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Colombia Retail Sales YoY climbed to 13.4% in March 2026, released May 2026, up 2.5% from February's 10.9% reading. The print exceeded the 10.1% consensus by 3.3%. Retail Sales YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Retail Sales YoY averaged 9.35%, vs 10.67% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 90th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
across last 12 releases
Mar 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.42 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The May 2026 reading rose from the previous value of 10.9. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±2.65. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU) and positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Tuesday, May 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 | Imports YoY | 11.1 | 7.8 | 10 | 10.55 | Low | |
| 15:00 | Balance of Trade | -0.84 | -1.53 | -1.3 | -1.07 | Low | |