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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SpainSpain New Car Sales YoY climbed to 11.8% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Spain New Car Sales YoY climbed to 11.8% in August 2026, released September 2026, up 8.1% from July's 3.7% reading. The print exceeded the 2.5% consensus by 9.3%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 6.38%. Over the past 3 months, New Car Sales YoY averaged 7.75%, vs 7.75% in the prior 3-month window. New Car Sales YoY is now the highest in 8 months.
Latest Release
11.8
Actual
2.5
Consensus
3.7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±6.54 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 5.2
Actual: 11.8
Error: -6.6
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
New Car Sales YoY (Spain) was reported at 11.8% in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of 2.5% by 9.3%. The reading rose from the previous value of 3.7%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 8.26%, ranging from -2.2% to 16.4% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 4.9%, down from the prior three at 6.77%. Volatility over the past year (σ 6.44%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 7.14%). In September readings over the past 3 years, New Car Sales YoY has averaged 9.93%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 6.54%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 1, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Balance of Trade (Sep 22) and Inflation Rate MoM (Sep 29).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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New Car Sales YoY - ES
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About New Car Sales YoY — Spain
DEFINITION
New Car Sales YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the number of new cars sold by a particular company or industry. This metric is used to assess the overall health and growth of the automotive market, as well as the performance of individual companies within the industry. A positive YoY change indicates an increase in new car sales, while a negative change suggests a decline. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, analysts, and policymakers as it provides valuable insights into consumer spending and economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 11.8 %, consensus 2.5 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 3.7 %. Before that (May 2026): -0.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.59) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - ES Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | ES | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.7 | 0 | 0.6 | 0.65 | Low |
| 07:00 | ES | Inflation Rate YoY | 4.3 | 3.6 | 4.3 | 4.30 | Low |
| 07:00 | ES | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 4.6 | 3.9 | 4.5 | 4.55 | Low |
| 07:00 | ES | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low |
| 07:00 | ES | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.9 | 3 | 2.9 | 2.90 | Low |