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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
HungaryHungary Gross Domestic Product YoY held to 1.7% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Hungary Gross Domestic Product YoY held to 1.7% in April 2026, released September 2026. The reading matched the 1.7% consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 1.28%. Over the past 3 months, Gross Domestic Product YoY averaged 1.7%, vs 1.7% in the prior 3-month window. Gross Domestic Product YoY is now the highest in 18 months.
Latest Release
1.7
Actual
1.7
Consensus
1.7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.1 percentage points
across last 11 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 1.6
Actual: 1.7
Error: -0.1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.89 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.83 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| DAX | ▼ Inverse | −0.80 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▼ Inverse | −0.73 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/HUF | ▲ Direct | +0.61 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Hungary) was reported at 1.7% in September 2026. This matched the market consensus of 1.7% exactly. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.11%, ranging from 0.6% to 1.7% across 7 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.7%, up from the prior three at 0.7%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with Euro STOXX 50, negatively correlated (Bearish Euro STOXX 50). Over the last 11 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.1%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - HU
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Hungary
DEFINITION
Hungary's Gross Domestic Product YoY came in at 1.700000% for August, matching both the estimate and July's reading. This steady growth rate follows a consistent 1.7% expansion since April, indicating stable economic momentum. Market participants will focus on upcoming data releases for further clarity on Hungary's growth trajectory. Updated 9/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 1.7 %, consensus 1.7 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 1.7 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 1.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary neutral force in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.89) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - HU Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:30 | HU | Construction Output YoY | -12.2 | -1.2 | -0.5 | -6.35 | Low |
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:30 | HU | Industrial Production YoY | 4.7 | 10.1 | 4.7 | 4.70 | Low |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:30 | HU | Gross Wage YoY | 7.1 | 6.9 | 6.65 | Low | |