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China Imports YoY fell to 25.3 in April 2026, released May 2026, down 2.5 from March's 27.8 reading. The print exceeded the 15.2 consensus by 10.1. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 12.92. Over the past 3 months, Imports YoY averaged 19.23, vs 3.8 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 95th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
across last 12 releases
Mar 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hang Seng | ▲ Direct | +0.80 | INDEX | Bullish Hang Seng | → View |
| USD/CNY | ▼ Inverse | −0.73 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.71 | INDEX | Bullish Nikkei 225 | → View |
| USD/CNH | ▼ Inverse | −0.63 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.61 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The May 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 27.8. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±4.22. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with Hang Seng (Bullish Hang Seng) and negatively correlated with USD/CNY (Bearish USD).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Thursday, May 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | Outstanding Loan Growth YoY | 5.6 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.70 | Low | |
| 09:00 | M2 Money Supply YoY | 8.6 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8.72 | Low | |
| 09:00 | Total Social Financing | 620 | 5230 | 1500 | 1210.00 | Low | |
| 09:00 | New Loans | -10 | 2990 | 320 | 155.00 | Medium | |
| 09:00 | New Yuan Loans | -10 | 2990 | 300 | 200.00 | Medium | |
| Friday, May 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | Current Account | 184.1 | 243.8 | 215 | 210.05 | Medium | |
| 09:10 | Current Account | 184.1 | 243.8 | 215 | 210.05 | Medium | |
| Monday, May 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:30 | House Price Index YoY | -3.4 | -3.5 | -3.75 | Medium | ||
| 02:00 | Fixed Asset Investment | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.60 | Medium | ||
| 02:00 | Retail Sales YoY | 1.7 | 2 | 2.00 | High | ||
| 02:00 | Industrial Production YoY | 5.7 | 5.9 | 5.90 | High | ||
| 02:00 | Unemployment Rate | 5.4 | 5.3 | 5.30 | Low | ||