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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
EgyptEgypt CPI climbed to 12.7% in February 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased March 2026
Egypt CPI climbed to 12.7% in February 2026, released March 2026, up 1.5% from January's 11.2% reading. The print came in hotter than the 11.8% consensus, a hotter print than forecasters anticipated. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 11.67%. Over the past 3 months, CPI averaged 11.88%, vs 11.6% in the prior 3-month window. CPI is now the highest in 7 months.
Latest Release
12.7
Actual
11.8
Consensus
11.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.02 percentage points
across last 7 releases
Last Call
Mar 2026
Predicted: 11.68
Actual: 12.7
Error: -1.02
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.76 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.31 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPI (Egypt) was reported at 12.7% in March 2026. This beat the market consensus of 11.8% by 0.9%. The reading rose from the previous value of 11.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through March 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 11.76%, ranging from 10.7% to 12.7% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 11.9%, down from the prior three at 12.3%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.6%) is lower than the prior year (σ 4.69%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish USD). Over the last 7 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.02%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
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CPI - EG
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About CPI — Egypt
DEFINITION
CPI, or Consumer Price Index, is a widely used economic indicator that measures the average change in prices of goods and services purchased by households. It is an important tool for assessing inflation and the overall cost of living for consumers. The CPI is calculated by tracking the prices of a basket of goods and services over time, providing valuable insights into the current state of the economy and its impact on consumers. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, businesses, and investors to make informed decisions about economic trends and financial strategies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Feb 2026): actual 12.7 %, consensus 11.8 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 11.2 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 11.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.76) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.