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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
HungaryHungary Deposit Interest Rate held to 5.25% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Hungary Deposit Interest Rate held to 5.25% in May 2026. The reading matched the 5.25% consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is down 0.25%. Over the past 3 months, Deposit Interest Rate averaged 5.25%, vs 5.42% in the prior 3-month window. Deposit Interest Rate is now the lowest in 36 months.
Latest Release
5.25
Actual
5.25
Consensus
5.25
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 5.25
Actual: 5.25
Error: +0
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.81 | INDEX | Bearish S&P 500 | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▼ Inverse | −0.26 | INDEX | Bearish FTSE 100 | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Deposit Interest Rate (Hungary) was reported at 5.25% in May 2026. This matched the market consensus of 5.25% exactly. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 5.43%, ranging from 5.25% to 5.5% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 5.25%, down from the prior three at 5.5%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.11%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.16%). In May readings over the past 3 years, Deposit Interest Rate has averaged 5.67%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 23, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Deposit Interest Rate - HU
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About Deposit Interest Rate — Hungary
DEFINITION
The Deposit Interest Rate is a financial indicator that measures the annual percentage rate at which banks and other financial institutions pay interest on deposits made by their customers. This rate is an important factor for individuals and businesses when choosing where to deposit their money, as it can impact the overall return on their savings. It also serves as an indicator of the current state of the economy, as changes in the deposit interest rate can reflect shifts in monetary policy and inflation rates.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Policy-rate decisions and associated communication are the primary near-term driver of front-end rates, currencies, and equity-discount-rate inputs. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 5.25 %, consensus 5.25 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 5.25 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 5.25 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary neutral force in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.81) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.