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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
HungaryHungary GDP Growth Rate YoY held to 1.7% in April 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased July 2026
Hungary GDP Growth Rate YoY held to 1.7% in April 2026, released July 2026. The reading missed the 1.9% consensus by 0.2%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.53%. GDP Growth Rate YoY is now the highest in 42 months.
Latest Release
1.7
Actual
1.9
Consensus
1.7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.23 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 1.9
Actual: 1.7
Error: +0.2
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.53 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/HUF | ▼ Inverse | −0.43 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.42 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth Rate YoY (Hungary) was reported at 1.7% in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 1.9% by 0.2%. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.89%, ranging from 0.1% to 1.7% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.4%, up from the prior three at 0.63%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.55%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.73%). In July readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth Rate YoY has averaged 1.1%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/HUF, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.23%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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GDP Growth Rate YoY - HU
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About GDP Growth Rate YoY — Hungary
DEFINITION
The GDP Growth Rate YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the annual change in a country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). It provides insight into the overall health and performance of an economy, as a higher growth rate indicates a stronger and more robust economy. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the current and future economic outlook. A positive GDP Growth Rate YoY is generally seen as a positive sign of economic growth and stability, while a negative growth rate may indicate a slowdown or recession.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 1.7 %, consensus 1.9 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 1.7 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 1.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.53) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - HU Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:30 | HU | Producer Price Index YoY | -0.4 | -0.7 | -1 | -0.05 | Low |
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | HU | HALPIM Manufacturing PMI | 51.5 | 51.3 | 51.55 | Low | |