Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IndonesiaIndonesia Deposit Facility Rate climbed to 5.0% in October 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Indonesia Deposit Facility Rate climbed to 5.0% in October 2026, up 0.25% from September's 4.75% reading. The reading matched the 5.0% consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 4.19%. Over the past 3 months, Deposit Facility Rate averaged 4.75%, vs 4.56% in the prior 3-month window. Deposit Facility Rate is now the highest in 21 months.
Latest Release
5
Actual
5
Consensus
4.75
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.13 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 5
Actual: 5
Error: +0
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hang Seng | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| USD/IDR | ▼ Inverse | −0.33 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Deposit Facility Rate (Indonesia) was reported at 5% in October 2026. This matched the market consensus of 5% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of 4.75%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 4.34%, ranging from 3.75% to 5% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 4.83%, up from the prior three at 4.67%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.48%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 0.5%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Deposit Facility Rate has averaged 4.67%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with Hang Seng (Bearish Hang Seng). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.13%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 18, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate YoY (Nov 2) and Balance of Trade (Nov 2).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
SHARE
Deposit Facility Rate - ID
Loading chart data...
About Deposit Facility Rate — Indonesia
DEFINITION
The Deposit Facility Rate is a financial indicator used by central banks to control the amount of money in circulation and influence interest rates. It is the interest rate at which commercial banks can deposit excess funds with the central bank, providing a safe and convenient way to manage their liquidity. This rate serves as a tool for monetary policy, allowing central banks to encourage or discourage lending and borrowing activities in the economy. As such, it is an important factor in determining the overall health and stability of a country's financial system.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 5 %, consensus 5 %. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 4.75 %. Before that (Aug 2026): 4.75 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - ID Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | ID | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 52.4 | 51.9 | 53.30 | Low | |
| 04:00 | ID | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.18 | Low | |
| 04:00 | ID | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.84 | 2.8 | 2.78 | Low | |
| 04:00 | ID | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.28 | 3.3 | 3.14 | Medium | |
| 04:00 | ID | Balance of Trade | 3.55 | 3.7 | 3.87 | Medium | |
| 05:00 | ID | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 6.27 | 1.42 | 1.42 | Low | |