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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
EgyptEgypt Core Inflation Rate YoY held to 13.8% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Egypt Core Inflation Rate YoY held to 13.8% in May 2026, released June 2026. The reading matched expectations. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 12.05%. Over the past 3 months, Core Inflation Rate YoY averaged 13.9%, vs 11.9% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 63rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
13.8
Actual
13.5
Consensus
13.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.95 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 13.5
Actual: 13.8
Error: -0.3
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.48 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.31 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.31 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Core Inflation Rate YoY (Egypt) was reported at 13.8% in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 13.5% by 0.3%. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 11.91%, ranging from 10.7% to 13.8% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 12.57%, up from the prior three at 12.13%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.85%) is lower than the prior year (σ 6.51%). In June readings over the past 3 years, Core Inflation Rate YoY has averaged 18%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.95%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Core Inflation Rate YoY - EG
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About Core Inflation Rate YoY — Egypt
DEFINITION
The Core Inflation Rate YoY is a key financial indicator that measures the change in prices of goods and services over a 12-month period, excluding volatile items such as food and energy. It provides a more accurate and stable representation of overall inflation trends, allowing businesses and policymakers to make informed decisions about economic policies and investments. This indicator is widely used by financial analysts and investors to assess the health of an economy and predict future inflation levels.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 13.8 %, consensus 13.5 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 13.8 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 14 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.48) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.