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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ColombiaColombia Interest Rate Decision climbed to 11.25% in March 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased March 2026
Colombia Interest Rate Decision climbed to 11.25% in March 2026, up 1.0% from February's 10.25% reading. The reading matched the 11.25% consensus. Interest Rate Decision has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Interest Rate Decision is now the highest in 21 months.
Latest Release
11.25
Actual
11.25
Consensus
10.25
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.16 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Mar 2026
Predicted: 11.75
Actual: 11.25
Error: +0.5
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Interest Rate Decision (Colombia) was reported at 11.25% in March 2026. This matched the market consensus of 11.25% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of 10.25%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through March 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 9.63%, ranging from 9.25% to 11.25% across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 10.25%, up from the prior three at 9.25%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.7%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 0.67%). In March readings over the past 3 years, Interest Rate Decision has averaged 11%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.16%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 30, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
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Interest Rate Decision - CO
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About Interest Rate Decision — Colombia
DEFINITION
The Interest Rate Decision is a key financial indicator that reflects the decision made by a central bank or monetary authority to either increase, decrease, or maintain the current interest rates. This decision has a significant impact on the economy, as it affects the cost of borrowing money, inflation rates, and overall economic growth. Investors and businesses closely monitor interest rate decisions as they can have a significant impact on financial markets and investment strategies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Policy-rate decisions and associated communication are the primary near-term driver of front-end rates, currencies, and equity-discount-rate inputs. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 11.25 %, consensus 11.75 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 11.25 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 10.25 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.65) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.