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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
HungaryHungary Deposit Interest Rate held to 4.5% in October 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Hungary Deposit Interest Rate held to 4.5% in October 2026. The reading matched the 4.5% consensus. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 5.21%. Over the past 3 months, Deposit Interest Rate averaged 4.5%, vs 5.17% in the prior 3-month window. Deposit Interest Rate is now the lowest in 37 months.
Latest Release
4.5
Actual
4.5
Consensus
4.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 4.5
Actual: 4.5
Error: +0
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Deposit Interest Rate (Hungary) was reported at 4.5% in October 2026. This matched the market consensus of 4.5% exactly. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 5.08%, ranging from 4.5% to 5.5% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 4.5%, down from the prior three at 5.17%. In October readings over the past 3 years, Deposit Interest Rate has averaged 5.17%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 17, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Deposit Interest Rate - HU
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About Deposit Interest Rate — Hungary
DEFINITION
The Deposit Interest Rate is a financial indicator that measures the annual percentage rate at which banks and other financial institutions pay interest on deposits made by their customers. This rate is an important factor for individuals and businesses when choosing where to deposit their money, as it can impact the overall return on their savings. It also serves as an indicator of the current state of the economy, as changes in the deposit interest rate can reflect shifts in monetary policy and inflation rates.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Policy-rate decisions and associated communication are the primary near-term driver of front-end rates, currencies, and equity-discount-rate inputs. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 4.5 %, consensus 4.5 %. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 4.5 %. Before that (Aug 2026): 4.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.58) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - HU Events
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:30 | HU | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.65 | Low |
| 07:30 | HU | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.25 | Low |
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | HU | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 53.2 | 53 | 53.00 | Low | |