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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ChinaChina Foreign Exchange Reserves fell to 3.42 T in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
China Foreign Exchange Reserves fell to 3.42 T in June 2026, released July 2026, down 0.03 T from May's 3.44 T reading. The reading matched the 3.44 T consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 0.1 T. Over the past 3 months, Foreign Exchange Reserves averaged 3.43 T, vs 3.39 T in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 91st percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
3.416
Actual
3.44
Consensus
3.442
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.03
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 3.45
Actual: 3.42
Error: +0.04
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.38 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/CNY | ▲ Direct | +0.34 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.33 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| Hang Seng | ▼ Inverse | −0.32 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Foreign Exchange Reserves (China) was reported at 3.42 T in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 3.44 T by 0.02 T. The reading fell from the previous value of 3.44 T. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.37 T, ranging from 3.29 T to 3.44 T across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.43 T, up from the prior three at 3.37 T. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.05 T) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.04 T). In July readings over the past 3 years, Foreign Exchange Reserves has averaged 3.32 T.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with USD/CNY, positively correlated (Bullish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.03 T.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 7, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Aug 3) and S&P Global Services PMI (Aug 5).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Foreign Exchange Reserves - CN
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About Foreign Exchange Reserves — China
DEFINITION
Foreign Exchange Reserves refer to the amount of foreign currency held by a country's central bank. These reserves are used to maintain stability in the country's currency and to fulfill international payment obligations. They serve as a measure of a country's economic strength and ability to withstand external shocks. Foreign Exchange Reserves are an important financial indicator for investors and policymakers, providing insight into a country's monetary policy and its ability to manage its currency.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 3.416 T, consensus 3.44 T. Prior reading (May 2026): 3.442 T. Before that (Apr 2026): 3.411 T.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - CN Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | CN | NBS General PMI | 49.3 | 50.6 | 50.4 | 49.85 | Low |
| 01:30 | CN | NBS Non Manufacturing PMI | 49 | 50.2 | 50 | 49.50 | Medium |
| 01:30 | CN | NBS Manufacturing PMI | 49.2 | 50.3 | 50 | 49.60 | High |
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:45 | CN | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 49 | 51.7 | 52 | 50.50 | High |