Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Czech RepublicCzech Republic Industrial Production MoM fell to -1.1% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Czech Republic Industrial Production MoM fell to -1.1% in July 2026, released September 2026, down 2.5% from June's 1.4% reading. The reading missed the -0.1% consensus by 1.0%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.35%. Over the past 3 months, Industrial Production MoM averaged 0.4%, vs -0.03% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 17th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-1.1
Actual
-0.1
Consensus
1.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.53 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 0.45
Actual: -1.1
Error: +1.55
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAX | ▼ Inverse | −0.49 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.37 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.33 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.32 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/CZK | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Industrial Production MoM (Czech Republic) was reported at -1.1% in September 2026. This missed the market consensus of -0.1% by 1%. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.12%, ranging from -2.6% to 2.4% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -0.1%, up from the prior three at -0.27%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.4%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.18%). In September readings over the past 3 years, Industrial Production MoM has averaged -0.37%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with DAX (Bearish DAX). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.53%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 7, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
SHARE
Industrial Production MoM - CZ
Loading chart data...
About Industrial Production MoM — Czech Republic
DEFINITION
Industrial Production MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the total output of the manufacturing, mining, and utilities sectors within a specific country or region over a one-month period. This indicator provides valuable insights into the health and growth of the industrial sector, which is a crucial component of a country's overall economic performance. It is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it can impact inflation, employment, and consumer spending. A positive MoM change in industrial production indicates a growing economy, while a negative change may signal a slowdown or contraction.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Manufacturing and factory-order series capture cyclical inflection earlier than aggregate output, and have outsized influence on industrial-sector equities. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual -1.1 %, consensus -0.1 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 1.2 %. Before that (May 2026): -0.4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with DAX (Bearish DAX, r=-0.49) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - CZ Events
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | CZ | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.35 | Low |
| 07:00 | CZ | Producer Price Index YoY | 2 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.90 | Low |
| Thursday, September 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | CZ | Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | Low | |
| Monday, September 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | CZ | External Debt | 238.12 | 239.7 | 240.06 | Low | |