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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Dominican RepublicDominican Republic Interest Rate Decision fell to 5.25% in October 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2025
Dominican Republic Interest Rate Decision fell to 5.25% in October 2025, down 0.3% from September's 5.55% reading. The reading missed the 5.75% consensus by 0.5%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 5.88%. Interest Rate Decision is now the lowest in 24 months.
Latest Release
5.25
Actual
5.75
Consensus
5.55
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.06 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2025
Predicted: 5.88
Actual: 5.25
Error: +0.63
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Interest Rate Decision (Dominican Republic) was reported at 5.25% in October 2025. This missed the market consensus of 5.75% by 0.5%. The reading fell from the previous value of 5.55%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2025.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 5.58%, down from the prior three at 5.75%. In October readings over the past 3 years, Interest Rate Decision has averaged 6.25%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.06%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2025.
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Interest Rate Decision - DO
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About Interest Rate Decision — Dominican Republic
DEFINITION
The Interest Rate Decision is a key financial indicator that reflects the decision made by a central bank or monetary authority to either increase, decrease, or maintain the current interest rates. This decision has a significant impact on the economy, as it affects the cost of borrowing money, inflation rates, and overall economic growth. Investors and businesses closely monitor interest rate decisions as they can have a significant impact on financial markets and investment strategies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Policy-rate decisions and associated communication are the primary near-term driver of front-end rates, currencies, and equity-discount-rate inputs. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2025): actual 5.25 %, consensus 5.75 %. Prior reading (Sep 2025): 5.75 %. Before that (Jun 2025): 5.75 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.