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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
EgyptEgypt Core Inflation Rate YoY climbed to 14.3% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Egypt Core Inflation Rate YoY climbed to 14.3% in June 2026, released July 2026, up 0.5% from May's 13.8% reading. The reading matched expectations. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 12.31%. Over the past 3 months, Core Inflation Rate YoY averaged 13.8%, vs 12.43% in the prior 3-month window. Core Inflation Rate YoY is now the highest in 16 months.
Latest Release
14.3
Actual
14.4
Consensus
13.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.75 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 14.55
Actual: 14.3
Error: +0.25
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.66 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.62 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.57 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.34 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Core Inflation Rate YoY (Egypt) was reported at 14.3% in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 14.4% by 0.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 13.8%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 12.2%, ranging from 10.7% to 14.3% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 13.6%, up from the prior three at 11.83%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.09%) is lower than the prior year (σ 6.54%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Core Inflation Rate YoY has averaged 17.43%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.75%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Core Inflation Rate YoY - EG
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About Core Inflation Rate YoY — Egypt
DEFINITION
The Core Inflation Rate YoY is a key financial indicator that measures the change in prices of goods and services over a 12-month period, excluding volatile items such as food and energy. It provides a more accurate and stable representation of overall inflation trends, allowing businesses and policymakers to make informed decisions about economic policies and investments. This indicator is widely used by financial analysts and investors to assess the health of an economy and predict future inflation levels.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 14.3 %, consensus 14.4 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 13.8 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 13.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP, r=0.66) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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