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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ChinaChina Gross Domestic Product QoQ climbed to 1.3% in Q1 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased April 2026
China Gross Domestic Product QoQ climbed to 1.3% in Q1 2026, released April 2026, up 0.1% from December's 1.2% reading. The reading matched the 1.3% consensus. Gross Domestic Product QoQ has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Gross Domestic Product QoQ is now the highest in 12 months.
Latest Release
1.3
Actual
1.3
Consensus
1.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.25 percentage points
across last 4 releases
Last Call
Jan 2026
Predicted: 1
Actual: 1.2
Error: -0.2
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/CNY | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Bullish CNY | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| Copper | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product QoQ (China) was reported at 1.3% in April 2026. This matched the market consensus of 1.3% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through January 2026. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/CNY (Bullish CNY). A secondary relationship exists with AUD/USD, positively correlated (Bullish AUD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Loan Prime Rate 5Y (Jun 22) and Loan Prime Rate 1Y (Jun 22).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update January 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product QoQ - CN
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About Gross Domestic Product QoQ — China
DEFINITION
China's Gross Domestic Product QoQ rose 1.300000% in Q1 2026, missing the 1.400000% estimate but improving from Q4 2025's 1.200000%. The economy showed moderate acceleration, maintaining expansion momentum after two consecutive quarters at 1.2%. Market focus now shifts to upcoming policy signals amid steady growth. Updated 4/16/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual 1.3 %, consensus 1.4 %. Prior reading (Oct 2025): 1.2 %. Before that (Jul 2025): 1.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/CNY (Bullish CNY, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.