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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
HungaryHungary Gross Domestic Product YoY held to 1.7% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Hungary Gross Domestic Product YoY held to 1.7% in April 2026, released July 2026. The reading missed the 1.9% consensus by 0.2%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 1.15%. Over the past 3 months, Gross Domestic Product YoY averaged 1.7%, vs 1.34% in the prior 3-month window. Gross Domestic Product YoY is now the highest in 17 months.
Latest Release
1.7
Actual
1.9
Consensus
1.7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.1 percentage points
across last 10 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 1.9
Actual: 1.7
Error: +0.2
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTSE 100 | ▼ Inverse | −0.71 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.69 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.57 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| DAX | ▼ Inverse | −0.56 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/HUF | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Hungary) was reported at 1.7% in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 1.9% by 0.2%. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.89%, ranging from 0.1% to 1.7% across 7 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.4%, up from the prior three at 0.63%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with FTSE 100 (Bearish FTSE 100). A secondary relationship exists with Euro STOXX 50, negatively correlated (Bearish Euro STOXX 50). Over the last 10 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.1%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - HU
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Hungary
DEFINITION
Hungary's Gross Domestic Product YoY for June came in at 1.7%, matching the previous month's reading but missing the 1.9% estimate. The economy maintained steady growth from May's 1.7% to June's 1.7%, indicating no acceleration or deceleration in annual output. Market participants will watch upcoming data for signs of momentum amid stable central bank policy. Updated 7/30/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 1.7 %, consensus 1.9 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 1.7 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 1.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with FTSE 100 (Bearish FTSE 100, r=-0.71) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - HU Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:30 | HU | Producer Price Index YoY | -0.4 | -0.7 | -1 | -0.05 | Low |
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | HU | HALPIM Manufacturing PMI | 51.5 | 51.3 | 51.55 | Low | |