Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
HungaryHungary GDP Growth Rate YoY fell to 1.5% in July 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased October 2026
Hungary GDP Growth Rate YoY fell to 1.5% in July 2026, released October 2026, down 0.2% from June's 1.7% reading. The reading missed the 1.8% consensus by 0.3%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.84%. GDP Growth Rate YoY is now the lowest in 6 months.
Latest Release
1.5
Actual
1.8
Consensus
1.7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.2 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 1.6
Actual: 1.7
Error: -0.1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.36 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth Rate YoY (Hungary) was reported at 1.5% in October 2026. This missed the market consensus of 1.8% by 0.3%. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.7%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.11%, ranging from 0.6% to 1.7% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.7%, up from the prior three at 0.7%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.51%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 0.47%). In September readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth Rate YoY has averaged 1.1%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.2%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
SHARE
GDP Growth Rate YoY - HU
Loading chart data...
About GDP Growth Rate YoY — Hungary
DEFINITION
The GDP Growth Rate YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the annual change in a country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). It provides insight into the overall health and performance of an economy, as a higher growth rate indicates a stronger and more robust economy. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the current and future economic outlook. A positive GDP Growth Rate YoY is generally seen as a positive sign of economic growth and stability, while a negative growth rate may indicate a slowdown or recession.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 1.5 %, consensus 1.8 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 1.7 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 1.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - HU Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:30 | HU | Producer Price Index YoY | 6.9 | 4.8 | 5 | 5.63 | Low |
| 07:30 | HU | Balance of Trade | 907 | 46 | -480.9 | 213.05 | Low |
| 07:30 | HU | Balance of Trade MoM | 907 | -481 | -480.9 | 213.05 | Low |
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:30 | HU | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.65 | Low |
| 07:30 | HU | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.25 | Low |