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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ChinaChina Fixed Asset Investment held to -7.2% in October 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
China Fixed Asset Investment held to -7.2% in October 2026. The reading matched the -7.3% consensus. The print is running well below the 12-month average of -2.49%. Over the past 3 months, Fixed Asset Investment averaged -6.95%, vs -3.8% in the prior 3-month window. Fixed Asset Investment is now the lowest in 39 months.
Latest Release
-7.2
Actual
-7.3
Consensus
-7.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.45 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: -7.43
Actual: -7.2
Error: -0.22
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/CNY | ▲ Direct | +0.70 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.63 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.59 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| Hang Seng | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.28 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Fixed Asset Investment (China) was reported at -7.2% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of -7.3% by 0.1%. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -3.88%, ranging from -7.2% to 1.8% across 10 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -7.03%, down from the prior three at -3.8%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.78%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.49%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Fixed Asset Investment has averaged -1.43%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/CNY (Bullish USD). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, positively correlated (Bullish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.45%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 16, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include NBS Non Manufacturing PMI (Oct 31) and NBS Manufacturing PMI (Oct 31).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Fixed Asset Investment - CN
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About Fixed Asset Investment — China
DEFINITION
Fixed Asset Investment is a financial indicator that measures the amount of capital invested in long-term assets, such as buildings, equipment, and land, by a company or economy. This indicator provides insight into the level of investment in physical assets, which can indicate the growth and expansion potential of a business or economy. It is often used by investors and analysts to assess the financial health and future prospects of a company or country. A high level of fixed asset investment is generally seen as a positive sign of economic growth and stability.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual -7.2 %, consensus -7.3 %. Prior reading (Sep 2026): -7.2 %. Before that (Aug 2026): -6.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/CNY (Bullish USD, r=0.70) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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