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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
GreeceGreece Current Account climbed to -2.35B in March 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Greece Current Account climbed to -2.35B in March 2026, released May 2026, up 0.98B from February's -3.33B reading. The print exceeded the -2.6B consensus by 0.25B. The print is running well below the 12-month average of -1.27B. The reading is in the 33rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-2.345
Actual
-2.6
Consensus
-3.325
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.93 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: -3.54
Actual: -2.35
Error: -1.2
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.52 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.44 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.44 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Current Account (Greece) was reported at -2.35 billion in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of -2.60 billion by 0.26 billion. The reading rose from the previous value of -3.33 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -1.10 billion, ranging from -3.86 billion to 1.10 billion across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -2.50 billion, down from the prior three at -1.19 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.43 billion) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.63 billion). In May readings over the past 3 years, Current Account has averaged -2.68 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Bearish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.93 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 19, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Current Account - GR
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About Current Account — Greece
DEFINITION
The Current Account is a financial indicator that measures a country's trade balance, including the value of goods and services exported and imported, as well as income received and payments made to other countries. It provides insight into a nation's economic health and its ability to pay for imports and service its debt. A positive current account balance indicates a surplus, while a negative balance indicates a deficit. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and economists as it can impact a country's currency value and overall economic stability.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Mar 2026): actual -2.345 M, consensus -2.6 M. Prior reading (Jan 2026): -1.286 M. Before that (Dec 2025): -3.862 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.52) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.