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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
HungaryHungary Deposit Interest Rate fell to 5.0% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Hungary Deposit Interest Rate fell to 5.0% in June 2026, down 0.25% from May's 5.25% reading. The reading matched the 5.0% consensus. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 5.42%. Over the past 3 months, Deposit Interest Rate averaged 5.25%, vs 5.33% in the prior 3-month window. Deposit Interest Rate is now the lowest in 36 months.
Latest Release
5
Actual
5
Consensus
5.25
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 5
Actual: 5
Error: +0
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.46 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/HUF | ▼ Inverse | −0.44 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.25 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Deposit Interest Rate (Hungary) was reported at 5% in June 2026. This matched the market consensus of 5% exactly. The reading fell from the previous value of 5.25%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 5.38%, ranging from 5% to 5.5% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 5.17%, down from the prior three at 5.42%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.17%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.07%). In June readings over the past 3 years, Deposit Interest Rate has averaged 5.5%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/HUF, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 25, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Deposit Interest Rate - HU
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About Deposit Interest Rate — Hungary
DEFINITION
The Deposit Interest Rate is a financial indicator that measures the annual percentage rate at which banks and other financial institutions pay interest on deposits made by their customers. This rate is an important factor for individuals and businesses when choosing where to deposit their money, as it can impact the overall return on their savings. It also serves as an indicator of the current state of the economy, as changes in the deposit interest rate can reflect shifts in monetary policy and inflation rates.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Policy-rate decisions and associated communication are the primary near-term driver of front-end rates, currencies, and equity-discount-rate inputs. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 5 %, consensus 5 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 5.25 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 5.25 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.46) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - HU Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:30 | HU | Producer Price Index YoY | -0.4 | -0.7 | -1 | -0.05 | Low |
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | HU | HALPIM Manufacturing PMI | 51.5 | 51.3 | 51.55 | Low | |