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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Czech RepublicCzech Republic Industrial Production MoM fell to -0.4% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Czech Republic Industrial Production MoM fell to -0.4% in May 2026, released July 2026, down 1.8% from April's 1.4% reading. The print exceeded the -0.8% consensus by 0.4%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.32%. Over the past 3 months, Industrial Production MoM averaged 0.6%, vs -0.3% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 31st percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-0.4
Actual
-0.8
Consensus
1.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.18 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: -0.4
Actual: -0.4
Error: +0
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Industrial Production MoM (Czech Republic) was reported at -0.4% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of -0.8% by 0.4%. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.08%, ranging from -2.6% to 2.4% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -0.53%, down from the prior three at 0.9%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.38%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.15%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Industrial Production MoM has averaged -0.33%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.18%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Industrial Production MoM - CZ
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About Industrial Production MoM — Czech Republic
DEFINITION
Industrial Production MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the total output of the manufacturing, mining, and utilities sectors within a specific country or region over a one-month period. This indicator provides valuable insights into the health and growth of the industrial sector, which is a crucial component of a country's overall economic performance. It is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it can impact inflation, employment, and consumer spending. A positive MoM change in industrial production indicates a growing economy, while a negative change may signal a slowdown or contraction.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Manufacturing and factory-order series capture cyclical inflection earlier than aggregate output, and have outsized influence on industrial-sector equities. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual -0.4 %, consensus -0.8 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 1.4 %. Before that (Mar 2026): -0.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.42) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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