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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
HungaryHungary GDP Growth Rate YoY held to 1.7% in April 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased September 2026
Hungary GDP Growth Rate YoY held to 1.7% in April 2026, released September 2026. The reading matched the 1.7% consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.73%. GDP Growth Rate YoY is now the highest in 43 months.
Latest Release
1.7
Actual
1.7
Consensus
1.7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.2 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 1.6
Actual: 1.7
Error: -0.1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth Rate YoY (Hungary) was reported at 1.7% in September 2026. This matched the market consensus of 1.7% exactly. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.11%, ranging from 0.6% to 1.7% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.7%, up from the prior three at 0.7%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.51%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 0.47%). In September readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth Rate YoY has averaged 1.1%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.2%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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GDP Growth Rate YoY - HU
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About GDP Growth Rate YoY — Hungary
DEFINITION
The GDP Growth Rate YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the annual change in a country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). It provides insight into the overall health and performance of an economy, as a higher growth rate indicates a stronger and more robust economy. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the current and future economic outlook. A positive GDP Growth Rate YoY is generally seen as a positive sign of economic growth and stability, while a negative growth rate may indicate a slowdown or recession.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 1.7 %, consensus 1.7 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 1.7 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 1.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary neutral force in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.55) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - HU Events
| Friday, September 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:30 | HU | Retail Sales YoY | 4.9 | 3 | 3.5 | 4.20 | Low |
| Monday, September 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:30 | HU | Industrial Production YoY | 10.1 | 2.3 | 2.30 | Low | |
| Tuesday, September 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:30 | HU | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.1 | 0.1 | -0.10 | Low | |
| 06:30 | HU | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 1.9 | 2 | 1.85 | Low | |
| 06:30 | HU | Inflation Rate YoY | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.05 | Low | |
| 09:00 | HU | Budget Balance | 524.3 | 320 | 312.25 | Low | |