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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ChinaChina Foreign Exchange Reserves climbed to 3.44 T in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
China Foreign Exchange Reserves climbed to 3.44 T in August 2026, released September 2026, up 0.02 T from July's 3.42 T reading. The reading matched the 3.43 T consensus. Foreign Exchange Reserves has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Foreign Exchange Reserves averaged 3.42 T, vs 3.4 T in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 95th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
3.438
Actual
3.43
Consensus
3.419
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.02
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 3.42
Actual: 3.44
Error: -0.01
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hang Seng | ▼ Inverse | −0.38 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/CNH | ▼ Inverse | −0.34 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Foreign Exchange Reserves (China) was reported at 3.44 T in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of 3.43 T by 0.01 T. The reading rose from the previous value of 3.42 T. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.40 T, ranging from 3.34 T to 3.44 T across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 3.42 T, up from the prior three at 3.42 T. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.04 T) is comparable than the prior year (σ 0.04 T). In September readings over the past 3 years, Foreign Exchange Reserves has averaged 3.35 T.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with Hang Seng (Bearish Hang Seng). A secondary relationship exists with USD/CNH, negatively correlated (Bearish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.02 T.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 7, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include FDI (Sep 17) and Loan Prime Rate 1Y (Sep 21).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Foreign Exchange Reserves - CN
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About Foreign Exchange Reserves — China
DEFINITION
Foreign Exchange Reserves refer to the amount of foreign currency held by a country's central bank. These reserves are used to maintain stability in the country's currency and to fulfill international payment obligations. They serve as a measure of a country's economic strength and ability to withstand external shocks. Foreign Exchange Reserves are an important financial indicator for investors and policymakers, providing insight into a country's monetary policy and its ability to manage its currency.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 3.438 T, consensus 3.43 T. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 3.419 T. Before that (Jun 2026): 3.416 T.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - CN Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | CN | M2 Money Supply YoY | 7.5 | 7.7 | 7.6 | 7.55 | Low |
| 09:00 | CN | Total Social Financing | 1660 | 1410 | 2040 | 1850.00 | Low |
| 09:00 | CN | Outstanding Loan Growth YoY | 4.9 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.00 | Low |
| 09:00 | CN | New Loans | 60 | -340 | 400 | 230.00 | Medium |
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:30 | CN | House Price Index YoY | -3 | -3.2 | -3.1 | -3.10 | Medium |
| 02:00 | CN | Retail Sales YoY | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.63 | High |
| 02:00 | CN | Unemployment Rate | 5.3 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.20 | High |
| 02:00 | CN | Industrial Production YoY | 5.2 | 4.5 | 4.8 | 4.95 | High |
| 02:00 | CN | Fixed Asset Investment | -7.2 | -6.7 | -7.2 | -7.72 | Medium |