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Retail Sales YoY fell to -2.0 in March 2026, down 2.9 from February's 0.9 reading. The reading missed the 0.5 consensus by 2.5. Retail Sales YoY has now declined for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Retail Sales YoY averaged 1.13, vs 1.0 in the prior 3-month window. Retail Sales YoY is now the lowest in 18 months.
The April 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 0.9. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR) and negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU).
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| Tuesday, May 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.9 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 2.90 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 2.90 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | |
| 06:00 | HICP YoY | 2.9 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 2.90 | Low | |
| 06:00 | HICP MoM | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | |
| 06:00 | CPI YoY | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 2.90 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | CPI MoM | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.60 | High | |
| 09:00 | ZEW Current Conditions | -77.8 | -73.7 | -77.5 | -77.65 | Low | |
| 09:00 | ZEW Economic Sentiment Index | -10.2 | -17.2 | -19.8 | -15.00 | High | |
| 09:00 | Economic Sentiment | -10.2 | -17.2 | -19.2 | -14.70 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, May 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | Wholesale Prices MoM | 2.7 | 1 | 1.30 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Wholesale Prices YoY | 4.1 | 5.2 | 5.50 | Medium | ||
| 12:45 | Current Account | 22 | 18.4 | 19.35 | Low | ||