Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ChileChile Trade Balance fell to -0.06B in July 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2025
Chile Trade Balance fell to -0.06B in July 2025, released August 2025, down 1.39B from June's 1.33B reading. The reading missed the 0.53B consensus by 0.59B. Trade Balance has now declined for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Trade Balance averaged 1.43B, vs 1.77B in the prior 3-month window. Trade Balance is now the lowest in 6 months.
Latest Release
-0.06
Actual
0.53
Consensus
1.33
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.67 billion
across last 4 releases
Last Call
Aug 2025
Predicted: 0.53
Actual: -0.06
Error: +0.59
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.52 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.47 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Trade Balance (Chile) was reported at 0.93 billion in October 2025. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.91 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2025.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.59 billion, down from the prior three at 1.59 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish GBP).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2025.
SHARE
Trade Balance - CL
Loading chart data...
About Trade Balance — Chile
DEFINITION
Trade balance is a financial indicator that measures the difference between a country's exports and imports of goods and services. It is an important measure of a country's economic health and can indicate whether a country is a net importer or exporter. A positive trade balance indicates that a country is exporting more than it is importing, while a negative trade balance indicates the opposite. This indicator is closely monitored by economists and policymakers as it can impact a country's currency value, inflation, and overall economic growth.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2025): actual 0.93 B. Prior reading (Aug 2025): 0.91 B. Before that (Jul 2025): -0.06 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR, r=0.52) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.