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China Gross Domestic Product QoQ
Latest Release
1.2
Actual
1
Consensus
1.1
Previous
China's Gross Domestic Product QoQ for Q4 2025 surprised with a 1.20% growth, beating the 1.00% estimate and improving from 1.10% in Q3, signaling continued economic expansion. This 0.10 percentage point increase from the previous quarter reflects sustained momentum in China's real GDP. Looking ahead, this stronger-than-expected growth may support more accommodative monetary policies to bolster the recovery. Updated 1/19/26
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Gross Domestic Product QOQ - CN
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Economic Calendar - CN Events
| Saturday, March 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | CN | M2 Money Supply YoY | 9 | 9 | 8.8 | 9.00 | Low |
| 09:00 | CN | Outstanding Loan Growth YoY | 6 | 6.1 | 6 | 5.97 | Low |
| 09:00 | CN | Total Social Financing | 2380 | 7220 | 2130 | 2166.67 | Low |
| 09:00 | CN | New Yuan Loans | - | 4710 | 979 | 969.17 | Medium |
| 09:00 | CN | New Loans | - | 4710 | 1000 | 1026.67 | Medium |
| 08:00 | CN | New Loans | - | 4710 | 1000 | 1026.67 | Medium |
| 03:00 | CN | New Loans | - | 4710 | 1000 | 1026.67 | Medium |
| Friday, March 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:15 | CN | New Yuan Loans | 900 | 4710 | 979 | 969.17 | Medium |
| 09:15 | CN | Outstanding Loan Growth YoY | 6 | 6.1 | 6 | 5.97 | Low |
| 09:15 | CN | Total Social Financing | 2380 | 7220 | 2130 | 2166.67 | Low |
| 09:15 | CN | M2 Money Supply YoY | 9 | 9 | 8.8 | 9.00 | Low |
| 09:02 | CN | New Loans | 900 | 4710 | 865 | 891.67 | Medium |
| 09:00 | CN | New Loans | 900 | 4710 | 865 | 891.67 | Medium |
| Tuesday, March 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 17:37 | CN | Balance of Trade | - | 114.1 | 175 | 64.56 | Medium |
| 17:37 | CN | Balance of Trade | - | 808.8 | 950 | 839.56 | Low |
| 16:37 | CN | Balance of Trade | - | 114.1 | 175 | 64.56 | Medium |
| 16:37 | CN | Balance of Trade | - | 808.8 | 950 | 839.56 | Low |
| 09:26 | CN | Balance of Trade | 637.55 | 808.55 | 1250 | 1139.56 | Low |
| 09:25 | CN | Balance of Trade | 90.98 | 114.11 | 177.4 | 66.96 | Medium |
| 09:25 | CN | Imports YoY | 13.8 | 5.7 | 6.3 | 11.05 | Medium |
| 09:24 | CN | Exports YoY | 39.6 | 6.6 | 7.1 | 20.38 | Medium |
| 09:22 | CN | Balance of Trade | 213.62 | 114.11 | 177.4 | 66.96 | Medium |
| 09:13 | CN | Balance of Trade | 1.5 | 808.55 | 1250 | 1139.56 | Low |
| 09:13 | CN | Balance of Trade | 213.62 | 114.11 | 177.4 | 66.96 | Medium |
| 09:13 | CN | Imports YoY | 19.8 | 5.7 | 6.3 | 11.05 | Medium |
| 09:12 | CN | Exports YoY | 21.8 | 6.6 | 7.1 | 20.38 | Medium |
| 04:20 | CN | Balance of Trade | 90.98 | 114.11 | 177.4 | 66.96 | Medium |
| 04:20 | CN | Imports YoY | 13.8 | 5.7 | 6.3 | 11.05 | Medium |
| 04:20 | CN | Exports YoY | 39.6 | 6.6 | 7.1 | 20.38 | Medium |
| 03:04 | CN | Balance of Trade | 1.5 | 808.55 | 1250 | 1139.56 | Low |
| 03:01 | CN | Balance of Trade | 213.62 | 114.11 | 177.4 | 66.96 | Medium |
| 03:01 | CN | Imports YoY | 19.8 | 5.7 | 6.3 | 11.05 | Medium |
| 03:01 | CN | Exports YoY | 21.8 | 6.6 | 7.1 | 20.38 | Medium |
| 03:00 | CN | Exports YoY | 21.8 | 6.6 | 7.1 | 20.38 | High |
| 03:00 | CN | Imports YoY | 19.8 | 5.7 | 6.3 | 11.05 | High |
| 03:00 | CN | Balance of Trade | 213.62 | 114.11 | 177.4 | 66.96 | Medium |
| 02:00 | CN | Balance of Trade | - | 114.1 | 182 | 71.56 | Medium |
| Monday, March 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:00 | CN | Imports YoY | 19.8 | 5.7 | 6.3 | 11.05 | Medium |
| 21:00 | CN | Exports YoY | 21.8 | 6.6 | 7.1 | 20.38 | Medium |
| 21:00 | CN | Balance of Trade | 637.55 | 808.55 | 1250 | 1139.56 | Low |
| 01:30 | CN | Inflation Rate MoM | 1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.42 | Medium |
| 01:30 | CN | Producer Price Index YoY | -0.9 | -1.4 | -1.2 | -1.08 | Medium |
| 01:30 | CN | Inflation Rate YoY | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.73 | High |
| 00:30 | CN | CPI | - | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.80 | Medium |
| Saturday, March 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 04:00 | CN | Foreign Exchange Reserves | 3.428 | 3.399 | 3.4 | 3.41 | Low |
| Wednesday, March 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:45 | CN | Services PMI | 56.7 | 52.3 | 51.7 | 52.70 | Medium |
| 01:45 | CN | PMI | 55.4 | 51.6 | 51.4 | 52.23 | Low |
| 01:45 | CN | Manufacturing PMI | 52.1 | 50.3 | 50.5 | 50.77 | High |
| 01:30 | CN | NBS Manufacturing PMI | 49 | 49.3 | 49.9 | 49.72 | High |
| 01:30 | CN | NBS General PMI | 49.5 | 49.8 | 50.2 | 50.10 | Low |
| 01:30 | CN | NBS Non Manufacturing PMI | 49.5 | 49.4 | 50 | 49.83 | Medium |
| Monday, March 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 02:00 | CN | FDI | -5.7 | -9.5 | -1 | -2.05 | Medium |
| 01:45 | CN | Manufacturing PMI | - | 50.3 | 50.5 | 50.77 | High |
| Tuesday, February 24, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:15 | CN | Loan Prime Rate 5Y | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Medium |
| 01:15 | CN | Loan Prime Rate 1Y | - | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | Medium |
| 01:00 | CN | Prime Rate | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | Medium |
| 01:00 | CN | Loan Prime Rate 1Y | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | Medium |
| 01:00 | CN | Loan Prime Rate 5Y | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Medium |
| Monday, February 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 18:00 | CN | Prime Rate | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | Medium |
| Saturday, February 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:50 | CN | Current Account | 242.1 | 198.7 | 210 | 218.80 | Medium |
| 09:00 | CN | Outstanding Loan Growth YoY | 6.1 | 6.4 | 6.3 | 6.27 | Low |
| 09:00 | CN | M2 Money Supply YoY | 9 | 8.5 | 8.2 | 8.40 | Low |
| 09:00 | CN | Total Social Financing | 7220 | 2210 | 7500 | 7536.67 | Low |
| 09:00 | CN | New Yuan Loans | 4710 | 910 | 4800 | 4790.17 | Medium |
| Friday, February 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:30 | CN | House Price Index YoY | -3.1 | -2.7 | -2.6 | -2.75 | Medium |
| Wednesday, February 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:30 | CN | Producer Price Index YoY | -1.4 | -1.9 | -1.7 | -1.58 | Medium |
| 01:30 | CN | Inflation Rate YoY | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.53 | High |
| 01:30 | CN | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.52 | Medium |
| 01:30 | CN | CPI | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.30 | Medium |
| Saturday, February 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | CN | Foreign Exchange Reserves | 3.399 | 3.358 | 3.36 | 3.37 | Low |
| Wednesday, February 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:45 | CN | Caixin Services PMI | - | 52 | 51.9 | 51.90 | Medium |
| 01:45 | CN | PMI | 51.6 | 51.3 | 50.9 | 51.73 | Low |
| 01:45 | CN | Services PMI | 52.3 | 52 | 51.5 | 52.50 | Medium |
| Monday, February 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:45 | CN | Caixin Manufacturing PMI | 50.3 | 50.1 | 50.1 | 50.23 | High |
| 01:45 | CN | Manufacturing PMI | 50.3 | 50.1 | 50.5 | 50.77 | High |
| Saturday, January 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:30 | CN | NBS Non Manufacturing PMI | 49.4 | 50.2 | 50.3 | 50.13 | Medium |
| 01:30 | CN | NBS General PMI | 49.8 | 50.7 | 50.5 | 50.40 | Low |
| 01:30 | CN | NBS Manufacturing PMI | 49.3 | 50.1 | 50.4 | 50.22 | High |
| Tuesday, January 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:30 | CN | Industrial Profits YoY | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | -0.15 | Low |
| Tuesday, January 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:15 | CN | Loan Prime Rate 1Y | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | Medium |
| 01:15 | CN | Loan Prime Rate 5Y | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Medium |
| 01:15 | CN | Prime Rate | - | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | Medium |
| 01:00 | CN | Prime Rate | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | Medium |
| Monday, January 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | CN | FDI | - | -7.5 | -6.8 | -7.85 | Medium |
| 02:00 | CN | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1 | 1.10 | Medium |
| 02:00 | CN | Unemployment Rate | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.10 | High |
| 02:00 | CN | Industrial Capacity Utilization | 74.9 | 74.6 | 74.4 | 74.65 | Low |
| 02:00 | CN | Fixed Asset Investment | -3.8 | -2.6 | -3 | -3.40 | Medium |
| 02:00 | CN | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 4.5 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 4.45 | High |
| 02:00 | CN | Retail Sales YoY | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.05 | High |
| 02:00 | CN | Industrial Production YoY | 5.2 | 4.8 | 5 | 5.10 | High |
| 02:00 | CN | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1 | 1.10 | Medium |
| 01:30 | CN | House Price Index YoY | -2.7 | -2.4 | -2.6 | -2.75 | Medium |
| Saturday, January 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 02:00 | CN | Fixed Asset Investment | - | -2.6 | -2.4 | -2.80 | Medium |
| 01:30 | CN | House Price Index YoY | - | -2.4 | -2.6 | -2.75 | Medium |
| Thursday, January 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | CN | New Loans | - | 390 | 820 | 846.67 | Medium |
| 09:00 | CN | New Yuan Loans | 910 | 390 | 800 | 790.17 | Medium |
| 09:00 | CN | M2 Money Supply YoY | 8.5 | 8 | 8 | 8.20 | Low |
| 09:00 | CN | Outstanding Loan Growth YoY | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.3 | 6.27 | Low |
| 09:00 | CN | Total Social Financing | 2210 | 2490 | 2000 | 2036.67 | Low |
| 07:30 | CN | Total Social Financing | 2210 | 2490 | 2000 | 2036.67 | Low |
| 07:30 | CN | Outstanding Loan Growth YoY | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.3 | 6.27 | Low |
| 07:30 | CN | M2 Money Supply YoY | 8.5 | 8 | 8 | 8.20 | Low |
| 07:30 | CN | New Yuan Loans | 910 | 390 | 800 | 790.17 | Medium |
| 07:00 | CN | New Loans | 910 | 390 | 820 | 846.67 | Medium |
| Wednesday, January 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | CN | New Loans | - | 390 | 820 | 846.67 | Medium |
| 10:00 | CN | New Loans | - | 390 | 820 | 846.67 | Medium |
| 09:00 | CN | M2 Money Supply YoY | - | 8 | 8 | 8.20 | Low |
| 09:00 | CN | New Yuan Loans | - | 390 | 800 | 790.17 | Medium |
| 09:00 | CN | Total Social Financing | - | 2490 | 2000 | 2036.67 | Low |
| 09:00 | CN | Outstanding Loan Growth YoY | - | 6.4 | 6.3 | 6.27 | Low |
| 07:00 | CN | Vehicle Sales YoY | -6.2 | 3.4 | 3.1 | -1.55 | Low |
| 06:10 | CN | Vehicle Sales YoY | -6.2 | 3.4 | 3.1 | -1.55 | Low |
| 03:00 | CN | Balance of Trade | 808.8 | 792.58 | 820 | 709.56 | Low |
| 03:00 | CN | Imports YoY | 5.7 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 5.65 | High |
| 03:00 | CN | Exports YoY | 6.6 | 5.9 | 3 | 16.28 | High |
| Tuesday, January 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | CN | Vehicle Sales YoY | - | 3.4 | 3.1 | -1.55 | Low |
| 03:00 | CN | Balance of Trade | - | 792.58 | 750 | 639.56 | Low |
| Friday, January 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:30 | CN | Producer Price Index YoY | -1.9 | -2.2 | -2 | -1.88 | Medium |
| 01:30 | CN | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | -0.1 | 0 | 0.12 | Medium |
| 01:30 | CN | Inflation Rate YoY | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.93 | High |
| Wednesday, January 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | CN | Foreign Exchange Reserves | 3.358 | 3.346 | 3.35 | 3.36 | Low |
| Tuesday, January 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:45 | CN | Caixin Services PMI | 52 | 52.1 | 52 | 52.00 | Medium |
| Monday, January 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:45 | CN | Services PMI | 52 | 52.1 | 51.8 | 52.80 | Medium |
| 01:45 | CN | PMI | 51.3 | 51.2 | 51 | 51.83 | Low |
| Wednesday, December 31, 2025 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | CN | Current Account | 198.7 | 128.7 | 195.6 | 204.40 | Low |
| 01:45 | CN | Manufacturing PMI | 50.1 | 49.9 | 49.9 | 50.17 | High |
| 01:45 | CN | Caixin Manufacturing PMI | 50.1 | 49.9 | 49.8 | 49.92 | Medium |
| 01:30 | CN | NBS Manufacturing PMI | 50.1 | 49.2 | 49.2 | 49.02 | High |
| 01:30 | CN | NBS Non Manufacturing PMI | 50.2 | 49.5 | 49.8 | 49.63 | High |
| 01:30 | CN | NBS General PMI | 50.7 | 49.7 | 49.9 | 49.80 | Low |
| Saturday, December 27, 2025 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:30 | CN | Industrial Profits YoY | 0.1 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 1.75 | Low |
| Monday, December 22, 2025 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:15 | CN | Loan Prime Rate 5Y | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Medium |
| 01:15 | CN | Loan Prime Rate 1Y | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | Medium |
| 01:15 | CN | Prime Rate | - | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | Medium |
| 01:00 | CN | Prime Rate | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | Medium |
| Sunday, December 21, 2025 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:15 | CN | Prime Rate | - | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | Medium |
| Saturday, December 20, 2025 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:15 | CN | Loan Prime Rate 1Y | - | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | Medium |
| 01:15 | CN | Loan Prime Rate 5Y | - | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Medium |
| Friday, December 19, 2025 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | CN | FDI | -7.5 | -10.3 | -8 | -9.05 | Medium |
| 07:00 | CN | FDI | - | -10.3 | -8 | -9.05 | Medium |
| Thursday, December 18, 2025 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | CN | FDI | - | -10.3 | -8 | -9.05 | Medium |
| Wednesday, December 17, 2025 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | CN | FDI | - | -10.3 | -8 | -9.05 | Medium |
| Tuesday, December 16, 2025 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | CN | FDI | - | -10.3 | -8 | -9.05 | Medium |
