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Retail Sales YoY climbed to 7.1 in March 2026, up 5.2 from February's 1.9 reading. The print exceeded the 2.7 consensus by 4.4. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 3.29. Over the past 3 months, Retail Sales YoY averaged 3.1, vs 4.37 in the prior 3-month window. Retail Sales YoY is now the highest in 36 months.
The April 2026 reading rose from the previous value of 1.9. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU).
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Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Monday, May 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 1.2 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.05 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Current Account | 38.3 | 29.3 | 29.4 | 34.60 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.30 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0 | 0.5 | 0.15 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Balance of Trade | 33.8 | 25.2 | 26.2 | 30.85 | Low | |