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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Hong KongHong Kong Current Account fell to 36.4K in January 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Hong Kong Current Account fell to 36.4K in January 2026, released June 2026, down 58.6K from December's 95K reading. The reading missed the 110K consensus by 73.6K. Current Account has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Current Account is now the lowest in 42 months.
Latest Release
36.4
Actual
110
Consensus
95
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±26.3 thousand
across last 11 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 110
Actual: 36.4
Error: +73.6
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Current Account (Hong Kong) was reported at 36 thousand in June 2026. This missed the market consensus of 110 thousand by 74 thousand. The reading fell from the previous value of 95 thousand. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 76 thousand, down from the prior three at 105 thousand. In June readings over the past 3 years, Current Account has averaged 88 thousand.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 11 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 26 thousand.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Current Account - HK
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About Current Account — Hong Kong
DEFINITION
The Current Account is a financial indicator that measures a country's trade balance, including the value of goods and services exported and imported, as well as income received and payments made to other countries. It provides insight into a nation's economic health and its ability to pay for imports and service its debt. A positive current account balance indicates a surplus, while a negative balance indicates a deficit. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and economists as it can impact a country's currency value and overall economic stability.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual 36.4 K, consensus 110 K. Prior reading (Oct 2025): 93.9 K. Before that (Jul 2025): 98.2 K.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - HK Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:30 | HK | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 4.3 | 5.9 | 4.8 | 5.28 | Low |
| 08:30 | HK | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 4.3 | 5.9 | 4.8 | 5.28 | Low |