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China's GDP Growth Rate QoQ for Q4 2025 came in at 1.20%, beating the 1.00% estimate and rising from 1.10% in Q3, signaling continued economic expansion. This 0.10 percentage point increase suggests strengthening momentum in the Chinese economy as it maintains steady growth. Market watchers will likely anticipate supportive policy measures to sustain this positive trajectory. Updated 1/19/26
| Saturday, March 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | CN | M2 Money Supply YoY | 9 | 9 | 8.8 | 9.00 | Low |
| 09:00 | CN | Outstanding Loan Growth YoY | 6 | 6.1 | 6 | 5.97 | Low |
| 09:00 | CN | Total Social Financing | 2380 | 7220 | 2130 | 2166.67 | Low |
| 09:00 | CN | New Yuan Loans | - | 4710 | 979 | 969.17 | Medium |
| 09:00 | CN | New Loans | - | 4710 | 1000 | 1026.67 | Medium |
| 08:00 | CN | New Loans | - | 4710 | 1000 | 1026.67 | Medium |
| 03:00 | CN | New Loans | - | 4710 | 1000 | 1026.67 | Medium |
| Friday, March 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:15 | CN | New Yuan Loans | 900 | 4710 | 979 | 969.17 | Medium |
| 09:15 | CN | Outstanding Loan Growth YoY | 6 | 6.1 | 6 | 5.97 | Low |
| 09:15 | CN | Total Social Financing | 2380 | 7220 | 2130 | 2166.67 | Low |
| 09:15 | CN | M2 Money Supply YoY | 9 | 9 | 8.8 | 9.00 | Low |
| 09:02 | CN | New Loans | 900 | 4710 | 865 | 891.67 | Medium |
| 09:00 | CN | New Loans | 900 | 4710 | 865 | 891.67 | Medium |
| Tuesday, March 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 17:37 | CN | Balance of Trade | - | 114.1 | 175 | 64.56 | Medium |
| 17:37 | CN | Balance of Trade | - | 808.8 | 950 | 839.56 | Low |
| 16:37 | CN | Balance of Trade | - | 114.1 | 175 | 64.56 | Medium |
| 16:37 | CN | Balance of Trade | - | 808.8 | 950 | 839.56 | Low |
| 09:26 | CN | Balance of Trade | 637.55 | 808.55 | 1250 | 1139.56 | Low |
| 09:25 | CN | Balance of Trade | 90.98 | 114.11 | 177.4 | 66.96 | Medium |
| 09:25 | CN | Imports YoY | 13.8 | 5.7 | 6.3 | 11.05 | Medium |
| 09:24 | CN | Exports YoY | 39.6 | 6.6 | 7.1 | 20.38 | Medium |
| 09:22 | CN | Balance of Trade | 213.62 | 114.11 | 177.4 | 66.96 | Medium |
| 09:13 | CN | Balance of Trade | 1.5 | 808.55 | 1250 | 1139.56 | Low |
| 09:13 | CN | Balance of Trade | 213.62 | 114.11 | 177.4 | 66.96 | Medium |
| 09:13 | CN | Imports YoY | 19.8 | 5.7 | 6.3 | 11.05 | Medium |
| 09:12 | CN | Exports YoY | 21.8 | 6.6 | 7.1 | 20.38 | Medium |
| 04:20 | CN | Balance of Trade | 90.98 | 114.11 | 177.4 | 66.96 | Medium |
| 04:20 | CN | Imports YoY | 13.8 | 5.7 | 6.3 | 11.05 | Medium |
| 04:20 | CN | Exports YoY | 39.6 | 6.6 | 7.1 | 20.38 | Medium |
| 03:04 | CN | Balance of Trade | 1.5 | 808.55 | 1250 | 1139.56 | Low |
| 03:01 | CN | Balance of Trade | 213.62 | 114.11 | 177.4 | 66.96 | Medium |
| 03:01 | CN | Imports YoY | 19.8 | 5.7 | 6.3 | 11.05 | Medium |
| 03:01 | CN | Exports YoY | 21.8 | 6.6 | 7.1 | 20.38 | Medium |
| 03:00 | CN | Exports YoY | 21.8 | 6.6 | 7.1 | 20.38 | High |
| 03:00 | CN | Imports YoY | 19.8 | 5.7 | 6.3 | 11.05 | High |
| 03:00 | CN | Balance of Trade | 213.62 | 114.11 | 177.4 | 66.96 | Medium |
| 02:00 | CN | Balance of Trade | - | 114.1 | 182 | 71.56 | Medium |
| Monday, March 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:00 | CN | Imports YoY | 19.8 | 5.7 | 6.3 | 11.05 | Medium |
| 21:00 | CN | Exports YoY | 21.8 | 6.6 | 7.1 | 20.38 | Medium |
| 21:00 | CN | Balance of Trade | 637.55 | 808.55 | 1250 | 1139.56 | Low |
| 01:30 | CN | Inflation Rate MoM | 1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.42 | Medium |
| 01:30 | CN | Producer Price Index YoY | -0.9 | -1.4 | -1.2 | -1.08 | Medium |
| 01:30 | CN | Inflation Rate YoY | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.73 | High |
| 00:30 | CN | CPI | - | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.80 | Medium |
| Saturday, March 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 04:00 | CN | Foreign Exchange Reserves | 3.428 | 3.399 | 3.4 | 3.41 | Low |
| Wednesday, March 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:45 | CN | Services PMI | 56.7 | 52.3 | 51.7 | 52.70 | Medium |
| 01:45 | CN | PMI | 55.4 | 51.6 | 51.4 | 52.23 | Low |
| 01:45 | CN | Manufacturing PMI | 52.1 | 50.3 | 50.5 | 50.77 | High |
| 01:30 | CN | NBS Manufacturing PMI | 49 | 49.3 | 49.9 | 49.72 | High |
| 01:30 | CN | NBS General PMI | 49.5 | 49.8 | 50.2 | 50.10 | Low |
| 01:30 | CN | NBS Non Manufacturing PMI | 49.5 | 49.4 | 50 | 49.83 | Medium |
| Monday, March 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 02:00 | CN | FDI | -5.7 | -9.5 | -1 | -2.05 | Medium |
| 01:45 | CN | Manufacturing PMI | - | 50.3 | 50.5 | 50.77 | High |
| Tuesday, February 24, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:15 | CN | Loan Prime Rate 5Y | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Medium |
| 01:15 | CN | Loan Prime Rate 1Y | - | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | Medium |
| 01:00 | CN | Prime Rate | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | Medium |
| 01:00 | CN | Loan Prime Rate 1Y | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | Medium |
| 01:00 | CN | Loan Prime Rate 5Y | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Medium |
| Monday, February 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 18:00 | CN | Prime Rate | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | Medium |
| Saturday, February 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:50 | CN | Current Account | 242.1 | 198.7 | 210 | 218.80 | Medium |
| 09:00 | CN | Outstanding Loan Growth YoY | 6.1 | 6.4 | 6.3 | 6.27 | Low |
| 09:00 | CN | M2 Money Supply YoY | 9 | 8.5 | 8.2 | 8.40 | Low |
| 09:00 | CN | Total Social Financing | 7220 | 2210 | 7500 | 7536.67 | Low |
| 09:00 | CN | New Yuan Loans | 4710 | 910 | 4800 | 4790.17 | Medium |
| Friday, February 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:30 | CN | House Price Index YoY | -3.1 | -2.7 | -2.6 | -2.75 | Medium |
| Wednesday, February 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:30 | CN | Producer Price Index YoY | -1.4 | -1.9 | -1.7 | -1.58 | Medium |
| 01:30 | CN | Inflation Rate YoY | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.53 | High |
| 01:30 | CN | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.52 | Medium |
| 01:30 | CN | CPI | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.30 | Medium |
| Saturday, February 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | CN | Foreign Exchange Reserves | 3.399 | 3.358 | 3.36 | 3.37 | Low |
| Wednesday, February 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:45 | CN | Caixin Services PMI | - | 52 | 51.9 | 51.90 | Medium |
| 01:45 | CN | PMI | 51.6 | 51.3 | 50.9 | 51.73 | Low |
| 01:45 | CN | Services PMI | 52.3 | 52 | 51.5 | 52.50 | Medium |
| Monday, February 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:45 | CN | Caixin Manufacturing PMI | 50.3 | 50.1 | 50.1 | 50.23 | High |
| 01:45 | CN | Manufacturing PMI | 50.3 | 50.1 | 50.5 | 50.77 | High |
| Saturday, January 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:30 | CN | NBS Non Manufacturing PMI | 49.4 | 50.2 | 50.3 | 50.13 | Medium |
| 01:30 | CN | NBS General PMI | 49.8 | 50.7 | 50.5 | 50.40 | Low |
| 01:30 | CN | NBS Manufacturing PMI | 49.3 | 50.1 | 50.4 | 50.22 | High |
| Tuesday, January 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:30 | CN | Industrial Profits YoY | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | -0.15 | Low |
| Tuesday, January 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:15 | CN | Loan Prime Rate 1Y | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | Medium |
| 01:15 | CN | Loan Prime Rate 5Y | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Medium |
| 01:15 | CN | Prime Rate | - | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | Medium |
| 01:00 | CN | Prime Rate | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | Medium |
| Monday, January 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | CN | FDI | - | -7.5 | -6.8 | -7.85 | Medium |
| 02:00 | CN | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1 | 1.10 | Medium |
| 02:00 | CN | Unemployment Rate | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.10 | High |
| 02:00 | CN | Industrial Capacity Utilization | 74.9 | 74.6 | 74.4 | 74.65 | Low |
| 02:00 | CN | Fixed Asset Investment | -3.8 | -2.6 | -3 | -3.40 | Medium |
| 02:00 | CN | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 4.5 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 4.45 | High |
| 02:00 | CN | Retail Sales YoY | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.05 | High |
| 02:00 | CN | Industrial Production YoY | 5.2 | 4.8 | 5 | 5.10 | High |
| 02:00 | CN | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1 | 1.10 | Medium |
| 01:30 | CN | House Price Index YoY | -2.7 | -2.4 | -2.6 | -2.75 | Medium |
| Saturday, January 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 02:00 | CN | Fixed Asset Investment | - | -2.6 | -2.4 | -2.80 | Medium |
| 01:30 | CN | House Price Index YoY | - | -2.4 | -2.6 | -2.75 | Medium |
| Thursday, January 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | CN | New Loans | - | 390 | 820 | 846.67 | Medium |
| 09:00 | CN | New Yuan Loans | 910 | 390 | 800 | 790.17 | Medium |
| 09:00 | CN | M2 Money Supply YoY | 8.5 | 8 | 8 | 8.20 | Low |
| 09:00 | CN | Outstanding Loan Growth YoY | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.3 | 6.27 | Low |
| 09:00 | CN | Total Social Financing | 2210 | 2490 | 2000 | 2036.67 | Low |
| 07:30 | CN | Total Social Financing | 2210 | 2490 | 2000 | 2036.67 | Low |
| 07:30 | CN | Outstanding Loan Growth YoY | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.3 | 6.27 | Low |
| 07:30 | CN | M2 Money Supply YoY | 8.5 | 8 | 8 | 8.20 | Low |
| 07:30 | CN | New Yuan Loans | 910 | 390 | 800 | 790.17 | Medium |
| 07:00 | CN | New Loans | 910 | 390 | 820 | 846.67 | Medium |
| Wednesday, January 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | CN | New Loans | - | 390 | 820 | 846.67 | Medium |
| 10:00 | CN | New Loans | - | 390 | 820 | 846.67 | Medium |
| 09:00 | CN | M2 Money Supply YoY | - | 8 | 8 | 8.20 | Low |
| 09:00 | CN | New Yuan Loans | - | 390 | 800 | 790.17 | Medium |
| 09:00 | CN | Total Social Financing | - | 2490 | 2000 | 2036.67 | Low |
| 09:00 | CN | Outstanding Loan Growth YoY | - | 6.4 | 6.3 | 6.27 | Low |
| 07:00 | CN | Vehicle Sales YoY | -6.2 | 3.4 | 3.1 | -1.55 | Low |
| 06:10 | CN | Vehicle Sales YoY | -6.2 | 3.4 | 3.1 | -1.55 | Low |
| 03:00 | CN | Balance of Trade | 808.8 | 792.58 | 820 | 709.56 | Low |
| 03:00 | CN | Imports YoY | 5.7 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 5.65 | High |
| 03:00 | CN | Exports YoY | 6.6 | 5.9 | 3 | 16.28 | High |
| Tuesday, January 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | CN | Vehicle Sales YoY | - | 3.4 | 3.1 | -1.55 | Low |
| 03:00 | CN | Balance of Trade | - | 792.58 | 750 | 639.56 | Low |
| Friday, January 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:30 | CN | Producer Price Index YoY | -1.9 | -2.2 | -2 | -1.88 | Medium |
| 01:30 | CN | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | -0.1 | 0 | 0.12 | Medium |
| 01:30 | CN | Inflation Rate YoY | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.93 | High |
| Wednesday, January 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | CN | Foreign Exchange Reserves | 3.358 | 3.346 | 3.35 | 3.36 | Low |
| Tuesday, January 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:45 | CN | Caixin Services PMI | 52 | 52.1 | 52 | 52.00 | Medium |
| Monday, January 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:45 | CN | Services PMI | 52 | 52.1 | 51.8 | 52.80 | Medium |
| 01:45 | CN | PMI | 51.3 | 51.2 | 51 | 51.83 | Low |
| Wednesday, December 31, 2025 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | CN | Current Account | 198.7 | 128.7 | 195.6 | 204.40 | Low |
| 01:45 | CN | Manufacturing PMI | 50.1 | 49.9 | 49.9 | 50.17 | High |
| 01:45 | CN | Caixin Manufacturing PMI | 50.1 | 49.9 | 49.8 | 49.92 | Medium |
| 01:30 | CN | NBS Manufacturing PMI | 50.1 | 49.2 | 49.2 | 49.02 | High |
| 01:30 | CN | NBS Non Manufacturing PMI | 50.2 | 49.5 | 49.8 | 49.63 | High |
| 01:30 | CN | NBS General PMI | 50.7 | 49.7 | 49.9 | 49.80 | Low |
| Saturday, December 27, 2025 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:30 | CN | Industrial Profits YoY | 0.1 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 1.75 | Low |
| Monday, December 22, 2025 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:15 | CN | Loan Prime Rate 5Y | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Medium |
| 01:15 | CN | Loan Prime Rate 1Y | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | Medium |
| 01:15 | CN | Prime Rate | - | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | Medium |
| 01:00 | CN | Prime Rate | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | Medium |
| Sunday, December 21, 2025 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:15 | CN | Prime Rate | - | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | Medium |
| Saturday, December 20, 2025 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:15 | CN | Loan Prime Rate 1Y | - | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | Medium |
| 01:15 | CN | Loan Prime Rate 5Y | - | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Medium |
| Friday, December 19, 2025 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | CN | FDI | -7.5 | -10.3 | -8 | -9.05 | Medium |
| 07:00 | CN | FDI | - | -10.3 | -8 | -9.05 | Medium |
| Thursday, December 18, 2025 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | CN | FDI | - | -10.3 | -8 | -9.05 | Medium |
| Wednesday, December 17, 2025 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | CN | FDI | - | -10.3 | -8 | -9.05 | Medium |
| Tuesday, December 16, 2025 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | CN | FDI | - | -10.3 | -8 | -9.05 | Medium |