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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
CyprusCyprus GDP Growth Rate YoY fell to 3.0% in January 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased June 2026
Cyprus GDP Growth Rate YoY fell to 3.0% in January 2026, released June 2026, down 1.3% from December's 4.3% reading. The reading matched the 3.0% consensus. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 3.43%. GDP Growth Rate YoY is now the lowest in 12 months.
Latest Release
3
Actual
3
Consensus
4.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.44 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 2.9
Actual: 3
Error: -0.1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.73 | INDEX | Bearish S&P 500 | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.68 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.53 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.46 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth Rate YoY (Cyprus) was reported at 3% in June 2026. This matched the market consensus of 3% exactly. The reading fell from the previous value of 4.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.6%, ranging from 3% to 4.5% across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.5%, down from the prior three at 3.9%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.56%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.47%). In June readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth Rate YoY has averaged 3.13%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.44%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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GDP Growth Rate YoY - CY
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About GDP Growth Rate YoY — Cyprus
DEFINITION
The GDP Growth Rate YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the annual change in a country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). It provides insight into the overall health and performance of an economy, as a higher growth rate indicates a stronger and more robust economy. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the current and future economic outlook. A positive GDP Growth Rate YoY is generally seen as a positive sign of economic growth and stability, while a negative growth rate may indicate a slowdown or recession.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual 3 %, consensus 3 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 3 %. Before that (Oct 2025): 4.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.73) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.