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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
CroatiaCroatia Current Account fell to -2,204M in October 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased March 2026
Croatia Current Account fell to -2,204M in October 2025, released March 2026, down 6,146M from September's 3,942M reading. The reading missed the -1,200M consensus by 1,004M. The print is running well below the 12-month average of -1,201.89M. Current Account is now the lowest in 6 months.
Latest Release
-2204
Actual
-1200
Consensus
3942
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2,114.75 million
across last 8 releases
Last Call
Mar 2026
Predicted: 1,665.5
Actual: -2,204
Error: +3,869.5
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Current Account (Croatia) was reported at -2,204.00 million in March 2026. This missed the market consensus of -1,200.00 million by 1,004.00 million. The reading fell from the previous value of 3,942.00 million. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through March 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -73.67 million, up from the prior three at -3,407.00 million.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 8 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2,114.75 million.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 30, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
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Current Account - HR
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About Current Account — Croatia
DEFINITION
The Current Account is a financial indicator that measures a country's trade balance, including the value of goods and services exported and imported, as well as income received and payments made to other countries. It provides insight into a nation's economic health and its ability to pay for imports and service its debt. A positive current account balance indicates a surplus, while a negative balance indicates a deficit. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and economists as it can impact a country's currency value and overall economic stability.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2025): actual -2,204 M, consensus -1,200 M. Prior reading (Jul 2025): 3,931 M. Before that (Apr 2025): -1,948 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.