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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IndonesiaIndonesia Deposit Facility Rate held to 4.5% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Indonesia Deposit Facility Rate held to 4.5% in June 2026. The reading missed the 4.75% consensus by 0.25%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 4.04%. Over the past 3 months, Deposit Facility Rate averaged 4.17%, vs 3.75% in the prior 3-month window. Deposit Facility Rate is now the highest in 11 months.
Latest Release
4.5
Actual
4.75
Consensus
4.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.19 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 4.88
Actual: 4.5
Error: +0.38
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Deposit Facility Rate (Indonesia) was reported at 4.5% in June 2026. This missed the market consensus of 4.75% by 0.25%. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 4.1%, ranging from 3.75% to 4.75% across 12 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 4.42%, up from the prior three at 3.75%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.37%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.23%). In June readings over the past 3 years, Deposit Facility Rate has averaged 4.85%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/IDR (Bearish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.19%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 18, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Jun 18).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Deposit Facility Rate - ID
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About Deposit Facility Rate — Indonesia
DEFINITION
The Deposit Facility Rate is a financial indicator used by central banks to control the amount of money in circulation and influence interest rates. It is the interest rate at which commercial banks can deposit excess funds with the central bank, providing a safe and convenient way to manage their liquidity. This rate serves as a tool for monetary policy, allowing central banks to encourage or discourage lending and borrowing activities in the economy. As such, it is an important factor in determining the overall health and stability of a country's financial system.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 4.5 %, consensus 4.25 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 4.25 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 3.75 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/IDR (Bearish USD, r=-0.62) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.