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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Czech RepublicCzech Republic Industrial Production MoM fell to -0.4% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Czech Republic Industrial Production MoM fell to -0.4% in May 2026, released July 2026, down 1.8% from April's 1.4% reading. The print exceeded the -0.8% consensus by 0.4%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.32%. Over the past 3 months, Industrial Production MoM averaged 0.6%, vs -0.3% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 31st percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-0.4
Actual
-0.8
Consensus
1.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.18 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: -0.4
Actual: -0.4
Error: +0
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAX | ▼ Inverse | −0.77 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.56 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.41 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Industrial Production MoM (Czech Republic) was reported at -0.4% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of -0.8% by 0.4%. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.08%, ranging from -2.6% to 2.4% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -0.53%, down from the prior three at 0.9%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.38%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.15%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Industrial Production MoM has averaged -0.33%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with DAX (Bearish DAX). A secondary relationship exists with Euro STOXX 50, negatively correlated (Bearish Euro STOXX 50). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.18%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 6, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Industrial Production MoM - CZ
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About Industrial Production MoM — Czech Republic
DEFINITION
Industrial Production MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the total output of the manufacturing, mining, and utilities sectors within a specific country or region over a one-month period. This indicator provides valuable insights into the health and growth of the industrial sector, which is a crucial component of a country's overall economic performance. It is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it can impact inflation, employment, and consumer spending. A positive MoM change in industrial production indicates a growing economy, while a negative change may signal a slowdown or contraction.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Manufacturing and factory-order series capture cyclical inflection earlier than aggregate output, and have outsized influence on industrial-sector equities. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual -0.4 %, consensus -0.8 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 1.4 %. Before that (Mar 2026): -0.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with DAX (Bearish DAX, r=-0.77) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - CZ Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | CZ | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.10 | Low |
| 07:00 | CZ | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.45 | Low |
| 07:00 | CZ | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.45 | Low |
| 07:00 | CZ | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.10 | Low |
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | CZ | M3 Money Supply YoY | 6.3 | 5.3 | 4.8 | 5.55 | Low |