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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ColombiaColombia Interest Rate Decision climbed to 12.0% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Colombia Interest Rate Decision climbed to 12.0% in June 2026, up 0.75% from May's 11.25% reading. The reading matched the 11.75% consensus. Interest Rate Decision has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Interest Rate Decision is now the highest in 26 months.
Latest Release
12
Actual
11.75
Consensus
11.25
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.16 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 11.75
Actual: 12
Error: -0.25
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Interest Rate Decision (Colombia) was reported at 12% in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 11.75% by 0.25%. The reading rose from the previous value of 11.25%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 9.97%, ranging from 9.25% to 12% across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 11.17%, up from the prior three at 9.25%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.03%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.49%). In June readings over the past 3 years, Interest Rate Decision has averaged 10.83%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.16%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Interest Rate Decision - CO
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About Interest Rate Decision — Colombia
DEFINITION
The Interest Rate Decision is a key financial indicator that reflects the decision made by a central bank or monetary authority to either increase, decrease, or maintain the current interest rates. This decision has a significant impact on the economy, as it affects the cost of borrowing money, inflation rates, and overall economic growth. Investors and businesses closely monitor interest rate decisions as they can have a significant impact on financial markets and investment strategies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Policy-rate decisions and associated communication are the primary near-term driver of front-end rates, currencies, and equity-discount-rate inputs. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 12 %, consensus 11.75 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 11.25 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 11.25 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.57) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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