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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ColombiaColombia Imports YoY climbed to 31.7% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Colombia Imports YoY climbed to 31.7% in August 2026, released October 2026, up 8.8% from July's 22.9% reading. The print exceeded the 19.0% consensus by 12.7%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 14.28%. Over the past 3 months, Imports YoY averaged 24.95%, vs 13.45% in the prior 3-month window. Imports YoY is now the highest in 38 months.
Latest Release
31.7
Actual
19
Consensus
22.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±4.94 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 24.48
Actual: 31.7
Error: -7.22
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.33 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Imports YoY (Colombia) was reported at 31.7% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 19% by 12.7%. The reading rose from the previous value of 22.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 17.66%, ranging from 7.1% to 31.7% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 27.2%, up from the prior three at 12.2%. Volatility over the past year (σ 7.76%) is higher than the prior year (σ 4.99%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Imports YoY has averaged 14%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 4.94%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 18, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Imports YoY - CO
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About Imports YoY — Colombia
DEFINITION
Imports YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the total value of goods and services imported into a country. It provides valuable insights into a country's economic health and its trade relationships with other nations. A positive Imports YoY indicates an increase in imports, which can stimulate economic growth and consumer demand. On the other hand, a negative Imports YoY may suggest a decline in economic activity and potential trade imbalances. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the overall health of a country's economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 31.7 %, consensus 19 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 22.9 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 27 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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Economic Calendar - CO Events
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 | CO | Unemployment Rate | 8 | 9.4 | 9.2 | 8.60 | Low |
| 18:00 | CO | Interest Rate Decision | 12.25 | 12.25 | 12.25 | 12.25 | Low |
| 19:00 | CO | Cement Production YoY | 2 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 1.85 | Low |
| 19:25 | CO | Cement Production YoY | 2 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 1.85 | Low |