Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Hong KongHong Kong Gross Domestic Product YoY held to 4.3% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Hong Kong Gross Domestic Product YoY held to 4.3% in April 2026, released August 2026. The reading matched the 4.3% consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 4.08%. The reading is in the 83rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
4.3
Actual
4.3
Consensus
4.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0 percentage points
across last 10 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 4.05
Actual: 4.3
Error: -0.25
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.74 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▼ Inverse | −0.55 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| Hang Seng | ▼ Inverse | −0.54 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Hong Kong) was reported at 4.3% in August 2026. This matched the market consensus of 4.3% exactly. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 4.19%, ranging from 3.8% to 5.9% across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 4.83%, up from the prior three at 3.8%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.68%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.33%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with Nikkei 225, negatively correlated (Bearish Nikkei 225). Over the last 10 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
SHARE
Gross Domestic Product YoY - HK
Loading chart data...
About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Hong Kong
DEFINITION
Hong Kong's Gross Domestic Product YoY held steady at 4.300000% in July, matching both the estimate and June's reading. This marks a stabilization after May's 5.9% surge, indicating a moderation in growth momentum. Market focus now shifts to upcoming economic data for further clarity on the central bank's policy direction. Updated 8/14/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 4.3 %, consensus 4.3 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 4.3 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 5.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.74) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - HK Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:30 | HK | Industrial Production YoY | 2.3 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 2.40 | Low |