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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
HungaryHungary Deposit Interest Rate fell to 4.5% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Hungary Deposit Interest Rate fell to 4.5% in August 2026, down 0.25% from July's 4.75% reading. The reading matched the 4.5% consensus. Deposit Interest Rate has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Deposit Interest Rate is now the lowest in 37 months.
Latest Release
4.5
Actual
4.5
Consensus
4.75
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 4.5
Actual: 4.5
Error: +0
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Deposit Interest Rate (Hungary) was reported at 4.5% in August 2026. This matched the market consensus of 4.5% exactly. The reading fell from the previous value of 4.75%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 5.28%, ranging from 4.5% to 5.5% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 4.92%, down from the prior three at 5.33%. In August readings over the past 3 years, Deposit Interest Rate has averaged 5.25%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 22, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Deposit Interest Rate - HU
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About Deposit Interest Rate — Hungary
DEFINITION
The Deposit Interest Rate is a financial indicator that measures the annual percentage rate at which banks and other financial institutions pay interest on deposits made by their customers. This rate is an important factor for individuals and businesses when choosing where to deposit their money, as it can impact the overall return on their savings. It also serves as an indicator of the current state of the economy, as changes in the deposit interest rate can reflect shifts in monetary policy and inflation rates.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Policy-rate decisions and associated communication are the primary near-term driver of front-end rates, currencies, and equity-discount-rate inputs. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 4.5 %, consensus 4.5 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 5 %. Before that (May 2026): 5.25 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - HU Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:30 | HU | Industrial Production YoY | 4.7 | 10.1 | 4.7 | 4.70 | Low |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:30 | HU | Gross Wage YoY | 7.5 | 7.1 | 6.9 | 6.93 | Low |