September 2026. This missed the market consensus of 8,300.00 million by 489.00 million. The reading fell from the previous value of 8,258.00 million. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 7,289.22 million, ranging from 6,298.00 million to 8,258.00 million across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 7,846.67 million, up from the prior three at 6,757.33 million. Volatility over the past year (σ 587.56 million) is higher than the prior year (σ 510.64 million). In September readings over the past 3 years, Imports has averaged 7,213.67 million.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, negatively correlated (Bearish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 665.63 million.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 7, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Imports - CL
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About Imports — Chile
DEFINITION
Imports refer to the goods and services that a country purchases from other countries. This financial indicator is used to measure the amount of foreign goods and services that are brought into a country, and is an important factor in determining a country's trade balance and overall economic health. High levels of imports can indicate a strong demand for foreign products, while low levels may suggest a weaker economy or a focus on domestic production. Tracking imports can provide valuable insights into a country's trade relationships and global economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 7,811 M, consensus 8,300 M. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 8,258 M. Before that (Jun 2026): 7,471 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.48) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
Σ
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