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Colombia Imports YoY climbed to 11.1% in March 2026, released May 2026, up 3.3% from February's 7.8% reading. The print exceeded the 10.0% consensus by 1.1%. Year-over-year, the indicator is down 5.4%. Over the past 3 months, Imports YoY averaged 8.75%, vs 11.0% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 63rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
across last 12 releases
May 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
Imports YoY (Colombia) was reported at 11.1% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 10% by 1.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 7.8%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 10.79%, ranging from -0.8% to 18.7% across 10 releases.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 9.3%, down from the prior three at 13.1%. Volatility over the past year (σ 5.46%) is lower than the prior year (σ 6.62%). In May readings over the past 3 years, Imports YoY has averaged 2.93%.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 6.89%.
The next release is scheduled for June 22, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
Imports YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the total value of goods and services imported into a country. It provides valuable insights into a country's economic health and its trade relationships with other nations. A positive Imports YoY indicates an increase in imports, which can stimulate economic growth and consumer demand. On the other hand, a negative Imports YoY may suggest a decline in economic activity and potential trade imbalances. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the overall health of a country's economy.
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Mar 2026): actual 11.1 %, consensus 10 %. Prior reading (Feb 2026): 7.8 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 9.7 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 | Industrial Production YoY | 2 | 3.9 | 3 | 2.50 | Low | |
| 15:00 | Retail Sales YoY | 14.9 | 13.4 | 11.4 | 13.15 | Low | |
| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | Consumer Confidence | 13.7 | 14 | 14.00 | Low | ||
| Thursday, June 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 16:00 | ISE Economic Activity YoY | 3.98 | 2.2 | 2.03 | Low | ||